Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$585

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

585

Trades

2,708

lifetime

Volume

$108.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 21:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

82% 63% +$753

Sports

12% 62% -$1,242

Crypto

5% 46% +$30

Pop-Culture

1% 70% +$22

Tech

0% 0% -$139

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+0	-$18	94¢	$0	+$18	08-19 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	51	$3.3K	3,137	1,475	+1,662	Spurs	+$480	01-01 18:07
highest temperature in london on january 17 10c	38	$3.3K	1,976	1,976	+0	No	+$149	01-17 13:28
nba hou bkn 2026 01 01	44	$3.2K	3,040	2,412	+628	Rockets	+$71	01-02 00:12
highest temperature in dallas on january 25 19forbelow	55	$2.1K	1,131	1,189	-58	No	+$132	01-25 21:40
highest temperature in london on january 13 13corhigher	2	$2.1K	1,072	1,072	+0	No	+$33	01-13 19:56
highest temperature in london on january 13 12c	17	$1.9K	1,005	1,005	+0	No	+$126	01-13 19:57
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	1	$1.6K	2,076	0	+2,076	Suns	-$1,578	01-04 20:54
highest temperature in seattle on january 16 54 55f	14	$1.6K	825	825	+0	No	+$45	01-16 22:50
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	8	$1.4K	767	767	+0	No	+$57	03-22 17:51
highest temperature in seattle on january 18 52 53f	7	$1.4K	746	746	+0	No	+$89	01-19 04:52
highest temperature in seattle on january 17 54 55f	15	$1.3K	698	698	+0	No	+$51	01-18 10:29
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 11corhigher	2	$1.3K	1,275	0	+1,275	No	+$23	04-04 18:43
highest temperature in london on january 12 11c	41	$1.1K	1,306	0	+1,306	Yes	+$179	01-12 16:17
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$1.1K	800	500	+300	No	+$97	03-24 07:04
Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?	21	$1.1K	602	515	+87	No	+$12	01-24 20:12
highest temperature in london on january 15 9c	19	$1.1K	1,265	60	+1,205	No	+$179	01-14 22:55
highest temperature in london on january 14 9corhigher	34	$1.0K	1,293	0	+1,293	Yes	+$251	01-14 16:14
highest temperature in ankara on january 27 10corhigher	26	$1.0K	584	527	+57	Yes	-$34	01-27 06:13
highest temperature in london on january 16 9c	18	$1.0K	547	547	+0	No	+$77	01-16 14:39
nba bkn was 2026 01 02	35	$1.0K	1,116	947	+169	Wizards	+$88	01-02 09:22
highest temperature in chicago on january 26 11forbelow	17	$993	514	521	-6	Yes	+$41	01-27 08:21
nba bos sac 2026 01 01	23	$990	2,000	0	+2,000	Celtics	+$10	01-01 16:22
highest temperature in nyc on january 17 36 37f	9	$863	480	480	+0	No	+$96	01-17 13:34
highest temperature in nyc on january 17 42 43f	5	$858	438	438	+0	No	+$18	01-18 04:40
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?	10	$857	464	464	+0	No	+$34	01-24 12:11
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 27 35corbelow	24	$856	450	450	+0	Yes	+$25	01-27 18:41
highest temperature in atlanta on january 19 42 43f	5	$839	436	436	+0	No	+$31	01-19 22:06
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$826	423	423	+0	No	+$5	03-24 19:08
highest temperature in london on january 13 11c	13	$808	499	499	+0	Yes	+$186	01-13 19:54
highest temperature in seattle on january 17 52 53f	21	$807	484	484	+0	Yes	-$34	01-18 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 21:26:16	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	86¢	$21	0x2e3d50…
08-19 20:40:55	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xe160e6…
08-14 13:01:21	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	108	86¢	$93	0xde6a75…
08-11 16:08:18	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	225	69¢	$155	0x0323da…
08-09 20:47:57	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	86¢	$215	0x192910…
07-21 07:54:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x3d7beb…
07-16 19:20:58	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x0a0f42…
07-11 20:01:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	345	6¢	$20	0xdbfa1b…
07-06 08:20:40	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x9fc76e…
07-05 19:46:40	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x40012e…
07-03 15:12:59	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x121cbb…
07-03 06:16:01	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6e799c…
07-01 23:04:44	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xd9a3ab…
06-30 13:03:01	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x62971c…
06-30 03:58:32	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2bd668…
06-29 21:50:11	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfeb441…
06-29 21:28:59	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x63414b…
06-27 15:49:11	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xa6c621…
06-25 13:10:37	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xd886f2…
06-25 09:06:55	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x1c6471…
06-25 09:04:19	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x851f5a…
06-23 21:17:19	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4d0c98…
06-22 14:12:40	Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x167acf…
06-21 12:45:41	Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4c6e4b…
06-21 12:45:34	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x85987d…
06-21 12:44:49	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x786293…
06-21 12:44:41	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x08a222…
06-21 12:44:25	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x46bfa5…
06-21 12:44:16	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd64aed…
06-21 12:43:35	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x55c577…
06-21 12:43:26	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2d3062…
06-20 08:57:16	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0xd37289…
06-20 08:57:05	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x82ca50…
06-19 05:52:59	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8e30ad…
06-17 10:49:32	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x458990…
06-17 10:48:07	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x132268…
06-09 21:57:27	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x9bbc8d…
06-07 20:32:06	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x550925…
06-07 20:31:54	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xfa4f47…
06-07 20:31:43	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x0ed0a2…
06-07 20:31:34	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xca64e2…
06-07 20:31:27	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x9c8705…
06-07 20:31:15	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x92206d…
06-07 20:31:06	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x403699…
06-07 20:30:58	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x047816…
06-07 20:30:49	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x898f87…
06-07 20:30:40	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x1e7942…
06-07 20:30:33	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x01b403…
06-07 20:30:19	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xe2494f…
06-07 20:30:12	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xe77011…
06-07 20:30:04	Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x40c9a8…
06-07 20:29:57	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xa250e6…
06-07 20:29:43	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x4862a6…
06-07 20:29:31	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x24e83d…
06-07 20:29:22	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x5c8583…
06-07 20:29:13	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xb9cdb6…
06-07 20:29:04	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xd7f00d…
06-07 20:28:52	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x5b120f…
06-07 20:28:42	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xfa1dae…
06-07 20:28:28	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x48f6e6…
06-07 20:28:06	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x22fb5b…
06-07 20:27:57	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xf2d19a…
06-07 20:27:48	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x8e9a38…
06-07 20:27:40	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xbe1ecc…
06-07 20:27:31	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x3f1d5c…
06-07 20:27:24	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x10e69a…
06-07 20:27:15	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x076a45…
06-07 20:27:04	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x22fe34…
06-07 20:26:49	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x698b4c…
06-07 20:26:43	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x668b75…
06-07 20:26:34	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x5a74c7…
06-07 20:26:25	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x47a0b6…
06-07 20:26:16	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x731e42…
06-07 20:26:09	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x4ae8b1…
06-07 20:26:00	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x458f96…
06-07 20:25:51	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x566cb4…
06-07 20:25:34	Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe7d4c7…
06-07 20:25:25	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xddd335…
06-07 20:25:16	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x68c4ed…
06-07 20:25:09	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0xb47fcc…
06-07 20:24:57	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x4d06a0…
06-07 20:24:49	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc5486f…
06-07 20:24:39	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x3269b5…
06-02 20:45:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	947	1¢	$9	0x5cd40f…
06-02 20:42:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	1¢	$5	0xe78d44…
06-01 16:10:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	57¢	$34	0xa8f961…
06-01 13:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xb98167…
06-01 13:03:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xcda11f…
05-31 13:15:20	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	95	64¢	$61	0x24f4b6…
05-31 13:14:31	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x16c7ad…
05-28 10:11:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	14¢	$6	0xc0de16…
05-26 22:06:13	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x3d0a56…
05-20 16:11:36	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x6fd125…
05-20 14:09:24	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x0a72bb…
04-11 08:05:47	highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 20c	No	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x3931b9…
04-11 07:41:37	highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 20c	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xbf81c2…
04-11 07:41:25	highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 20c	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x2dc4a9…
04-11 07:39:53	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x53a242…
04-11 07:39:43	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xb86457…
04-11 07:34:47	highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 13corbelow	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x9cc526…