Realized P&L
-$633
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
55.8%
Resolved
384
Trades
1,070
lifetime
Volume
$6.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$845
20 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 10-30 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
70% 25% +$113
Politics
30% 20% -$722
Sports
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +150 $105 96¢ $145 +$40 10-30 14:48
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +130 $92 76¢ $98 +$6 10-22 06:27
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $84 74¢ $74 -$10 10-19 19:52
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +120 $73 48¢ $58 -$15 10-28 13:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +100 $46 56¢ $56 +$10 10-27 23:32
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +100 $46 56¢ $56 +$11 10-27 23:36
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +272 $55 20¢ $53 -$2 10-23 07:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +70 $52 74¢ $51 $0 10-27 20:01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $46 57¢ $46 +$0 10-21 18:26
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $32 70¢ $35 +$3 10-30 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +49 $31 70¢ $35 +$4 10-25 20:43
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $30 30¢ $29 -$1 10-28 01:58
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +100 $32 29¢ $29 -$4 10-27 23:14
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +50 $30 48¢ $24 -$7 10-28 09:02
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$1 10-21 16:24
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$3 10-27 17:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $0 10-15 09:24
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +20 $4 11¢ $2 -$2 10-20 13:09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +159 $41 1¢ $2 -$39 10-25 20:44
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-19 05:03