Dependent-Nerve — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

6,107

Trades

10,836

lifetime

Volume

$344.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-22 07:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:00 UTC	17	$550	404	200	+204	Down	-$23	04-20 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:15 UTC	10	$484	250	249	+0	Up	-$3	04-17 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:20 UTC	10	$477	250	250	+0	Down	-$7	04-17 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:00 UTC	12	$474	300	200	+100	Down	-$4	04-20 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:15 UTC	12	$441	256	200	+56	Up	+$8	04-17 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 18:50 UTC	14	$439	416	250	+166	Down	-$22	04-17 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:20 UTC	17	$424	400	50	+350	Up	+$10	04-17 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 17:30 UTC	11	$412	418	0	+418	Up	+$7	04-17 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC	10	$390	350	50	+300	Up	+$7	04-18 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:20 UTC	11	$387	300	150	+150	Up	-$54	04-20 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:40 UTC	14	$387	410	100	+310	Up	-$5	04-17 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:05 UTC	7	$346	350	0	+350	Up	+$4	04-20 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 11:05 UTC	9	$345	350	0	+350	Up	+$4	04-20 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:40 UTC	9	$344	317	100	+217	Down	+$1	04-21 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:25 UTC	17	$343	350	0	+350	Down	+$7	04-17 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 10:15 UTC	8	$343	233	150	+83	Up	-$3	04-21 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 09:35 UTC	11	$342	350	0	+350	Up	+$8	04-20 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:30 UTC	9	$342	350	0	+350	Down	+$8	04-17 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:10 UTC	7	$336	347	0	+347	Down	+$10	04-20 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:55 UTC	15	$335	300	50	+250	Up	+$14	04-17 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:00 UTC	7	$331	300	50	+250	Up	+$4	04-20 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	16	$326	350	0	+350	Up	+$24	04-17 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:05 UTC	9	$325	336	0	+336	Down	+$11	04-20 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 22:00 UTC	7	$322	200	150	+50	Up	-$10	04-20 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:35 UTC	8	$314	319	0	+319	Up	+$5	04-15 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:45 UTC	9	$303	281	147	+134	Up	-$14	04-21 00:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:10 UTC	9	$303	380	150	+230	Down	-$15	04-21 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 12:25 UTC	19	$300	236	100	+136	Down	-$76	04-17 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 19:35 UTC	6	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	04-21 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:20 UTC	13	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	04-16 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 07:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0e0345…
10-22 04:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x597867…
10-22 04:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x43e806…
10-22 02:53:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6adb03…
10-21 23:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3442ec…
10-21 20:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x140e96…
10-21 19:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x7f08a1…
10-21 17:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3aa764…
10-21 17:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xce0fb3…
10-21 14:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x321059…
10-21 11:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x229af2…
10-21 09:43:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xf1cfca…
10-21 09:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe48fca…
10-21 08:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3b89da…
10-21 07:32:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xcabc9f…
10-21 04:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0cd846…
10-21 04:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xdf55ba…
10-21 00:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8e16a2…
10-20 23:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x222e1b…
10-20 22:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa42018…
10-20 17:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5cc3f0…
10-20 12:42:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1078d3…
10-20 09:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x504071…
10-20 04:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0428a5…
10-19 18:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x63bd67…
10-19 17:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xde06cd…
10-19 15:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd020d9…
10-19 15:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x310604…
10-19 14:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9b89fd…
10-19 09:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8cfc31…
10-19 07:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2784f5…
10-19 01:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc112c9…
10-19 00:57:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x43f998…
10-18 22:07:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5616b6…
10-18 21:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x947d81…
10-18 20:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2fd11e…
10-18 18:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x439762…
10-18 17:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x856a59…
10-18 11:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0596d8…
10-18 11:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0c61b0…
10-18 09:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x5e976e…
10-18 07:52:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xe50dd1…
10-18 06:18:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbbc64e…
10-18 05:27:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf4ccc6…
10-18 03:12:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x42a3cf…
10-18 02:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x442cfb…
10-18 01:41:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb9952d…
10-17 21:58:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4f1e50…
10-17 21:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xdaa4b6…
10-17 18:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa5fab0…
10-17 17:22:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5dc3af…
10-17 12:22:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x85de54…
10-17 07:16:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8bc8ad…
10-17 06:02:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x5d1daa…
10-17 00:32:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc831a9…
10-16 20:23:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4bf739…
10-16 17:36:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf9a2e5…
10-16 13:58:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x35a121…
10-16 12:43:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x923d76…
10-16 09:33:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3bea37…
10-16 08:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xcc3a79…
10-16 06:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc925f9…
10-16 03:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x4517e6…
10-16 00:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc4b86f…
10-16 00:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0b633d…
10-15 19:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6ff5cf…
10-15 16:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc4e071…
10-15 15:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xddf72b…
10-15 13:43:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xad57bb…
10-15 10:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa7a056…
10-15 08:22:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x81d012…
10-15 05:18:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x11a81e…
10-15 05:12:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x97ed0e…
10-15 04:56:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x45515e…
10-15 04:31:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x2ae311…
10-15 02:32:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfabfcb…
10-14 22:53:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd73a86…
10-14 21:23:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x23f954…
10-14 20:32:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x1d6de4…
10-14 20:08:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7f29c4…
10-14 19:51:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3b5ed5…
10-14 18:51:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x839e40…
10-14 15:47:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x3ae6a2…
10-14 14:53:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x3fc456…
10-14 12:22:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x885038…
10-14 11:26:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x843587…
10-14 10:23:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x4ee7aa…
10-14 02:57:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x87d45e…
10-13 20:47:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xff955b…
10-13 19:46:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2a11f3…
10-13 18:41:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6c0efe…
10-13 12:36:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x79f449…
10-13 11:53:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x847581…
10-13 11:27:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xf6aca2…
10-13 05:52:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x92d75b…
10-13 04:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc9829b…
10-13 02:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x238cf3…
10-13 00:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x037fbb…
10-13 00:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9ae28c…
10-12 23:06:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2e890e…