Scornful-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$486

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-07 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% — —

Politics

45% 0% $-486

Sports

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$300	1,515	0	+1,515	open	—	02-05 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$287	287,000	0	+287,000	Yes	$-287	05-09 18:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$199	199,000	0	+199,000	Yes	$-199	05-09 19:10
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$100	848	0	+848	open	—	02-05 21:01
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	1	$50	649	0	+649	open	—	02-05 21:02
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$48	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	02-05 21:02
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	10	$23	46	5	+41	open	—	05-02 10:21
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$11	17	0	+17	open	—	05-02 12:51
ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 02:06
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	4	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 11:37
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-30 11:03
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 10:21
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	05-02 08:42
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	4	$4	17	0	+17	open	—	05-02 13:59
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 11:59
ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	06-07 01:15
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$2	117	0	+117	open	—	05-30 11:56
ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-07 00:41
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$2	106	0	+106	open	—	05-02 10:18
ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-06 21:58
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 10:27
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-30 09:46
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-07 02:30
ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-06 23:09
UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 08:49
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 11:31
ufc far tom14 2026 06 06 totals 1pt5	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-07 01:07
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-30 11:26
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 13:05
ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 02:30:39	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3e98b1…
06-07 02:06:27	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xe80daf…
06-07 01:15:07	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Tom Nolan	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6a332c…
06-07 01:14:52	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Tom Nolan	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcc12e4…
06-07 01:14:24	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06 go the distance	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9305b…
06-07 01:07:09	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf10db0…
06-07 00:41:25	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xda3733…
06-07 00:39:15	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Santiago Luna	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9e1af4…
06-06 23:09:01	ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	John Yannis	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9efa8e…
06-06 22:39:37	ufc bru ed 2026 06 06	Bruno Silva	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd33ff0…
06-06 21:58:28	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x32c2ad…
06-06 21:57:43	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd825ad…
05-30 13:05:52	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alonzo Menifield	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd403bc…
05-30 11:56:52	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlston Harris	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc6a09b…
05-30 11:49:05	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlston Harris	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb484b1…
05-30 11:26:00	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf7a65a…
05-30 11:03:47	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5b8827…
05-30 10:27:49	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf4e9ef…
05-30 10:22:32	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd642e2…
05-30 09:46:49	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Aoriqileng	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc624bd…
05-30 08:49:35	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Angela Hill	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5f708d…
05-09 19:10:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199,000	0¢	$199	0x363979…
05-09 18:19:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99,000	0¢	$99	0x4a44e8…
05-09 18:19:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0xb57ba6…
05-09 16:21:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77,000	0¢	$77	0x26ee75…
05-09 16:21:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf19fe8…
05-09 16:20:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x89db52…
05-02 13:59:18	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xa1d96f…
05-02 13:55:04	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cb9d7…
05-02 13:50:24	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa3b71a…
05-02 13:48:16	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jack Della Maddalena	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x78ed57…
05-02 12:51:50	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0ad21e…
05-02 12:50:56	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6bfb24…
05-02 11:59:30	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc26d1c…
05-02 11:57:12	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x975205…
05-02 11:52:36	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Brando Pericic	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa19a20…
05-02 11:37:38	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Louie Sutherland	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf15318…
05-02 11:31:32	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x35e10b…
05-02 11:23:04	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Louie Sutherland	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa51a5a…
05-02 11:21:40	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Louie Sutherland	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x49b054…
05-02 11:20:48	UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Louie Sutherland	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x755931…
05-02 10:21:48	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7489aa…
05-02 10:21:18	UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Wes Schultz	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8dd534…
05-02 10:18:06	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5aba68…
05-02 09:59:36	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfc4235…
05-02 09:45:34	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78faea…
05-02 09:39:28	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe33179…
05-02 09:38:58	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xea0e41…
05-02 09:37:10	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7577fc…
05-02 09:36:56	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd737e6…
05-02 09:35:22	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7318a6…
05-02 09:34:38	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcd8e47…
05-02 09:34:06	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2158e0…
05-02 09:33:22	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc8cb9d…
05-02 09:18:10	UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Wes Schultz	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x50c74f…
05-02 08:42:54	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Themba Gorimbo	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc31b76…
05-02 08:41:24	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Themba Gorimbo	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfc9f43…
05-02 08:38:04	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Themba Gorimbo	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf7a241…
05-02 08:34:26	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Themba Gorimbo	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe12386…
02-05 21:02:59	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	Yes	BUY	1,054	5¢	$48	0xaf04c3…
02-05 21:02:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	Yes	BUY	649	8¢	$50	0x0100c4…
02-05 21:01:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	Yes	BUY	848	12¢	$100	0xa188a8…
02-05 21:01:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	Yes	BUY	1,515	20¢	$300	0xb778cf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	26	$39.0K	239	06-07 03:03
Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612	25	$48.6K	355	06-07 01:38
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	22	$25.0K	564	06-07 02:32
Weak-Sculpting 0xe0b5…a0d7	22	$3.02K	46	06-07 02:10
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	21	$94.3K	293	06-07 02:31
(anonymous) 0x35e7…8331	21	$3.03K	135	06-06 13:41
Frigid-Counselling 0x2b15…9b08	20	$237.1K	1,015	06-07 02:54
Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db	20	$43.1K	283	06-07 02:48