Vague-Sprout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$811

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

2,731

Trades

6,106

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-02 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

72% 37% -$764

Crypto

28% 79% -$48

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 22c	30	$385	319	309	+10	Yes	+$242	04-15 08:03
highest temperature in singapore on april 15 2026 32c	48	$268	384	179	+205	Yes	+$267	04-15 09:03
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 30c	24	$158	135	126	+9	Yes	+$97	04-18 20:01
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 18c	22	$156	124	118	+6	Yes	+$82	04-16 17:06
highest temperature in miami on april 16 2026 80 81f	18	$116	126	81	+45	Yes	+$80	04-16 23:04
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 34c	14	$113	112	91	+21	Yes	+$90	04-18 09:02
highest temperature in singapore on april 16 2026 33c	11	$112	70	97	-27	Yes	+$54	04-16 09:01
highest temperature in singapore on april 17 2026 33c	8	$107	88	88	-0	Yes	+$68	04-17 09:03
highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 17c	14	$104	96	82	+14	Yes	+$74	04-19 17:07
highest temperature in chicago on april 17 2026 80 81f	15	$90	85	64	+21	Yes	+$45	04-17 23:01
highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 22c	12	$90	90	73	+17	Yes	+$69	04-20 08:06
highest temperature in miami on april 17 2026 84 85f	15	$86	75	53	+22	Yes	+$31	04-17 23:01
highest temperature in warsaw on april 17 2026 14c	12	$85	82	63	+19	Yes	+$54	04-17 17:07
highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 20c	18	$84	80	55	+25	Yes	+$50	04-17 17:07
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	19	$78	164	0	+164	Yes	+$86	03-22 11:37
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 18 2026 28c	14	$77	70	60	+10	Yes	+$48	04-18 20:01
highest temperature in milan on april 16 2026 25c	35	$76	335	0	+335	No	-$66	04-16 09:14
highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 20c	25	$74	78	58	+20	Yes	+$61	04-17 17:06
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 15 2026 27c	16	$74	131	59	+72	Yes	+$33	04-15 14:42
highest temperature in chengdu on april 15 2026 25c	29	$71	262	0	+262	No	-$71	04-15 03:16
highest temperature in lucknow on april 17 2026 39c	15	$70	82	49	+33	Yes	+$56	04-17 11:01
highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 25c	14	$64	259	0	+259	No	-$64	04-17 13:34
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	13	$64	58	50	+8	Yes	+$43	04-16 08:05
highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 32c	3	$63	52	52	+0	Yes	+$40	04-19 09:02
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	13	$61	53	48	+5	Yes	+$36	04-17 17:06
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	15	$59	70	47	+23	Yes	+$54	04-18 17:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	22	$59	245	0	+245	No	-$41	04-25 05:33
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 19c	18	$58	220	0	+220	No	-$58	04-16 23:01
highest temperature in ankara on april 15 2026 19c	12	$55	153	0	+153	No	-$55	04-15 04:24
highest temperature in miami on april 18 2026 86 87f	28	$55	187	0	+187	No	-$45	04-18 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x09f3e5…
07-02 17:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3ebec0…
07-02 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x557d88…
07-02 12:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x72e1af…
07-02 09:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x1ee792…
07-02 09:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xfdbdfd…
07-02 09:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x53677c…
07-02 06:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd3120b…
07-02 05:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a13a7…
07-02 04:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x103742…
07-02 03:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xbbac20…
07-02 03:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x213a5d…
07-02 03:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x984ba4…
07-02 02:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xde7419…
07-02 02:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xc656ec…
07-02 02:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf3fa09…
07-02 02:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x34707c…
07-01 16:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x07c3c1…
07-01 16:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x405d76…
07-01 16:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x0c01ff…
07-01 16:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x044fd1…
07-01 13:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x46df26…
07-01 13:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x783462…
07-01 13:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x0b6688…
07-01 12:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x884512…
07-01 07:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x946949…
07-01 07:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x42265b…
07-01 07:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xd19b83…
07-01 06:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x208169…
07-01 06:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xfed0fe…
07-01 06:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xe9cfd7…
07-01 05:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdfa3d4…
07-01 05:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7bbccc…
07-01 05:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe4b05e…
07-01 05:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x21a89a…
07-01 05:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3aa0f6…
07-01 05:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xe2e0e6…
07-01 04:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xe15456…
07-01 02:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x01bbe2…
06-30 17:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0553f4…
06-30 16:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xca28e8…
06-30 14:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x31e7c6…
06-30 13:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb8e16…
06-30 12:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xce3527…
06-30 12:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xe313c7…
06-30 11:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf9132b…
06-30 08:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3b6d3a…
06-30 06:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86ccde…
06-30 06:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x7fa6da…
06-30 05:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x1ce408…
06-30 03:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xc42a14…
06-30 02:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8191ff…
06-30 02:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x63a7e8…
06-29 16:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x240f1a…
06-29 15:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x165153…
06-29 12:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc4dbfb…
06-29 11:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x18fabe…
06-29 10:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xa367a7…
06-29 10:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x16fb18…
06-29 10:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe8b007…
06-29 09:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x1a19cc…
06-29 09:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6f66cb…
06-29 09:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x9b1227…
06-29 09:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x31bbce…
06-29 06:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfc9019…
06-29 05:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x321a8b…
06-29 04:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xa80619…
06-29 04:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xcbfc74…
06-29 04:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9bbec7…
06-29 03:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0ad757…
06-29 03:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa8f900…
06-29 03:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x144733…
06-28 15:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x9c8123…
06-28 14:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x56ee75…
06-28 13:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x6618bc…
06-28 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfe1ea1…
06-28 11:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x6faa4b…
06-28 11:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe16589…
06-28 09:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xde06fd…
06-28 06:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xda646b…
06-28 06:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x906a12…
06-28 06:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc77382…
06-28 06:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xff754e…
06-28 06:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x92e857…
06-28 06:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xdb2f8d…
06-28 05:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7b6301…
06-28 05:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x8eae6e…
06-28 05:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x17bb3e…
06-28 02:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x3cb6d1…
06-27 16:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2c59c2…
06-27 14:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd2f475…
06-27 13:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc9c585…
06-27 10:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7d61ed…
06-27 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x08ba67…
06-27 08:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x49da1b…
06-27 06:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcb9d20…
06-27 06:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x3e8fed…
06-27 06:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x69f586…
06-27 05:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb95dea…
06-27 05:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x62f247…