Comfortable-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-18 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-6

Crypto

40% 67% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$274	403	0	+403	open	—	06-10 16:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$259	150	150	+0	open	—	06-05 02:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$168	232	0	+232	open	—	06-12 00:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$151	112	112	+0	open	—	06-07 00:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$82	49	49	+0	open	—	05-26 16:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-30 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	06-01 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	7	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	05-31 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	10	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	06-01 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$29	27	26	+0	open	—	05-29 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	05-30 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	7	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	06-01 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$22	18	12	+6	open	—	06-01 13:54
btc updown 15m 1781753400	8	$22	29	24	+5	open	—	06-18 03:44
btc updown 15m 1781712900	6	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	06-17 16:26
btc updown 15m 1781535600	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-15 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$18	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	4	$17	25	12	+13	open	—	05-31 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$16	16	11	+5	open	—	05-29 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$15	12	7	+5	open	—	06-01 13:49
btc updown 15m 1781754300	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-18 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-30 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$11	45	0	+45	open	—	06-01 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$11	17	10	+7	open	—	06-01 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-31 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 04:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781755200	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd67fa0…
06-18 03:58:50	btc updown 15m 1781754300	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xdff394…
06-18 03:58:10	btc updown 15m 1781754300	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa3c0ae…
06-18 03:51:05	btc updown 15m 1781754300	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x45f7be…
06-18 03:46:37	btc updown 15m 1781754300	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x269a75…
06-18 03:46:17	btc updown 15m 1781754300	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf6412a…
06-18 03:44:29	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf0137c…
06-18 03:43:55	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x33d1ea…
06-18 03:43:28	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0d57bd…
06-18 03:40:49	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x14844b…
06-18 03:36:41	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcee025…
06-18 03:34:28	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x912efd…
06-18 03:34:05	btc updown 5m 1781753400	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x1806d8…
06-18 03:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781753400	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa5d361…
06-18 03:31:58	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Down	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x0a97f3…
06-18 03:31:44	btc updown 15m 1781753400	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc5fb4e…
06-17 16:37:28	btc updown 5m 1781714100	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x8336ee…
06-17 16:35:53	btc updown 5m 1781714100	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0702f0…
06-17 16:26:17	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Up	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xd0a1c2…
06-17 16:21:52	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcaf698…
06-17 16:20:02	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5140de…
06-17 16:19:38	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xd761ec…
06-17 16:16:05	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1a00bc…
06-17 16:15:17	btc updown 15m 1781712900	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa6fd19…
06-17 16:11:58	btc updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1c30bd…
06-17 13:39:20	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Down	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0xb15d98…
06-17 13:38:40	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x2fcb26…
06-17 13:37:53	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x2f22f6…
06-17 13:31:35	btc updown 15m 1781703000	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc45c9b…
06-17 13:29:13	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x670348…
06-17 13:27:25	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2c0f6f…
06-17 13:27:02	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x951fdf…
06-17 13:25:41	btc updown 5m 1781702700	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe7f7c3…
06-17 12:35:53	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc2e001…
06-17 12:35:22	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1c0764…
06-17 11:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xa5be35…
06-17 10:59:16	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe38456…
06-17 09:42:08	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe37b5f…
06-17 09:41:49	btc updown 15m 1781688600	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8807d6…
06-17 09:22:49	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x4a58ec…
06-17 09:22:34	btc updown 15m 1781687700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1e8df3…
06-16 14:53:05	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd76564…
06-16 14:48:37	btc updown 15m 1781621100	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x911db2…
06-15 16:22:40	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x034c45…
06-15 16:22:07	btc updown 5m 1781540400	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb0a078…
06-15 16:17:33	btc updown 15m 1781540100	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xaf0689…
06-15 16:16:24	btc updown 15m 1781540100	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x39916e…
06-15 15:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781536500	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xe931f5…
06-15 15:17:39	btc updown 5m 1781536500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x21eaf4…
06-15 15:14:55	btc updown 15m 1781535600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x222fd8…
06-15 15:13:48	btc updown 15m 1781535600	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x665675…
06-12 01:18:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	81	3¢	$2	0x43a335…
06-12 00:54:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x072741…
06-12 00:30:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x50c379…
06-11 16:04:07	btc updown 15m 1781193600	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x155217…
06-11 15:59:46	btc updown 15m 1781193600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0be6f7…
06-11 15:56:27	btc updown 15m 1781192700	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x144a88…
06-11 15:46:07	btc updown 15m 1781192700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb57fff…
06-11 15:45:18	btc updown 15m 1781192700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c9881…
06-11 15:24:27	btc updown 15m 1781190900	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x2304a2…
06-11 15:19:21	btc updown 15m 1781190900	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf9cc2f…
06-11 14:52:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x332418…
06-10 16:01:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xd2e0d5…
06-09 16:14:30	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb3afe2…
06-09 16:11:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x7b4524…
06-09 16:06:16	btc updown 15m 1781020800	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3e582d…
06-09 08:49:03	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x9a3ff0…
06-09 08:43:43	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd374a6…
06-09 08:42:01	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x978857…
06-09 08:38:43	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x715628…
06-09 08:37:40	btc updown 15m 1780993800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbf0077…
06-08 03:37:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x9c942b…
06-07 00:12:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	112	72¢	$81	0xd7df60…
06-05 13:40:34	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x37e983…
06-05 13:40:03	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x38ba1d…
06-05 11:36:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0xb6fce3…
06-05 02:59:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	112	63¢	$71	0xfeea46…
06-05 02:23:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0xdde568…
06-04 03:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe38318…
06-04 03:08:15	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x89da98…
06-04 03:06:09	btc updown 15m 1780542000	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x84e7ea…
06-04 03:02:25	btc updown 15m 1780542000	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2f0b80…
06-03 10:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x973321…
06-03 10:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x81e994…
06-03 10:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe13834…
06-03 10:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd8e9a6…
06-03 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x09bd25…
06-03 10:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaee2af…
06-03 09:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x35d83b…
06-02 12:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x487372…
06-02 08:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56e843…
06-02 07:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd08a3d…
06-02 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x660662…
06-02 07:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70f08e…
06-01 15:34:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x615cbd…
06-01 15:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xee14bb…
06-01 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x19d932…
06-01 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b221c…
06-01 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6e9657…
06-01 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xeb2537…