Smoggy-Industrialization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$382

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

864

Trades

2,453

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-23 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$394

Other

1% 33% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:20 UTC	9	$1.1K	677	677	+0	Up	+$270	08-21 20:24
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 20:00 UTC	4	$1.0K	696	696	+0	Up	+$343	08-17 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 19:15 UTC	3	$796	507	507	+0	Up	+$196	08-16 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:35 UTC	2	$306	223	223	+0	Down	+$136	07-16 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:20 UTC	1	$288	566	0	+566	Down	-$288	08-24 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 19:50 UTC	8	$232	458	200	+258	Down	-$100	08-21 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 16:55 UTC	5	$186	128	128	+0	Up	+$66	08-12 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:10 UTC	8	$177	108	108	+0	Up	+$37	08-21 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:20 UTC	2	$176	130	130	+0	Up	+$79	09-19 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 20:05 UTC	2	$152	104	104	+0	Up	+$52	08-21 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:00 UTC	1	$150	232	0	+232	Down	-$150	08-17 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:50 UTC	2	$146	75	75	+0	Down	+$3	03-07 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	11	$142	83	83	+0	Down	+$22	08-23 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:35 UTC	2	$137	75	74	+0	Up	+$10	03-07 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:20 UTC	8	$134	96	96	+0	Up	+$58	08-21 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:30 UTC	5	$132	93	93	+0	Up	+$52	08-21 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$129	90	90	+0	Down	+$49	05-15 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:55 UTC	2	$127	78	78	+0	Down	+$27	08-16 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:05 UTC	6	$122	78	78	+0	Up	+$32	08-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$121	79	79	+0	Up	+$37	09-02 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:05 UTC	4	$120	80	80	+0	Up	+$26	07-13 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 22:40 UTC	3	$117	88	88	+0	Up	+$35	07-13 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:25 UTC	2	$113	69	69	+1	Down	+$5	03-06 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:15 UTC	2	$108	55	55	+0	Up	+$0	03-06 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 18:45 UTC	10	$108	244	0	+244	Up	-$108	08-16 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:50 UTC	3	$108	78	78	+0	Down	+$48	07-24 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$102	64	64	+0	Up	+$24	09-18 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:05 UTC	2	$101	85	85	+0	Up	+$43	07-17 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 23:30 UTC	2	$100	65	64	+1	Down	+$27	03-06 23:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 08:00 UTC	3	$98	59	59	+0	Up	+$18	09-25 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x603d8d…
10-23 06:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	40¢	$39	0xbf3c75…
10-23 06:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x7781f3…
10-07 15:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x88f910…
10-07 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1ffaa0…
10-07 15:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7e262e…
10-07 14:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x4511e4…
10-07 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xc63816…
10-07 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xab32a8…
10-07 14:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe8fe1…
10-07 14:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5af76e…
10-07 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac7432…
10-07 14:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6ab1ba…
10-07 14:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6c9563…
10-07 14:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8a1927…
10-07 14:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8ae28b…
10-07 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x008950…
10-07 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06cdb0…
10-07 14:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6127da…
10-07 14:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x741a53…
10-07 14:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x744c08…
10-07 14:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9e420a…
10-07 14:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf8a555…
10-07 14:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a6d32…
10-07 14:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb9fff3…
10-07 14:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x17222f…
10-07 14:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x452519…
10-07 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x883a18…
10-07 14:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6f0a68…
10-07 14:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdd0fa3…
10-07 09:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x569528…
10-07 09:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa4aa58…
10-07 09:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf3d982…
10-07 09:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0e1f8b…
10-07 09:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c6ffa…
10-07 09:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5b6b69…
10-07 09:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x00a1f9…
10-07 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xbe2f55…
10-07 09:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7784fb…
10-07 09:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x12a26f…
10-07 09:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x815007…
10-07 09:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7302e7…
10-07 09:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8788f5…
10-07 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaba6df…
10-07 09:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x695b0a…
10-07 08:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x949047…
10-07 08:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xff4b84…
10-07 08:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5ff84b…
10-07 08:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18a7f2…
10-07 08:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1889a3…
10-06 17:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xf74588…
10-06 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xcaccf0…
10-05 12:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x56dac7…
10-05 12:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc8eb36…
10-05 11:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x960c73…
10-05 11:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd807c…
10-05 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x146743…
10-05 10:38:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x40a9bb…
10-05 10:35:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe994e9…
10-05 10:35:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3965ec…
10-05 10:34:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x718ad0…
10-05 10:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6d7a8f…
10-05 10:25:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x273e50…
10-05 10:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xca53f9…
10-05 10:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf18811…
10-05 10:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb54633…
10-05 10:15:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x758e0a…
10-05 10:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2a0eff…
10-05 10:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xd27c1f…
10-05 10:07:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x21e56b…
10-05 09:59:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc1fefe…
10-05 09:54:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x84a9f6…
10-05 09:52:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x8cf175…
10-05 09:50:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc4f07…
10-05 09:50:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xb51fa4…
10-05 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x03b17f…
10-05 07:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70d96b…
10-05 07:51:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x11e0f3…
10-05 07:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f543b…
10-03 22:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x93e4f4…
10-03 22:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb00096…
10-03 22:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6c3a87…
10-03 22:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x669d32…
10-03 22:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xed1967…
10-03 22:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4509e8…
10-03 22:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x89e345…
10-03 22:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc6387e…
10-03 22:26:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xafd3bf…
10-03 22:25:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4dfc1d…
10-03 22:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb7c48b…
10-03 22:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4e8a44…
10-03 22:12:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xb1b6ee…
10-03 22:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa62647…
10-03 22:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x17e372…
10-03 22:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x54d6be…
10-03 22:00:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbad248…
10-03 21:56:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x449b46…
10-03 21:44:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3fe406…
10-03 21:42:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x92bff7…
09-25 20:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0785b8…