Severe-Teller — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$656

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

13,177

Trades

25,012

lifetime

Volume

$131.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-15 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% -$507

Other

3% 55% -$161

Sports

0% 76% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:20 UTC	13	$490	1,146	+1,146	Down	-$490	03-27 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:25 UTC	8	$440	747	+747	Up	-$440	03-27 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:50 UTC	22	$373	648	+648	Down	+$275	03-27 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:40 UTC	9	$291	600	+600	Down	+$209	03-27 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:45 UTC	15	$276	636	+636	Up	-$270	03-27 02:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:20 UTC	14	$250	500	+500	Down	-$250	04-03 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:40 UTC	34	$250	481	+481	Down	-$250	04-03 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 14:30 UTC	10	$230	452	+452	Down	+$221	04-03 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:05 UTC	16	$218	420	+420	Up	-$218	04-03 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC	16	$217	410	+410	Up	+$193	04-02 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:15 UTC	28	$209	418	+418	Up	-$209	04-03 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:00 UTC	15	$208	399	+399	Down	+$192	04-03 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:45 UTC	22	$200	350	+350	Up	+$144	03-27 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:45 UTC	9	$200	370	+370	Up	+$170	04-02 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 14:10 UTC	1	$193	488	+488	Up	+$294	04-02 14:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 22:20 UTC	2	$180	409	+409	Up	-$180	04-01 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 17:15 UTC	1	$163	380	+380	Down	-$163	04-03 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 04:20 UTC	12	$159	325	+325	Up	+$166	04-01 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:40 UTC	16	$159	300	+300	Down	-$159	04-01 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:45 UTC	13	$156	339	+339	Down	+$183	04-01 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 11:40 UTC	11	$153	312	+312	Down	+$159	04-01 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 02:55 UTC	4	$153	235	+235	Down	+$42	03-27 02:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 02:00 UTC	2	$151	291	+291	Down	-$151	04-02 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 07:30 UTC	8	$139	235	+235	Up	-$139	04-03 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 21:20 UTC	3	$134	264	+264	Up	-$134	04-03 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:55 UTC	17	$133	256	+256	Up	+$123	04-03 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:00 UTC	36	$131	386	+386	Down	-$131	04-03 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 01:00 UTC	2	$129	262	+262	Down	+$134	04-04 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 10:55 UTC	22	$128	256	+256	Up	+$128	04-03 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:35 UTC	13	$126	618	+618	Down	-$114	03-27 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 22:05:42	Minnesota United FC vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x899e63…
10-15 22:03:23	FC Twente vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6991de…
10-15 22:02:47	Portland Timbers vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6cbd42…
10-15 22:01:51	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf8a125…
10-14 21:09:19	mls dcu nyr 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4aba59…
10-14 21:08:07	D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xebe86e…
10-14 21:07:49	mls dcu nyr 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5d905b…
10-14 01:39:41	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb76e01…
10-14 01:39:26	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfe0ae6…
10-11 18:20:28	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9f9f12…
10-11 18:07:21	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x521d96…
10-11 18:06:28	ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc6d713…
10-11 18:03:15	Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3fccf8…
10-05 22:37:19	CA Banfield vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x3ee282…
10-05 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x48ef6a…
10-05 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd27274…
10-05 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xcbf48e…
10-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x007f4b…
10-04 23:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd77d23…
10-04 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x36aad6…
10-04 23:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x05f452…
10-04 23:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d1c7b…
10-04 23:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xba0ed0…
10-04 23:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9dc7da…
10-04 23:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6eb3dc…
10-04 23:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf37b92…
10-04 23:00:04	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8bc62f…
10-04 22:55:52	Trinidad and Tobago vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second Half	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa497b9…
10-04 22:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x049f5b…
10-04 22:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb255dd…
10-04 22:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3fff89…
10-04 22:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x201b16…
10-04 22:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x835597…
10-04 22:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7aabc7…
10-04 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc8a061…
10-04 22:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x7ec3bc…
10-04 22:05:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x579649…
10-04 22:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x1d57a5…
10-04 21:14:40	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x358c3c…
10-04 21:09:35	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xca54a4…
10-04 21:04:43	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a22e4…
10-04 20:59:58	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x31f29e…
10-04 18:00:08	dogecoin up or down october 4 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x91d3fe…
10-04 14:19:37	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1f8a33…
10-04 11:59:55	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x8beb69…
10-04 10:59:53	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x51369b…
10-04 09:59:55	bitcoin up or down october 4 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc7e6d5…
10-04 09:30:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbb02f8…
10-04 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x09e9af…
10-03 22:54:35	BNB Up or Down - October 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x778211…
10-03 22:49:37	BNB Up or Down - October 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x215d87…
10-03 19:24:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4413a6…
10-03 15:09:38	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x595dac…
10-03 14:34:38	BNB Up or Down - October 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xba9d9c…
10-03 13:49:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x98fe3e…
10-03 12:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x607724…
10-03 01:59:53	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb83573…
10-02 18:00:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x82b3f7…
10-02 17:59:54	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7e26ce…
10-02 17:02:47	Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xcc8e05…
10-02 09:09:47	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x332f2d…
10-02 04:59:56	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0xd9dc54…
10-02 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x577c8e…
10-02 03:59:53	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb2ad3b…
10-02 02:59:44	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbdbed1…
10-02 02:43:12	Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfe52fe…
10-02 02:41:05	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x604fbd…
10-02 02:40:18	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x65cb37…
10-02 02:40:00	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3bee7c…
10-02 01:26:26	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9b1bb2…
10-01 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x803f16…
10-01 17:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xac368d…
10-01 13:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x36565a…
10-01 09:19:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x14cae9…
10-01 09:14:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xba47fa…
10-01 07:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x146542…
10-01 05:59:45	solana up or down october 1 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x59c607…
10-01 03:24:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x079f30…
09-30 22:44:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x71fc47…
09-30 22:39:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x49123f…
09-30 22:09:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf76193…
09-30 22:04:38	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbf0b48…
09-30 20:15:53	New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x185329…
09-30 14:59:12	fif arg bol 2026 09 30 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x12661e…
09-30 14:58:51	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9a7405…
09-30 14:58:27	OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x95b76f…
09-30 14:34:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xed26a4…
09-30 14:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc1211d…
09-30 14:29:44	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x23bcc9…
09-30 13:44:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x340548…
09-30 12:59:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xbbfea3…
09-30 12:54:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x17fae3…
09-30 12:49:36	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x2a373d…
09-30 12:44:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x991f32…
09-30 09:30:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5859b5…
09-30 07:29:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb860d0…
09-30 05:00:03	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x75aca3…
09-29 23:44:48	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9b6dfe…
09-29 17:59:45	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf7efe7…
09-29 15:31:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x261518…