Bustling-Forecast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

667

Trades

3,049

lifetime

Volume

$132.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 11-05 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

94% 78% -$4,796

Politics

6% 50% -$390

Sports

0% 100% +$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$2.4K	1,835	1,835	+0	Yes	+$24	04-04 01:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$2.1K	1,145	1,145	+0	No	+$128	03-31 01:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 22?	14	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$43	05-22 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?	16	$1.8K	934	934	+0	No	+$100	05-27 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 23?	9	$1.7K	858	858	+0	No	+$18	05-23 00:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$1.7K	1,038	1,038	+0	Yes	-$8	04-03 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 17?	39	$1.6K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$408	05-17 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?	16	$1.5K	802	802	+0	No	+$59	05-23 03:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?	12	$1.5K	736	736	+0	No	+$5	05-25 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?	34	$1.4K	812	812	+0	No	+$123	05-20 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?	34	$1.4K	915	915	+0	Yes	+$130	05-16 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 24?	7	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	+$7	05-24 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?	48	$1.3K	658	658	+0	No	+$16	05-29 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?	11	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$8	05-22 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	6	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	+$6	06-03 05:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$1.1K	5,853	643	+5,211	Yes	-$420	04-22 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 25?	9	$1.1K	609	601	+8	No	+$83	05-25 05:13
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 15c	7	$1.1K	555	554	+1	No	+$10	04-01 07:09
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 11c	18	$1.1K	1,018	1,005	+13	No	-$346	04-05 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 24?	6	$1.1K	539	539	+0	No	+$2	05-24 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?	23	$1.0K	930	930	+0	No	-$142	05-21 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 21?	19	$1.0K	749	439	+310	Yes	-$244	05-21 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?	46	$1.0K	750	750	+0	Yes	-$222	05-31 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 23?	16	$1.0K	612	497	+115	No	-$12	05-23 08:13
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 23c	13	$998	520	519	+1	No	+$39	04-01 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on May 26?	3	$993	500	500	+0	No	+$5	05-26 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 21?	7	$947	486	486	+0	No	+$8	05-21 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	74	$943	484	484	+0	No	+$24	05-28 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 26?	8	$893	488	453	+35	No	+$4	05-26 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?	10	$881	452	452	+0	No	+$21	05-26 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on November 5?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x682bfd…
11-05 12:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xe0a1d8…
11-05 12:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xab3dbd…
11-05 12:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x567c04…
11-05 12:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x026bc4…
11-05 12:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x992cad…
11-05 12:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 5?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x943e32…
11-05 12:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 5?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xa0488c…
11-05 06:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e0bbc…
11-05 06:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x309d40…
11-05 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on November 5?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0xa04c23…
11-05 06:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 5?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x95696d…
11-04 16:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on November 4?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x521b2d…
11-04 15:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb66d6f…
11-04 15:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x73afd1…
11-04 15:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7aa5fa…
11-04 14:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8d91b0…
11-04 14:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbc6829…
11-04 14:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x6b4331…
11-04 14:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4ef356…
11-04 14:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 4?	No	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0xfe946c…
11-04 13:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee4728…
11-04 12:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xfedac4…
11-04 12:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x899523…
11-04 12:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8d3726…
11-04 12:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7e159f…
11-04 12:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x96f3be…
11-04 12:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc61d9b…
11-04 12:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa604ef…
11-04 12:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xafef86…
11-04 12:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6a171…
11-04 12:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1ac842…
11-04 12:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 4?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x684320…
11-04 07:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc4645…
11-04 07:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x584905…
11-04 07:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x23e440…
11-04 07:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x40b5b0…
11-04 06:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xb11aa0…
11-04 06:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 4?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x66cb24…
11-04 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc393a5…
11-04 02:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8c8e51…
11-04 02:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6cbc04…
11-04 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 4?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3aad77…
11-04 02:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x071a06…
11-04 02:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x0facb3…
11-03 14:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x109fd0…
11-03 13:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6c305b…
11-03 13:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3a4dd3…
11-03 13:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4ad8d5…
11-03 12:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 3?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2546ab…
11-03 12:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xca767d…
11-03 12:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xab0492…
11-03 12:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 3?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x2caa4b…
11-03 12:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x59a2ad…
11-03 11:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 3?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x47eba8…
11-03 09:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x11a908…
11-03 09:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8102f4…
11-03 09:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x2697be…
11-03 09:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9476a5…
11-03 06:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x639d25…
11-03 06:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x754297…
11-03 06:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x8a23d4…
11-03 06:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xf23413…
11-03 06:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6e9ac8…
11-02 14:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8fefc8…
11-02 14:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xfc483b…
11-02 14:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x28e12d…
11-02 14:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe52f26…
11-02 14:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x88790f…
11-02 14:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x70e6ee…
11-02 14:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4ff9d7…
11-02 14:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa7839f…
11-02 14:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd09d7e…
11-02 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6cf2a…
11-02 13:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x87c392…
11-02 09:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 2?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x528231…
11-02 06:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba8108…
11-02 06:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x908091…
11-02 06:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1b9d8…
11-02 03:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x00937d…
11-02 02:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x241672…
11-02 02:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe638b6…
11-02 02:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf3e0b7…
11-02 02:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0a7059…
11-02 01:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xde2dfd…
11-02 01:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8da4f4…
11-02 01:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc7253c…
11-01 14:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6badf…
11-01 12:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe009f1…
11-01 12:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6e22bd…
11-01 12:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa502e7…
11-01 12:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x09177b…
11-01 12:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56e166…
11-01 12:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x69b2de…
11-01 12:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4b82c0…
11-01 12:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa5f803…
11-01 12:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x48d601…
11-01 12:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on November 1?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xec2e34…
11-01 11:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbd3aed…
11-01 11:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xd3492c…