Outlandish-Taco-Damage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$4.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-07 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 80% +$4

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$122	73	73	+0	open	—	05-14 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$120	68	68	+0	Up	+$10	05-13 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	7	$114	89	75	+14	open	—	05-14 16:40
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	05-17 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$82	62	29	+33	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$80	94	0	+94	Down	+$14	05-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$78	58	31	+26	open	—	05-14 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$57	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$55	31	29	+2	open	—	05-14 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$55	64	0	+64	Up	+$9	05-13 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$55	69	0	+69	Down	+$14	05-13 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	05-15 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$55	35	35	+0	open	—	05-14 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$52	60	45	+15	Down	$-48	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$52	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-14 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	Down	$-50	05-13 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$50	55	0	+55	Up	+$5	05-13 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-13 21:18
bnb updown 5m 1779022500	5	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$49	60	31	+30	open	—	05-15 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$47	41	14	+27	open	—	05-14 12:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$44	49	0	+49	open	—	05-15 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$42	59	0	+59	Down	+$17	05-13 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$40	57	8	+50	open	—	05-14 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 18:04:55	btc updown 5m 1780855200	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd33ff7…
05-19 11:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x980931…
05-19 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x360b36…
05-19 11:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x95b35f…
05-19 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd94115…
05-19 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x980458…
05-19 11:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x32d827…
05-19 10:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd9e9ad…
05-19 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x57a8d5…
05-19 10:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf195d…
05-19 10:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x46bc00…
05-19 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf06c57…
05-18 16:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xec925c…
05-18 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7dd5f1…
05-18 16:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x3c26dc…
05-18 16:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x83b18d…
05-18 16:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x2ddebe…
05-18 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xef31b3…
05-18 16:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2c39c5…
05-18 16:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xfda0ee…
05-18 16:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6e217a…
05-18 15:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x344d59…
05-18 15:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa063e2…
05-18 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xa18a28…
05-18 15:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6b9c76…
05-18 15:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x434396…
05-18 15:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x1c32c6…
05-18 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbb1498…
05-18 15:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x1840c9…
05-18 15:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb77451…
05-18 15:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xea6141…
05-18 15:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b45d2…
05-18 15:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x389ac1…
05-18 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6273de…
05-18 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x1ca3ba…
05-18 14:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaa60e5…
05-18 14:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1715ea…
05-18 14:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x021f25…
05-18 14:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4b3305…
05-18 14:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xdc2d30…
05-18 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe6f782…
05-18 14:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd47834…
05-18 13:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x3e3580…
05-18 13:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x469afc…
05-18 12:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb50201…
05-18 12:56:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x95b2c7…
05-18 12:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1cc9a0…
05-18 12:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xb46628…
05-18 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6eb8f5…
05-18 12:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xda86bc…
05-18 12:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x33a48d…
05-18 10:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x9bd34e…
05-18 10:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4dd7ab…
05-18 10:03:19	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xe3ad8b…
05-18 10:00:57	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x65cb60…
05-18 09:58:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xa1cac5…
05-18 09:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0xd66b22…
05-18 09:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2f6d26…
05-18 09:56:03	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd49713…
05-18 09:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x9838e4…
05-18 09:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x694406…
05-18 09:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x197755…
05-18 09:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xce899d…
05-18 08:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3f5ed5…
05-18 08:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7fe86a…
05-18 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x566b67…
05-18 08:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x918436…
05-18 08:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa85326…
05-18 08:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x81dc39…
05-18 08:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf536ad…
05-18 08:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xcec1dd…
05-18 08:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x24053f…
05-18 08:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xdfed68…
05-18 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfb12cb…
05-18 08:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2b391b…
05-18 08:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0x8ad5e7…
05-18 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbdb376…
05-18 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe71518…
05-18 07:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7a2efe…
05-18 07:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x74a0af…
05-18 07:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8132da…
05-18 07:50:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x659aa4…
05-18 07:50:22	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xe35f46…
05-18 07:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce662f…
05-18 07:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34b8c7…
05-18 07:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2a61fe…
05-18 07:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf68cc6…
05-17 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x053c76…
05-17 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf4ae35…
05-17 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2c6502…
05-17 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x59ac62…
05-17 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$5	0x06a9ec…
05-17 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4d7e93…
05-17 20:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x86f039…
05-17 20:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0d6577…
05-17 20:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x97efaa…
05-17 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2dc68f…
05-17 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xfc8aa1…
05-17 20:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x56178b…
05-17 20:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe45e22…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	220	$28.1K	13,675	06-07 18:04
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	220	$28.0K	2,610	06-07 18:04
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	216	$11.5K	1,654	06-07 18:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	215	$229.1K	8,913	06-07 18:05
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	214	$27.4K	1,663	06-07 18:00
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	212	$3.28K	2,602	06-07 18:04
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	209	$43.5K	8,074	06-07 18:03
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	208	$17.5K	3,718	06-07 18:04