Modest-Dogwood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

235

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 09-08 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% -$471

Other

1% 32% $0

Sports

0% 25% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$401	203	203	+0	Up	+$1	09-01 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:40 UTC	3	$301	229	122	+107	Up	+$8	08-31 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$251	159	159	+0	Up	+$51	09-01 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$225	140	140	+0	Up	+$25	09-01 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$216	122	122	+0	Down	+$16	09-01 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$211	123	123	+0	Up	+$11	09-01 11:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:05 UTC	2	$210	112	112	+0	Down	+$10	09-01 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:50 UTC	3	$208	108	108	+0	Down	+$6	08-30 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC	3	$208	111	111	+0	Up	+$6	08-30 10:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:30 UTC	2	$207	108	108	+0	Up	+$7	08-31 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:30 UTC	2	$206	108	108	+0	Down	+$6	09-01 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:10 UTC	2	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	09-01 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$202	432	0	+432	Down	+$30	09-01 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 05:15 UTC	4	$202	426	0	+426	Up	+$24	08-31 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:25 UTC	3	$202	413	0	+413	Up	+$11	09-01 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 14:05 UTC	2	$200	211	0	+211	Up	-$96	08-31 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 04:10 UTC	3	$150	239	0	+239	Down	-$150	09-01 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$102	223	0	+223	Down	+$21	09-01 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:35 UTC	3	$102	319	0	+319	Down	+$17	08-31 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$102	328	0	+328	Up	+$26	09-01 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:25 UTC	2	$102	396	0	+396	Up	+$94	09-01 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$102	342	0	+342	Down	+$40	09-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$102	323	0	+323	Down	+$21	09-01 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$102	341	0	+341	Down	+$39	09-01 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$102	339	0	+339	Up	+$37	09-01 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$102	314	0	+314	Up	+$12	09-01 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$102	312	0	+312	Up	+$10	09-01 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$102	215	0	+215	Up	+$13	09-01 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:40 UTC	3	$102	207	0	+207	Up	+$3	08-31 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:50 UTC	2	$101	205	0	+205	Down	+$4	08-31 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 17:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd6a19a…
09-08 17:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd4ab33…
09-08 17:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdffde7…
09-08 17:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ffe41…
09-08 17:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x503d4b…
09-08 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1d87b9…
09-08 16:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x044b5a…
09-08 16:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79c7ff…
09-07 17:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x977d02…
09-02 14:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x0fb031…
09-02 14:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdc37f1…
09-02 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xe94689…
09-02 14:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xdc5d9e…
09-02 14:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xa1855c…
09-02 14:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xbf04be…
09-02 13:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5dda2…
09-02 05:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe006ee…
09-02 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x6714f7…
09-02 05:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e6fe5…
09-02 00:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a4ad6…
09-02 00:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe3f22b…
09-02 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c69e4…
09-01 18:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1937c8…
09-01 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xc08214…
09-01 17:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd13795…
09-01 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa842fd…
09-01 17:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x6fb53d…
09-01 17:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3a65d7…
09-01 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7d2e6e…
09-01 17:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x2bc94b…
09-01 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58cd66…
09-01 17:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0b9ec0…
09-01 17:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc29333…
09-01 17:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3219a3…
09-01 17:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a9498…
09-01 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x0d7895…
09-01 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x797112…
09-01 17:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xccd124…
09-01 17:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xc238ad…
09-01 17:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x3700af…
09-01 16:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fd878…
09-01 16:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x18c498…
09-01 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x68a367…
09-01 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a1377…
09-01 16:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf37218…
09-01 16:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0d22b1…
09-01 15:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdce4a9…
09-01 15:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x17c60b…
09-01 15:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08e34f…
09-01 15:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x66f85f…
09-01 15:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc30c88…
09-01 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb47b1…
09-01 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36a7a0…
09-01 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x32da91…
09-01 14:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x624d5f…
09-01 14:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xc48204…
09-01 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x515d04…
09-01 14:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ecc7a…
09-01 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa51037…
09-01 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x645d86…
09-01 14:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3a1002…
09-01 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x03d45f…
09-01 14:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x541d68…
09-01 14:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbcfc32…
09-01 14:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc79581…
09-01 12:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd5a7fa…
09-01 12:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x857454…
09-01 12:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x9cbd29…
09-01 11:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb4ea3b…
09-01 11:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9c2cd4…
09-01 11:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba0977…
09-01 11:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7647d…
09-01 11:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6cf837…
09-01 11:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd333e1…
09-01 11:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x4efc11…
09-01 11:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	123	90¢	$111	0xd73da7…
09-01 11:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x74b506…
09-01 11:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	140	89¢	$125	0xc837b3…
09-01 11:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x182a41…
09-01 11:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a8415…
09-01 11:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8185fd…
09-01 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3889b3…
09-01 11:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x301a62…
09-01 10:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe7a5ac…
09-01 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xee68b4…
09-01 10:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4cffd8…
09-01 10:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x53a542…
09-01 10:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0x73ce60…
09-01 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4a2275…
09-01 10:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x72b393…
09-01 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19a13f…
09-01 10:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2649a0…
09-01 10:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd6d6e4…
09-01 10:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x42c2df…
09-01 10:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	159	95¢	$151	0x4d9868…
09-01 10:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x7dadb7…
09-01 09:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x5d565e…
09-01 09:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xb32fa7…
09-01 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x23aa56…
09-01 09:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x49c7da…