Rectangular-Armour-Cousin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$900

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-19 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 33% $-4

Other

7% 50% +$8

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% 75% +$9

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
doge updown 5m 1775406000	2	$73	52	50	+2	open	—	04-05 16:25
xrp updown 5m 1775415300	2	$72	43	42	+1	open	—	04-05 19:00
eth updown 5m 1776684600	2	$37	22	21	+0	open	—	04-20 11:35
xrp updown 5m 1776716400	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 20:25
doge updown 5m 1775585400	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	04-07 18:14
xrp updown 5m 1776683400	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 11:15
btc updown 5m 1775311200	2	$25	16	15	+0	open	—	04-04 14:05
btc updown 5m 1775345400	2	$23	14	13	+0	open	—	04-04 23:35
btc updown 5m 1775345700	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-04 23:40
btc updown 5m 1775345100	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-04 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-17 20:50
xrp updown 5m 1775584800	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-07 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776717300	2	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	04-20 20:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$19	40	40	+0	open	—	04-15 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 17:15
sol updown 5m 1776288300	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-15 21:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 17:10
hype updown 5m 1776289800	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:56
btc updown 5m 1775313900	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-04 14:50
btc updown 5m 1776716400	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-20 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 16:45
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 17:10
btc updown 5m 1775329800	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-04 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 18:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$12	73	73	+0	open	—	04-12 18:37
doge updown 5m 1776685800	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 16:59
btc updown 5m 1775346000	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-04 23:45
btc updown 5m 1775405400	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-05 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x983b61…
05-19 19:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf62c36…
05-19 19:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcb81fe…
05-19 19:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x04ab2f…
05-19 19:39:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9eb535…
05-19 19:30:18	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d8038…
05-19 19:28:33	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xc3aa92…
05-18 17:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x32579b…
05-18 17:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x5ac6ed…
05-18 17:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xa9f493…
05-18 17:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3748b9…
05-18 17:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x90d928…
05-18 17:11:53	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc90398…
05-18 17:10:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x073edb…
05-18 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb52c49…
05-18 17:10:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcf944d…
05-18 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x051f4f…
05-18 17:05:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6804cd…
05-18 17:02:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x26ecc0…
05-18 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe033f0…
05-17 20:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x67d3ba…
05-17 20:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xbb5592…
05-17 19:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0a21ce…
05-17 19:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xee6c47…
05-16 16:25:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x805b47…
05-16 15:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x83b1a7…
05-16 15:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xade2be…
05-13 01:46:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xedb87d…
05-12 16:00:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Andrey Rublev	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x4bc7b5…
05-09 17:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd07a4d…
05-09 16:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3fb292…
05-09 16:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ac781…
05-09 14:53:34	Will the fight be won by submission?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x5a0cde…
05-09 14:31:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x082289…
05-09 14:05:53	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x4f520a…
05-09 14:03:09	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x94a83e…
05-08 14:29:47	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc3e832…
05-06 16:13:25	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb99411…
05-06 16:05:29	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbfcc36…
05-06 16:04:35	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x35b1ae…
05-06 16:03:13	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7ecb06…
05-06 15:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x728a31…
04-24 17:37:36	bnb updown 5m 1777052100	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6efa51…
04-24 17:30:12	hype updown 5m 1777051500	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1562da…
04-24 17:28:28	hype updown 5m 1777051500	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0x54832a…
04-24 17:25:14	doge updown 5m 1777051200	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x920157…
04-24 17:24:44	doge updown 5m 1777051200	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0x411427…
04-24 17:00:10	sol updown 5m 1777049700	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x8d8cee…
04-24 16:59:06	sol updown 5m 1777049700	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x9f60b0…
04-24 16:55:18	xrp updown 5m 1777049400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x786722…
04-24 16:54:16	xrp updown 5m 1777049400	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x72e9d2…
04-24 16:50:26	doge updown 5m 1777049100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb1ed8…
04-24 16:49:52	doge updown 5m 1777049100	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x81f77c…
04-24 16:44:56	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x020e10…
04-20 21:06:24	xrp updown 5m 1776719100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa01e6d…
04-20 21:05:40	xrp updown 5m 1776719100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd54e99…
04-20 21:05:20	xrp updown 5m 1776718800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5097b6…
04-20 21:03:14	xrp updown 5m 1776718800	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5694f8…
04-20 20:40:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x6cd79a…
04-20 20:39:58	btc updown 5m 1776717300	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0xa56f0a…
04-20 20:39:28	btc updown 5m 1776717300	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x48dd05…
04-20 20:25:12	xrp updown 5m 1776716400	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x617199…
04-20 20:24:54	xrp updown 5m 1776716400	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb4f325…
04-20 20:22:00	btc updown 5m 1776716400	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x50b6b8…
04-20 20:21:22	btc updown 5m 1776716400	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6b979f…
04-20 11:54:54	doge updown 5m 1776685800	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x7ef073…
04-20 11:53:54	doge updown 5m 1776685800	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x68ff34…
04-20 11:35:26	eth updown 5m 1776684600	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf1dcb2…
04-20 11:34:52	eth updown 5m 1776684600	Up	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0x52720f…
04-20 11:15:28	xrp updown 5m 1776683400	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xac50ca…
04-20 11:14:56	xrp updown 5m 1776683400	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x5003f9…
04-19 18:31:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6b1154…
04-19 18:30:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x55b9f7…
04-19 18:10:58	hype updown 5m 1776621900	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9e357a…
04-19 18:09:20	hype updown 5m 1776621900	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbe13bf…
04-19 18:05:54	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xea6ad7…
04-19 17:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xf85abe…
04-19 17:53:28	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcd56aa…
04-19 17:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2ca87f…
04-19 17:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5eb153…
04-19 02:04:32	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0x01dd05…
04-18 15:46:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x0e2848…
04-18 15:44:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd3ce6e…
04-18 15:43:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x517b63…
04-15 23:45:12	btc updown 5m 1776296400	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5617a7…
04-15 23:45:00	btc updown 5m 1776296400	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xa1200a…
04-15 23:33:00	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x3d540f…
04-15 23:32:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x4968eb…
04-15 23:32:04	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x0445c0…
04-15 22:41:20	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Warriors	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x80da32…
04-15 22:05:10	nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcae2c2…
04-15 21:56:16	hype updown 5m 1776289800	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf40f5…
04-15 21:55:00	hype updown 5m 1776289800	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xab612c…
04-15 21:50:30	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd79c67…
04-15 21:49:54	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8065e6…
04-15 21:30:32	sol updown 5m 1776288300	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf7fe08…
04-15 21:30:02	sol updown 5m 1776288300	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe6bb00…
04-15 20:42:50	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6d6b51…
04-15 20:02:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xee0fd0…
04-15 19:20:04	eth updown 5m 1776280500	Up	BUY	706	1¢	$7	0x43f748…