Handmade-Silence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

245

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-11 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 59% +$30

Other

7% 58% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$65	82	0	+82	Up	-$65	05-16 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	9	$63	76	0	+76	Up	+$13	05-16 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$61	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-16 07:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	9	$54	61	0	+61	Down	+$7	05-16 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	8	$53	61	0	+61	Down	+$8	05-16 13:04
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	8	$53	58	0	+58	Up	+$5	05-16 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$52	55	0	+55	Down	+$3	05-16 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	6	$51	55	0	+55	Down	+$4	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$50	69	0	+69	Up	-$12	05-16 13:29
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$49	47	14	+33	Up	-$2	05-16 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$48	41	16	+25	Up	+$1	05-15 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	7	$47	53	14	+39	Up	-$37	05-16 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$45	45	0	+45	Down	+$0	05-17 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$43	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	05-15 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	7	$43	52	0	+52	Down	+$9	05-16 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$43	47	0	+47	Down	+$4	05-16 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	11	$42	40	35	+5	Up	-$7	05-16 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	8	$42	28	28	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$42	49	0	+49	Down	+$7	05-16 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$42	46	0	+46	Down	+$4	05-16 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$41	44	0	+44	Down	+$3	05-16 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	17	$40	43	12	+31	Up	+$3	05-16 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$36	28	20	+7	Down	+$3	05-15 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	8	$35	49	0	+49	Up	+$14	05-17 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	7	$34	44	0	+44	Up	+$10	05-16 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$33	43	0	+43	Down	+$10	05-16 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	6	$33	39	0	+39	Up	+$6	05-16 11:28
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$31	36	0	+36	Down	+$5	05-16 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$31	38	0	+38	Down	+$7	05-16 11:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$31	40	0	+40	Up	+$9	05-16 12:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 23:54:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 12?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x750ced…
10-11 00:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91e3f8…
10-07 06:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbf9704…
10-06 02:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x38e9a1…
10-05 21:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeed471…
10-01 14:39:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xc9dd57…
10-01 07:32:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on October 1?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3e0877…
10-01 06:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x22a17d…
09-30 09:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x0b9e30…
09-30 03:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x16ae1e…
09-29 14:20:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec9ec3…
09-29 01:12:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe87386…
09-29 00:22:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 29?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x3a3183…
09-28 23:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5e3151…
09-28 22:35:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 29?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x78e060…
09-26 22:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf1a6cf…
09-26 09:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfc3cb2…
09-26 03:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 26?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x32b4b3…
09-25 17:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5da3ed…
09-25 09:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25?	No	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xa86fb3…
09-25 07:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab328a…
09-24 22:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 25?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2afd4a…
09-24 01:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 24?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x57f98e…
09-24 00:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdb5151…
09-23 23:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x64b48d…
09-23 23:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9707b8…
09-23 16:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x28246a…
09-23 09:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x64e11a…
09-22 09:06:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x642768…
09-22 07:44:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa309f4…
09-20 17:05:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on September 20?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb02954…
09-20 15:02:21	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 21?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7085af…
09-20 12:11:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5b941d…
09-20 07:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xc457af…
09-20 06:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x84583b…
09-20 05:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x7383d9…
09-20 04:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c34ca…
09-20 02:47:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfc14a6…
09-20 00:57:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb9a2cf…
09-19 00:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8f06d4…
09-18 23:12:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 19?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x675428…
09-18 22:11:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfc2c51…
09-18 17:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x70268d…
09-18 11:27:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 18?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d9002…
09-18 11:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x477679…
09-18 10:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x707bc6…
09-17 23:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xca8514…
09-17 13:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18?	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xbce3e3…
09-17 08:44:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xd35793…
09-17 07:47:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0ed70b…
09-17 01:49:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 17?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xeadca9…
09-17 00:41:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x3b0fe8…
09-17 00:41:18	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 17?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2da343…
09-16 21:54:15	ethereum up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x408245…
09-16 04:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbf2e7f…
09-15 23:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down on September 16?	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3bfabe…
09-15 11:20:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xb5b2b0…
09-15 02:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x129f61…
09-15 00:34:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x2933df…
09-14 23:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x534a32…
09-14 23:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 15?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x8d4ed4…
09-14 13:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x198ecc…
09-14 13:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x4d3e1f…
09-14 08:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8d425d…
09-14 08:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd0e133…
09-14 08:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xfef48d…
09-14 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8accb2…
09-14 01:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfb4da3…
09-14 00:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd903f2…
09-13 17:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 14?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xc53ab3…
09-13 15:13:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 14?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xbd5e1d…
09-13 15:13:18	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 14?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xa13c85…
09-13 15:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 14?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xace615…
09-13 15:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 13?	No	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x4371da…
09-13 09:55:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xe070af…
09-13 04:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 13?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x05d59a…
09-13 04:13:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 13?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xaeea6d…
09-13 04:13:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 13?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x166b3a…
09-13 02:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x3bd001…
09-12 18:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xe21135…
09-12 18:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 13?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xebaed2…
09-12 18:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 13?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$2	0xe0c3f9…
09-12 00:48:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x1252d0…
09-11 23:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 12?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xbed271…
09-11 22:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0xec4c0d…
09-11 21:24:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 12?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8d11d8…
09-11 21:24:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 12?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7b6d3d…
09-11 20:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xd3b344…
09-11 20:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1fbfa4…
09-11 04:40:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x1e25cf…
09-11 03:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 11?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x980b79…
09-10 12:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 11?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x4bc984…
09-10 12:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 11?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x97ad2f…
09-10 09:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x0088c2…
09-10 09:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 10?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe9ea00…
09-10 08:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x8a9f64…
09-10 08:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x910fc1…
09-10 08:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe2b050…
09-10 05:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x645b84…
09-10 01:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xb43cec…