Tricky-Island — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

140

Trades

1,795

lifetime

Volume

$6.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-14 14:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

100% 39% -$86

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?	47	$238	9,202	187	+9,015	Down	-$16	05-04 20:45
msft up or down on april 10 2026	40	$219	249	151	+98	Down	+$68	04-10 19:34
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	31	$207	211	128	+83	Up	-$37	04-27 19:42
msft up or down on march 23 2026	50	$188	267	160	+108	Up	+$7	03-23 19:34
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	41	$185	255	183	+72	Up	+$26	05-18 19:41
msft up or down on june 18 2026	42	$184	231	196	+35	Up	+$1	06-18 19:50
msft up or down on april 17 2026	22	$143	173	88	+86	Up	-$1	04-17 19:18
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 19?	30	$138	149	148	+1	Down	-$8	05-19 19:40
msft up or down on april 16 2026	20	$132	146	63	+83	Up	+$10	04-16 19:39
msft up or down on june 22 2026	28	$123	128	124	+5	Down	-$26	06-22 18:26
msft up or down on july 31 2026	29	$119	226	225	+2	Up	-$10	07-31 19:36
msft up or down on march 17 2026	32	$117	189	116	+73	Down	+$6	03-17 19:50
msft up or down on april 8 2026	19	$109	130	76	+55	Up	+$10	04-08 19:39
msft up or down on march 12 2026	35	$105	1,612	92	+1,520	Down	-$15	03-12 19:54
msft up or down on june 12 2026	29	$102	144	80	+64	Up	+$41	06-12 19:00
msft up or down on april 1 2026	19	$98	166	83	+83	Down	+$19	04-01 19:27
msft up or down on march 9 2026	21	$96	143	57	+86	Up	+$41	03-09 19:50
msft up or down on april 13 2026	16	$95	109	71	+38	Up	+$31	04-13 13:56
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	25	$94	100	94	+6	Up	+$13	05-28 17:43
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?	17	$94	177	64	+113	Up	-$1	05-06 18:22
msft up or down on march 19 2026	31	$90	141	79	+62	Down	-$21	03-19 17:01
msft up or down on april 20 2026	15	$88	109	87	+22	Down	+$23	04-20 19:46
msft up or down on april 9 2026	14	$87	321	47	+274	Down	-$10	04-09 18:17
msft up or down on june 24 2026	27	$86	235	234	+1	Down	-$14	06-24 19:34
msft up or down on june 4 2026	19	$84	76	63	+13	Up	+$3	06-04 16:37
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?	19	$83	96	70	+27	Down	-$14	05-22 19:48
msft up or down on june 23 2026	16	$83	107	88	+19	Up	+$2	06-23 18:48
msft up or down on april 21 2026	17	$82	160	58	+102	Up	-$6	04-21 15:57
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 30?	10	$74	350	44	+306	Down	-$16	04-30 13:37
msft up or down on june 17 2026	18	$71	133	118	+16	Down	-$10	06-17 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:21:18	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xed06eb…
10-14 14:06:35	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xaa9724…
10-14 12:01:56	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xfc7797…
10-13 19:47:04	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x78d4ea…
10-13 19:25:55	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf068fc…
10-13 15:54:12	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xd4bfcf…
10-13 14:14:26	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x183628…
10-13 13:53:10	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x73b54b…
10-13 11:14:10	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xcc02d1…
10-12 19:24:41	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xd8e73e…
10-12 19:24:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xece77a…
10-12 19:24:27	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x32cd6d…
10-12 15:19:38	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x336bee…
10-12 14:27:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x9e5f1a…
10-07 19:49:53	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6ec62d…
10-07 18:46:19	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xb2fc15…
10-07 18:30:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x4b9509…
10-07 18:30:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x4b9509…
10-07 18:06:37	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x69d868…
10-07 17:57:13	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xdfa073…
10-07 17:36:49	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xbc99fc…
10-07 15:21:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9d671a…
10-07 15:21:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x198b91…
10-07 14:28:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x35da03…
10-07 13:11:50	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x17fb00…
10-07 10:44:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x4760b6…
10-07 10:27:53	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x199e8e…
10-07 08:34:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xcf7605…
10-05 13:32:10	msft up or down on october 5 2026	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x92c8e8…
10-05 11:19:22	msft up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xa359f9…
10-02 19:48:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xd8d002…
10-02 19:45:12	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa7f5a6…
10-02 19:20:26	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc64909…
10-02 16:28:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x15802c…
10-02 14:11:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd4e65c…
10-02 13:33:21	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x6b9a8c…
10-02 08:54:12	msft up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x7b38ef…
10-01 17:33:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xca6f43…
10-01 17:24:53	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xb58c46…
10-01 16:56:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x4cae9d…
10-01 15:04:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x08956e…
10-01 14:24:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x22edab…
10-01 13:49:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x329dd2…
10-01 13:40:27	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xdd251c…
10-01 13:35:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xc9d9bd…
10-01 13:34:29	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x080176…
10-01 13:32:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x997dd6…
09-30 19:17:50	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x7dc20e…
09-30 19:17:38	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xac9086…
09-30 13:49:38	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x84ab2e…
09-30 13:48:08	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xda54fe…
09-30 13:29:03	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x58ae7f…
09-29 19:02:50	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xdffcb0…
09-29 19:02:36	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x962c8c…
09-29 19:02:26	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x0da5c8…
09-29 18:59:39	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x1cc4b4…
09-29 18:59:27	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x9dae48…
09-29 18:53:06	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xc7ea52…
09-29 17:43:26	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	38	9¢	$3	0x790910…
09-29 14:16:56	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x0a9792…
09-29 13:41:18	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xaf6716…
09-28 09:15:50	msft up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1f563b…
09-25 13:29:03	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x9086ac…
09-25 13:25:14	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xeef81c…
09-24 14:30:00	msft up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb77015…
09-24 14:25:11	msft up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xeaf382…
09-24 11:01:27	msft up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xefe9e3…
09-23 19:41:02	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x07fd34…
09-23 19:39:52	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x9b9d5b…
09-23 19:39:13	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xdde906…
09-23 17:18:50	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x98f123…
09-23 15:56:35	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x82c9e2…
09-23 15:51:41	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x061d56…
09-23 13:47:43	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x7cc18a…
09-23 13:36:29	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xb6b3ef…
09-23 13:31:20	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xa5bfa2…
09-23 13:30:19	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xb3e166…
09-22 21:51:22	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x237e5e…
09-22 21:49:22	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xceb8a6…
09-22 19:17:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb6603a…
09-22 15:12:51	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd498ec…
09-22 14:32:52	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x05b721…
09-22 13:40:31	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x25dc9a…
09-22 13:33:34	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x72598e…
09-22 13:09:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe10638…
09-21 20:46:43	msft up or down on september 22 2026	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x3af084…
09-21 19:24:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x33d434…
09-21 19:22:25	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x973342…
09-21 16:58:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xdd149a…
09-21 16:45:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xc81e48…
09-21 16:42:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x4ffba6…
09-21 16:42:27	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0d87a3…
09-21 16:42:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0de669…
09-21 16:42:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0de669…
09-21 16:40:35	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x3fc08b…
09-21 15:46:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x29ed30…
09-21 15:36:32	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9a2ed7…
09-21 15:29:15	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x6f3163…
09-21 15:05:04	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x04305d…
09-21 14:38:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x10d82b…