Likable-Discount — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$411

Unrealized P&L

+$2.60K

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

161

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$5.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$6.73K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-27 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

73% 40% -$53

Other

18% 51% -$24

Sports

6% 44% -$332

Crypto

2% 44% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+14,791	$4,129	46¢	$6.7K	+$2,601	10-27 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	6	$4.1K	14,791	0	+14,791	open	—	10-27 13:31
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$244	480	0	+480	No	-$244	05-08 15:57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	4	$244	200	200	+0	Yes	+$140	05-30 18:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$119	221	221	+0	No	-$49	05-30 16:56
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?	2	$93	360	360	+0	No	-$42	09-14 19:23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$90	258	0	+258	No	-$90	07-07 17:42
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$45	412	0	+412	No	-$45	05-16 22:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	3	$27	24	24	+0	Yes	+$19	09-11 15:56
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$25	100	100	+0	No	-$5	01-31 16:50
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	1	$24	124	0	+124	No	-$24	09-14 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	2	$13	11	11	+0	Yes	+$9	08-27 05:32
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-08-26?	2	$12	9	9	+0	No	+$6	08-26 11:59
Will Empoli FC win on 2026-09-11?	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$3	09-11 18:35
Gangwon FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5	3	$11	11	6	+5	Over	+$0	08-26 12:18
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?	2	$11	9	9	+0	No	+$3	08-25 17:52
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	09-11 02:13
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	2	$10	7	7	+0	Under	+$4	09-11 03:25
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	2	$10	8	8	+0	Fenerbahçe SK	+$5	08-26 20:52
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$3	08-25 20:17
Ogre United vs. FK Liepaja: O/U 2.5	3	$10	6	6	+0	Over	+$2	09-11 15:36
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-11 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	09-11 15:27
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5	2	$9	7	7	+0	Over	+$5	08-26 19:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	09-11 15:27
cs2 ntr 33 2026 08 26	2	$9	5	5	+0	Nuclear TigeRES	+$2	08-26 14:00
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-11 20:46
val ge1 drx1 2026 08 26	2	$8	5	5	+0	Global Esports	+$2	08-26 13:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	3	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	08-25 00:13
NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	2	$8	5	5	+0	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	+$3	08-26 21:32
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	08-26 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:31:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4,758	21¢	$999	0xa6be9d…
10-19 12:16:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	452	29¢	$131	0xf5db38…
10-15 10:44:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,856	28¢	$800	0xdd0a7a…
10-12 20:41:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	643	31¢	$199	0x0d15b4…
10-12 20:34:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3,223	31¢	$999	0xb0bc15…
10-11 14:30:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,860	35¢	$1,001	0x323bba…
09-14 19:25:09	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	124	19¢	$24	0x54a6de…
09-14 19:23:21	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	360	7¢	$25	0x503e1c…
09-14 19:13:13	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	360	19¢	$67	0x50b394…
09-11 23:27:03	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x37a85c…
09-11 23:26:55	Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xcdc635…
09-11 23:26:40	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe348bd…
09-11 23:26:36	Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf324af…
09-11 23:26:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x6f2e1d…
09-11 22:32:39	Will Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x16a8ce…
09-11 22:22:30	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x087d2f…
09-11 22:18:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x2d5602…
09-11 21:16:16	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x93b6db…
09-11 21:03:13	Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc45662…
09-11 21:00:12	Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb08760…
09-11 20:59:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xec857e…
09-11 20:46:55	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc26214…
09-11 19:38:42	West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe69b99…
09-11 19:11:12	Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x07ba4e…
09-11 18:35:43	Will Empoli FC win on 2026-09-11?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfbcc67…
09-11 18:26:51	Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe6537b…
09-11 18:26:51	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xc8decc…
09-11 18:26:51	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9256cd…
09-11 18:16:15	Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbf275b…
09-11 17:45:52	West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa4191e…
09-11 16:19:07	Will Empoli FC win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xaa5503…
09-11 16:09:55	Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x98ca38…
09-11 15:58:48	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x7849ed…
09-11 15:56:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x2ef9bc…
09-11 15:55:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x9c0c59…
09-11 15:40:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe08739…
09-11 15:36:24	Ogre United vs. FK Liepaja: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5effa5…
09-11 15:35:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x6a8f9f…
09-11 15:27:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe960b6…
09-11 15:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x9b8076…
09-11 15:03:01	Will Ratchaburi FC vs. Bangkok United FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1543f6…
09-11 15:00:21	FC Eindhoven vs. FC Dordrecht: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdb0132…
09-11 14:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x06c07f…
09-11 14:44:40	Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d2ce0…
09-11 14:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xa04a06…
09-11 14:09:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x647d98…
09-11 14:08:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x23678f…
09-11 13:59:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x58f415…
09-11 13:00:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x5799ba…
09-11 13:00:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7382e1…
09-11 13:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa7afa8…
09-11 13:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8676dc…
09-11 13:00:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x853b51…
09-11 13:00:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	89	3¢	$3	0xb8b7a4…
09-11 12:29:10	Ogre United vs. FK Liepaja: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9f973b…
09-11 12:27:48	Ogre United vs. FK Liepaja: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x166c0e…
09-11 11:43:48	Buriram United vs. Chiangrai United: Draw at halftime?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2944b2…
09-11 11:29:48	Buriram United leading at halftime?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x481dfe…
09-11 10:38:36	Buriram United vs. Chiangrai United: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x573b62…
09-11 10:38:36	Buriram United leading at halftime?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x356397…
09-11 09:00:07	Will Ratchaburi FC vs. Bangkok United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7dcc1a…
09-11 06:31:07	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x88711c…
09-11 03:25:13	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	Under	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x386048…
09-11 03:05:57	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5	Over	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x28760d…
09-11 02:26:09	Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x631ae4…
09-11 02:13:28	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xdc9025…
09-11 02:06:51	Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-10?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x5c845d…
09-11 01:45:48	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Independiente del Valle	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x19d18a…
09-10 23:47:22	Counter-Strike: Voca vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	Voca	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x434b01…
09-10 23:47:19	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	Independiente del Valle	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc8a6be…
09-10 23:47:19	Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9684c0…
09-10 23:47:18	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x0cd423…
09-10 23:47:16	Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4a7fb0…
09-10 22:04:12	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x12c124…
09-10 22:04:10	49ers vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8d7507…
09-10 22:04:09	49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x8b34ef…
08-27 19:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x952256…
08-27 19:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x001a18…
08-27 10:48:15	val geng ns1 2026 08 27	Nongshim RedForce	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6c48af…
08-27 06:00:37	cs2 sta6 g1 2026 08 27	STATE	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xeb9a98…
08-27 05:32:55	val geng ns1 2026 08 27	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x57c0b1…
08-27 05:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x415fbe…
08-27 05:32:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6c271b…
08-27 05:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x63b0e8…
08-27 05:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 27?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0xf19cc2…
08-27 05:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xa7551e…
08-26 21:32:27	NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Team to Advance	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x185328…
08-26 20:52:45	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Team to Advance	Fenerbahçe SK	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xa90f75…
08-26 19:52:43	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d1169…
08-26 19:48:46	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x28e2c1…
08-26 18:54:30	mlb tb det 2026 08 26 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x3d60ce…
08-26 18:24:33	Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0b9111…
08-26 18:24:28	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x368efe…
08-26 17:55:52	Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x109bf1…
08-26 17:14:36	Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x85f914…
08-26 17:14:28	Viking FK vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfa986b…
08-26 17:14:28	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x7753cb…
08-26 17:14:25	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3e0688…
08-26 17:14:24	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x2027c8…
08-26 17:14:22	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe1dc3d…