Comfortable-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$316

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-09 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 0% $-6

Crypto

35% 67% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+378	$253	84¢	$316	+$63	06-09 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$259	150	150	+0	open	—	06-05 02:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$253	378	0	+378	open	—	06-09 16:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$162	225	0	+225	open	—	06-01 15:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$151	112	112	+0	open	—	06-07 00:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$82	49	49	+0	open	—	05-26 16:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-30 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	06-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	05-31 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	06-01 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$29	27	26	+0	open	—	05-29 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-30 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	7	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$22	18	12	+6	open	—	06-01 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$18	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	4	$17	25	12	+13	open	—	05-31 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$16	16	11	+5	open	—	05-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$15	12	7	+5	open	—	06-01 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$11	17	10	+7	open	—	06-01 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-31 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	06-01 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:14:30	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb3afe2…
06-09 16:11:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x7b4524…
06-09 16:06:16	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3e582d…
06-09 08:49:03	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x9a3ff0…
06-09 08:43:43	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd374a6…
06-09 08:42:01	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x978857…
06-09 08:38:43	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x715628…
06-09 08:37:40	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbf0077…
06-08 03:37:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x9c942b…
06-07 00:12:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	112	72¢	$81	0xd7df60…
06-05 13:40:34	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x37e983…
06-05 13:40:03	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x38ba1d…
06-05 11:36:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0xb6fce3…
06-05 02:59:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	112	63¢	$71	0xfeea46…
06-05 02:23:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0xdde568…
06-04 03:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe38318…
06-04 03:08:15	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x89da98…
06-04 03:06:09	btc updown 15m 1780542000	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x84e7ea…
06-04 03:02:25	btc updown 15m 1780542000	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2f0b80…
06-03 10:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x973321…
06-03 10:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x81e994…
06-03 10:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe13834…
06-03 10:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd8e9a6…
06-03 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x09bd25…
06-03 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaee2af…
06-03 09:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35d83b…
06-02 12:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x487372…
06-02 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56e843…
06-02 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd08a3d…
06-02 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x660662…
06-02 07:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70f08e…
06-01 15:34:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x615cbd…
06-01 15:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xee14bb…
06-01 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x19d932…
06-01 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b221c…
06-01 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6e9657…
06-01 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeb2537…
06-01 15:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x521b15…
06-01 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf76f46…
06-01 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x99e346…
06-01 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdac86f…
06-01 14:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd1d508…
06-01 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9abacf…
06-01 14:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb4d49b…
06-01 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x6c2581…
06-01 14:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe1f0c4…
06-01 14:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x75a075…
06-01 14:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe784e2…
06-01 14:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1691f7…
06-01 14:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x46b1a2…
06-01 14:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x109a80…
06-01 14:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x62ee41…
06-01 14:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x812233…
06-01 14:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xace0f7…
06-01 14:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x180aff…
06-01 14:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6caf72…
06-01 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x54db74…
06-01 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe6e744…
06-01 14:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4dd549…
06-01 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x76e75f…
06-01 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xc91a06…
06-01 14:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7ba1c2…
06-01 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x166b94…
06-01 14:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x604b5c…
06-01 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x041135…
06-01 14:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1e1382…
06-01 14:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x308a06…
06-01 14:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa881cc…
06-01 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1656ea…
06-01 14:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x1f999d…
06-01 14:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe3d52b…
06-01 14:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x917691…
06-01 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8d06fd…
06-01 13:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe93069…
06-01 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe14702…
06-01 13:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xe691ec…
06-01 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x31171f…
06-01 13:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x33dbf5…
06-01 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x6f1db5…
06-01 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5afc6c…
06-01 13:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xf1be42…
06-01 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x98cbba…
06-01 13:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9d13a7…
06-01 13:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xd1423b…
06-01 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd4cbfa…
06-01 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xcb6904…
06-01 13:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc84dda…
06-01 13:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x11002d…
06-01 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xadf4da…
06-01 13:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa3be75…
06-01 06:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xca914e…
06-01 06:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb510e4…
05-31 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5b76b0…
05-31 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa808a1…
05-31 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x51b767…
05-31 13:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x3333f9…
05-31 13:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xbec5c9…
05-31 13:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x66b75d…
05-31 13:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xe9eedb…
05-31 13:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3375bf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	76	$148.0K	3,054	06-09 16:57
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	70	$21.8K	3,616	06-09 16:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	69	$135.5K	10,247	06-09 16:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	69	$21.0K	5,711	06-09 16:13
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	69	$20.9K	1,168	06-09 16:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	69	$20.3K	5,767	06-09 16:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	69	$16.2K	2,492	06-09 16:13
Petty-Notoriety 0x3139…096e	69	$12.3K	2,706	06-09 16:14