Negligible-Icebreaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved (90d)

272

Trades (90d)

1,750

2,071 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$159.4K

$204.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-23 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 66% -$5,709

Other

8% 40% -$843

Sports

1% 25% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1068 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:10 UTC	71	$2.6K	2,277	2,277	+0	Up	+$210	08-25 19:13
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?	9	$2.1K	1,726	1,726	+0	No	-$295	06-03 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:05 UTC	4	$2.0K	1,237	1,237	+0	Up	+$202	08-27 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:35 UTC	4	$2.0K	1,290	1,290	+0	Down	+$110	08-27 02:39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	7	$2.0K	2,019	2,019	+0	No	-$400	06-13 23:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 20:50 UTC	5	$1.9K	1,381	1,018	+364	Up	+$82	08-25 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	4	$1.9K	1,293	1,293	+0	Down	-$36	08-27 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:25 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,258	1,258	+0	Down	-$73	08-27 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	6	$1.8K	1,898	1,898	+0	Down	+$611	10-21 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:30 UTC	14	$1.8K	1,086	1,086	+0	Up	+$100	10-16 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:35 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,195	1,195	+0	Down	-$106	08-27 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:55 UTC	6	$1.6K	969	969	+0	Down	+$46	08-27 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:20 UTC	5	$1.6K	1,430	1,198	+232	Up	+$213	08-25 04:23
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?	5	$1.6K	3,232	2,951	+281	Yes	-$88	06-04 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	40	$1.6K	1,631	594	+1,037	Up	+$193	08-25 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,520	510	+1,010	Down	+$57	09-03 00:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	2	$1.4K	739	739	+0	Up	+$81	10-16 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$1.3K	1,573	1,573	+0	Down	+$499	10-21 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:10 UTC	18	$1.3K	1,426	1,182	+244	Up	+$170	08-25 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:30 UTC	5	$1.3K	2,845	1,363	+1,483	Down	-$107	08-25 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:30 UTC	22	$1.3K	1,002	1,002	+0	Down	+$51	08-25 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	5	$1.2K	1,169	1,169	+0	Down	+$49	08-27 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC	31	$1.2K	1,771	1,308	+463	Up	+$259	08-26 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	4	$1.2K	1,172	1,172	+0	Up	+$441	08-25 05:19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	5	$1.2K	775	775	+0	Yes	+$146	06-11 20:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?	2	$1.2K	662	662	+0	Yes	+$105	06-10 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:35 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,035	1,035	+0	Down	+$191	08-27 03:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:40 UTC	7	$1.2K	1,838	894	+944	Up	-$114	08-27 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	840	840	+0	Down	+$110	08-25 04:00
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?	2	$1.1K	643	643	+0	Yes	+$143	06-03 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 02:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,339	39¢	$526	0xb8e9b7…
10-23 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x75fa20…
10-23 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x7526de…
10-23 02:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xf663a7…
10-23 02:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	373	75¢	$280	0x564646…
10-23 02:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	373	54¢	$200	0x7e63db…
10-23 02:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	303	77¢	$233	0x71b8e3…
10-23 02:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xf118d4…
10-23 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	439	75¢	$329	0xd3729f…
10-23 02:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	439	46¢	$200	0x27800f…
10-23 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	370	61¢	$225	0x33fc6a…
10-23 02:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xca2983…
10-23 02:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xa1392e…
10-23 02:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	528	69¢	$366	0x75c0cb…
10-23 02:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	528	38¢	$200	0xd9cad5…
10-23 02:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	312	11¢	$34	0x04b03a…
10-23 02:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,654	10¢	$166	0x03fd34…
10-23 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	386	52¢	$200	0x99483d…
10-23 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	389	51¢	$200	0x58efc2…
10-23 02:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x01b7fc…
10-23 01:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	469	1¢	$5	0xe69634…
10-23 01:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	469	43¢	$200	0x103b44…
10-23 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0x3f6e46…
10-23 01:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	360	69¢	$248	0x4cb037…
10-23 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	360	56¢	$200	0x651aec…
10-23 01:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0xc53edb…
10-21 04:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x289ad6…
10-21 04:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	705	33¢	$236	0x4a390a…
10-21 04:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	705	28¢	$200	0xd56908…
10-21 04:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	859	23¢	$200	0x319191…
10-21 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	588	23¢	$135	0x6c10ea…
10-21 04:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0xc5c35a…
10-21 04:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xaee746…
10-21 04:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	377	80¢	$303	0xc74f15…
10-21 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x3aabe2…
10-21 04:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	574	42¢	$240	0xa2d866…
10-21 04:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	574	26¢	$150	0x9357e2…
10-21 04:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	371	76¢	$284	0xb02035…
10-21 04:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0x026c71…
10-21 04:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x7d5acc…
10-21 04:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	541	42¢	$226	0xb6720f…
10-21 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0x93e936…
10-21 04:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	465	78¢	$362	0x184bb8…
10-21 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xb51b79…
10-21 04:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	403	67¢	$271	0x17f313…
10-21 04:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	403	50¢	$200	0x475f0c…
10-21 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	866	76¢	$655	0x5ee378…
10-21 04:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	866	23¢	$200	0x034986…
10-21 04:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	608	51¢	$309	0xdb3b3f…
10-21 04:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	608	33¢	$200	0x87893f…
10-21 04:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	424	58¢	$246	0x18390b…
10-21 04:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	424	47¢	$200	0xceba7f…
10-21 04:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x28863a…
10-21 04:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x41de1e…
10-21 04:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1,208	34¢	$416	0x27f06c…
10-21 04:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,208	17¢	$200	0xb62601…
10-21 03:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	806	30¢	$243	0x3ee9c3…
10-21 03:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	806	25¢	$200	0xa21ae2…
10-21 03:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	604	33¢	$200	0x79c2c5…
10-21 03:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	417	64¢	$267	0xa0a567…
10-21 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x56f13b…
10-21 03:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	625	51¢	$321	0xf94a1c…
10-21 03:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	625	24¢	$150	0x46af08…
10-21 03:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	392	70¢	$276	0xd032e6…
10-21 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x196610…
10-21 03:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	652	23¢	$150	0xcbd05f…
10-21 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	712	38¢	$271	0xb60873…
10-21 03:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	577	46¢	$267	0x031b70…
10-21 03:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	637	31¢	$200	0xe3d9d1…
10-21 03:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	652	31¢	$200	0xa1c10e…
10-21 03:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	412	67¢	$276	0xe3d20c…
10-21 03:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	412	49¢	$200	0x274abf…
10-21 03:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	303	73¢	$220	0x254094…
10-21 03:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xe33d0a…
10-21 03:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x560113…
10-21 03:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	70	41¢	$29	0x99d17f…
10-21 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	547	37¢	$200	0x8285aa…
10-21 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	618	32¢	$200	0x712eec…
10-21 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	349	68¢	$237	0x2612d2…
10-21 03:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	349	57¢	$200	0x41dd47…
10-21 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	905	51¢	$459	0xed18f6…
10-21 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	280	26¢	$72	0xf3800c…
10-21 03:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	625	24¢	$150	0x273068…
10-21 03:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	668	69¢	$461	0x520d47…
10-21 03:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	668	30¢	$200	0x26ec44…
10-21 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	294	83¢	$244	0x00ca35…
10-21 03:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x5fe7c1…
10-21 03:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	625	48¢	$300	0x678fa0…
10-21 03:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0x1f5a3b…
10-21 03:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0xd2c230…
10-21 02:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	336	59¢	$200	0xddcd45…
10-21 02:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	323	92¢	$297	0x00d70f…
10-21 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x892371…
10-21 02:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	418	68¢	$284	0x436b9d…
10-21 02:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	418	48¢	$200	0xeac38a…
10-21 02:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x00ea1e…
10-21 02:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,211	40¢	$479	0x0bd345…
10-21 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0xe3e72a…
10-21 02:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	605	33¢	$200	0x68a114…
10-21 02:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	571	56¢	$318	0x8e13fe…