Rapid-Pillow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-13 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

73% 62% $-5

Other

27% 80% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Tax" 5+ times during Small Business Summit?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-04 18:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 20:19
Will JD Vance say "Worker" in Des Moines?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-05 09:14
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-05 11:00
Will JD Vance say "Fight" in Des Moines?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-05 10:51
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-23 13:23
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	05-10 13:18
Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 12:45
Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	$-5	05-07 09:15
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-07 17:16
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	05-03 20:20
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	$-5	05-10 17:02
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-08 12:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-27 17:25
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 12:52
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 15:04
Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 12:45
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 13:05
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-07 17:16
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	05-04 18:17
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 12:47
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	$-3	05-07 09:09
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-10 13:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 00:45
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-10 13:02
Will Trump say "Transnational" or "Foreign Criminal Organization" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	$-2	05-07 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 12:47:07	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5a5576…
05-13 12:45:39	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd5ee4f…
05-13 12:45:01	Will Trump say "Ping-pong" or "Ping Pong" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xb94082…
05-10 17:02:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbb5cd3…
05-10 13:18:20	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa5f520…
05-10 13:09:52	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1abf99…
05-10 13:05:58	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xcfbe2b…
05-10 13:02:31	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6ecdeb…
05-10 12:52:59	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x752491…
05-08 12:59:44	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf36c4e…
05-07 17:16:33	Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6c371e…
05-07 17:16:26	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0x067fea…
05-07 10:34:24	Will Trump say "Transnational" or "Foreign Criminal Organization" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x13612c…
05-07 09:15:39	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb381a3…
05-07 09:09:32	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x03181d…
05-05 11:00:20	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdf714f…
05-05 10:51:54	Will JD Vance say "Fight" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe33869…
05-05 09:14:38	Will JD Vance say "Worker" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5d154a…
05-04 18:20:20	Will Trump say "Tax" 5+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1d0008…
05-04 18:17:16	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x34c67d…
05-03 20:20:32	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0df64d…
05-03 20:19:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcbaf23…
04-23 15:04:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x517484…
04-23 13:23:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa7aec8…
04-17 00:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe58d23…
04-17 00:45:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x073755…
02-27 17:25:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4f80ef…