Alarming-Diver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

286

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c80e7…
10-27 07:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59ecbd…
10-26 05:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf30c7d…
10-24 06:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa73c17…
10-23 07:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xada260…
10-21 08:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36b0ac…
10-19 06:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261f06…
10-18 07:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1a9f6…
10-17 07:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eda90…
10-16 05:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd80b9c…
10-15 06:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07d1b8…
10-14 07:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe6b8c…
10-13 05:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3e24a…
10-12 04:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99e260…
10-11 03:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c614a…
10-08 05:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fceba…
10-07 08:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf88f0e…
10-06 07:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3fce4…
10-04 08:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4148be…
10-03 04:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2d75f…
10-02 07:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x224ada…
10-02 03:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x188351…
10-01 07:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44308f…
09-30 09:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f5cc2…
09-29 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf27002…
09-28 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfde6f4…
09-27 02:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaec4eb…
09-25 07:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde3f47…
09-24 06:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e835f…
09-23 05:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa333c9…
09-22 06:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3a5df…
09-21 08:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ef655…
09-20 03:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0573fc…
09-19 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7680b9…
09-18 01:11:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x915624…
09-17 03:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd724bf…
09-16 08:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeffb93…
09-15 23:35:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3c96d…
09-15 02:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a4f67…
09-14 02:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5b8b7…
09-13 12:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x199de9…
09-12 08:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4055a…
09-11 06:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c3f49…
09-10 01:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x964d46…
09-09 01:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdec11d…
09-08 01:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a94b9…
09-07 01:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdef2a8…
09-06 01:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ccda5…
09-05 09:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93eb8b…
09-04 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a10af…
09-03 01:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x261939…
09-01 01:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa53c64…
08-30 01:01:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38cafe…
08-29 05:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5538ae…
08-28 01:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0592b…
08-27 01:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x88fae9…
08-26 02:03:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf3103…
08-25 08:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa88f4…
08-24 07:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc384c…
08-23 07:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x026201…
08-22 06:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89788c…
08-21 01:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc377c8…
08-20 05:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x435f5d…
08-19 07:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57668f…
08-18 01:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37beab…
08-17 06:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc130d5…
08-16 10:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f95d5…
08-15 02:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf58f97…
08-14 06:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x516119…
08-13 00:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51543e…
08-12 06:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a0f8a…
08-11 00:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd3e3a…
08-10 00:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d05da…
08-09 07:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacd307…
08-09 00:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22b2b5…
08-08 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x306a91…
08-07 00:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1cf44…
08-06 00:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde4ed9…
08-05 00:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1fab1…
08-04 03:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a3153…
08-03 00:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c8afe…
08-02 00:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7465f8…
08-01 00:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ba4c0…
07-31 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd0551…
07-30 00:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60178b…
07-29 01:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f014…
07-28 00:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e54e5…
07-27 07:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65958c…
07-26 01:10:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x000c4f…
07-25 00:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a6b4d…
07-24 01:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0d0a8…
07-23 01:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a43d6…
07-22 01:34:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0cac8…
07-20 23:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104eb2…
07-19 22:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0abb21…
07-18 22:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdba1d3…
07-17 23:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a6bad…
07-17 01:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc55d3…
07-16 08:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x914b5e…
07-15 21:40:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6812dc…