Apprehensive-Pie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

293

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 88% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:03
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:21
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:19
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:38
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:07
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 06:51
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4d50f…
10-27 16:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa275be…
10-27 07:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc7c4c9…
10-26 05:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23b319…
10-24 06:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a736f…
10-22 09:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3d6fb5…
10-20 04:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d79d8…
10-19 06:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad27aa…
10-18 07:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63d8a6…
10-17 07:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x09f7e3…
10-16 05:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84bf04…
10-15 05:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe7b666…
10-14 07:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbda8c4…
10-13 13:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8967f…
10-13 04:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xee85e8…
10-12 01:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2b27e…
10-11 03:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7ff9b…
10-08 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53ba5…
10-07 08:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x695f4c…
10-06 07:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe660fc…
10-04 07:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f9241…
10-03 02:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256adc…
10-02 07:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98e583…
10-02 03:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1630e…
10-01 05:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28a359…
09-30 09:22:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe50793…
09-29 06:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x955878…
09-28 08:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeba6a8…
09-27 02:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee0e54…
09-25 07:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0541da…
09-24 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea247b…
09-23 05:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3e502…
09-22 01:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7018c3…
09-21 08:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd844d2…
09-20 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe22ebf…
09-19 06:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabc2d2…
09-18 01:08:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9eae69…
09-17 01:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29d2d8…
09-16 08:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56b8b3…
09-15 23:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07584d…
09-15 02:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeccfc5…
09-14 00:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa9357…
09-13 12:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04620d…
09-12 06:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd62987…
09-11 01:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94ea30…
09-10 01:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e18c2…
09-09 00:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55cc91…
09-08 01:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe913c2…
09-07 01:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadd3df…
09-06 07:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc0e9a…
09-06 01:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x290f42…
09-05 09:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1317f0…
09-04 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56ebef…
09-03 01:10:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d77cc…
09-01 01:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6eab1…
08-30 00:12:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0718bc…
08-29 05:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x865c0e…
08-28 01:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18d668…
08-27 01:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x08b2bf…
08-26 02:00:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78ceb2…
08-25 08:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1eef0…
08-24 07:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe42d73…
08-23 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18bc12…
08-22 01:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2ef0e…
08-21 01:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb97cf3…
08-20 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ced36…
08-19 07:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8e5d8…
08-18 00:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x226bdb…
08-17 05:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfde84…
08-16 01:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac8dac…
08-15 02:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a624…
08-14 01:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523d0e…
08-13 00:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a15ae…
08-12 00:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32ab8f…
08-11 00:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfed47b…
08-10 00:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f1df2…
08-09 00:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07f814…
08-08 00:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67ef54…
08-07 00:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e3f91…
08-06 00:21:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ffdc0…
08-05 00:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe12804…
08-04 03:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02ece9…
08-03 00:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x036345…
08-02 00:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2d71…
08-01 00:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b7c9…
07-31 07:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd456ab…
07-30 00:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69ce95…
07-29 00:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeb349…
07-28 00:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x552a26…
07-27 01:21:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0552e4…
07-26 08:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc36473…
07-26 01:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a4a86…
07-25 00:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7e66c…
07-24 01:16:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd64305…
07-23 00:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523ead…
07-22 01:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90d5fe…
07-20 23:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81fb6b…
07-19 22:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa97362…
07-18 22:01:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x257fed…
07-17 23:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x971e09…