Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-04

last 09-05 22:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

82% 30% -$42

Politics

15% 20% -$19

Tech

2% 100% +$17

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	13	$220	489	0	+489	Yes	+$59	09-04 11:25
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	13	$114	247	0	+247	No	-$7	09-05 03:15
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	14	$114	80	80	+0	Yes	-$14	09-05 22:22
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	6	$96	184	0	+184	Yes	+$4	09-04 10:40
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	12	$83	120	52	+68	No	-$16	09-05 22:23
will openais astra model be released by september 5 2026	9	$78	170	0	+170	Yes	+$22	09-04 14:42
Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	8	$76	120	40	+80	No	-$3	09-05 09:21
Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	8	$60	88	27	+61	Yes	-$2	09-05 21:56
Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	3	$56	95	95	+0	No	-$43	09-05 09:21
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	6	$44	40	30	+10	Yes	-$5	09-05 21:56
Will Lacy or Marlon die to a creeper again?	4	$40	47	33	+14	No	-$2	09-05 09:21
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 6?	3	$38	40	40	+0	No	+$7	09-05 22:13
Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	3	$38	40	40	+0	No	-$7	09-05 21:56
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$33	33	33	+0	open	—	09-05 09:21
Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	3	$32	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-05 21:56
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	5	$31	80	0	+80	open	—	09-04 15:48
Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-05 21:56
will openais astra model debut as 1 text arena 20260901081919669	4	$29	80	0	+80	No	-$9	09-04 16:17
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	4	$27	47	7	+40	No	+$7	09-05 21:56
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	3	$27	40	40	+0	open	—	09-05 09:21
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?	3	$25	40	40	+0	Yes	-$11	09-05 21:56
will openais astra model be released by september 7 2026	2	$24	40	0	+40	Yes	+$16	09-04 11:33
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	2	$23	40	0	+40	No	+$17	09-05 06:29
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-05 21:56
Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$4	09-05 09:21
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	3	$19	24	16	+9	open	—	09-05 09:21
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	3	$16	40	0	+40	No	-$16	09-05 06:48
Will Nongshim RedForce Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	3	$16	35	5	+31	No	+$3	09-05 09:21
Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	-$15	09-05 11:16
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 5?	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	09-05 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 22:23:03	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6993cc…
09-05 22:22:43	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x99919e…
09-05 22:19:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc53a26…
09-05 22:19:43	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0x73495c…
09-05 22:19:42	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x826003…
09-05 22:17:39	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x22b5a0…
09-05 22:17:27	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x677cba…
09-05 22:17:22	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x60f0cd…
09-05 22:16:54	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xf9c699…
09-05 22:16:51	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x80ae7b…
09-05 22:16:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf2a3f7…
09-05 22:16:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x43bc0a…
09-05 22:16:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x161d09…
09-05 22:16:42	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xf22846…
09-05 22:16:01	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf5e862…
09-05 22:15:43	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x5c2545…
09-05 22:15:03	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xa42689…
09-05 22:14:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc86436…
09-05 22:14:46	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xab8b3e…
09-05 22:14:45	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xa71a28…
09-05 22:14:43	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x0699c8…
09-05 22:13:43	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x495e7b…
09-05 22:13:42	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x93102d…
09-05 22:13:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 6?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x3081d5…
09-05 22:13:01	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf3d236…
09-05 22:12:57	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb9f9eb…
09-05 22:12:52	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x57f798…
09-05 22:12:51	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xff5a6e…
09-05 22:12:51	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xacc9e2…
09-05 22:12:51	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x690a12…
09-05 22:12:46	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x188cca…
09-05 21:56:28	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb99fdf…
09-05 21:56:28	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x2fca8c…
09-05 21:56:27	Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xdb2253…
09-05 21:56:27	Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xb42d19…
09-05 21:56:27	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	SELL	27	50¢	$14	0xae20a1…
09-05 21:56:27	Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x87e542…
09-05 21:56:27	Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x5bb941…
09-05 21:56:27	Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	No	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x18bdc1…
09-05 21:56:25	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0xee8a42…
09-05 17:06:55	Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x32ac6b…
09-05 16:51:16	Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xd78a3e…
09-05 16:51:16	Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x50a124…
09-05 16:50:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x44d156…
09-05 16:44:31	Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5d943f…
09-05 16:44:21	Will ZooMaa Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x7c2f9d…
09-05 16:41:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x05850d…
09-05 16:31:31	Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x376971…
09-05 16:26:39	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb6c7e1…
09-05 16:21:28	Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe68b16…
09-05 15:37:33	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x37da57…
09-05 15:37:30	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x56d32f…
09-05 15:36:28	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4b4961…
09-05 15:36:27	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x723f07…
09-05 15:27:31	Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xaeba97…
09-05 15:27:31	Will Hungrybox Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x36d91a…
09-05 15:27:30	Will Hungrybox Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xf76aa7…
09-05 15:27:30	Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$5	0x897337…
09-05 15:25:39	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xfdfd3f…
09-05 15:25:30	Will Hungrybox Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x7e162d…
09-05 15:25:30	Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x72e65d…
09-05 15:23:37	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4e9795…
09-05 15:10:28	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x85a284…
09-05 15:09:28	Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x3617c1…
09-05 15:00:30	Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1d18d9…
09-05 14:59:19	Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of September 19?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8c39f3…
09-05 14:54:46	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x12af7d…
09-05 14:46:33	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd71c1e…
09-05 14:46:33	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6d47f8…
09-05 14:46:31	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x9d7360…
09-05 14:46:31	Will GentleMates Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6ff926…
09-05 14:26:31	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc9233a…
09-05 14:22:43	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5f21c4…
09-05 14:22:40	Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc43af8…
09-05 14:22:40	Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x07557a…
09-05 14:22:36	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x148421…
09-05 14:22:31	Will Shopify Rebellion Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb3ce56…
09-05 14:22:30	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x86e893…
09-05 14:22:28	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0a93d6…
09-05 14:21:31	Will Shopify Rebellion Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe24372…
09-05 14:21:31	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x02070c…
09-05 14:21:30	Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x7f7722…
09-05 14:21:28	Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf065b3…
09-05 14:21:27	Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4ec1d1…
09-05 11:59:21	Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x2a699e…
09-05 11:59:12	Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x969020…
09-05 11:40:13	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6dc764…
09-05 11:38:04	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x54e222…
09-05 11:17:39	Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe4b45c…
09-05 11:16:04	Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8f5e6f…
09-05 11:13:22	Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x08634c…
09-05 11:03:57	Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x345e98…
09-05 09:21:22	Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xca621a…
09-05 09:21:22	Will Lacy and Marlon have 100 or more Fortnite deaths during the marathon?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xb7285c…
09-05 09:21:22	Will Nongshim RedForce Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3b517c…
09-05 09:21:22	Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	7¢	$6	0x29cf25…
09-05 09:21:21	Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?	No	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0xb7af16…
09-05 09:21:21	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x1284a8…
09-05 09:21:21	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x10ec85…
09-05 09:21:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0xd0795b…