Hard-To-Find-Shift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$6.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-14 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$518	404	390	+15	open	—	04-27 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$357	429	270	+159	Down	+$116	05-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$292	324	256	+67	Down	+$139	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$251	210	202	+8	open	—	04-27 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$245	196	196	+0	Down	+$105	05-05 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$244	226	216	+10	open	—	04-27 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$236	257	244	+13	open	—	04-27 10:17
btc updown 5m 1776352200	2	$231	127	126	+1	open	—	04-16 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$214	175	175	+0	Up	+$14	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$209	196	189	+7	open	—	04-27 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$200	556	0	+556	open	—	04-27 15:01
btc updown 5m 1776353400	2	$194	208	201	+8	open	—	04-16 15:36
btc updown 5m 1776351900	2	$191	178	171	+7	open	—	04-16 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$180	444	0	+444	Up	$-180	05-05 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$155	616	16	+600	open	—	04-28 09:22
btc updown 5m 1776351600	2	$136	84	82	+2	open	—	04-16 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$134	110	106	+4	open	—	04-27 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$129	123	119	+5	open	—	04-27 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$128	108	104	+4	open	—	04-27 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$126	777	173	+603	Up	$-74	05-05 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$125	132	132	+0	Down	+$25	05-05 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$123	96	93	+3	open	—	04-27 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$122	115	115	+0	open	—	05-23 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$119	570	0	+570	open	—	04-27 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$110	188	0	+188	open	—	05-23 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$105	281	0	+281	open	—	05-22 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$105	294	0	+294	open	—	05-22 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	04-27 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$100	278	0	+278	Up	$-100	05-05 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$100	270	0	+270	Down	$-100	05-05 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 12:28:27	btc updown 5m 1781439900	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x295953…
06-14 12:27:30	btc updown 5m 1781439900	Up	BUY	124	20¢	$25	0x2eff44…
05-24 11:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x97f19d…
05-24 11:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	111	22¢	$25	0xc4fe38…
05-24 11:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x55c9e9…
05-24 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xefd7a8…
05-24 11:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe85b36…
05-23 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb1182b…
05-23 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x681222…
05-23 20:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x895817…
05-23 20:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x82dba6…
05-23 20:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x576bd5…
05-23 20:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x78e4b0…
05-23 20:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	81	61¢	$49	0x54a1cd…
05-23 20:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xda3dac…
05-23 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf425ef…
05-23 20:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	125	34¢	$42	0x149abe…
05-23 20:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x2b6871…
05-23 20:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	115	63¢	$72	0x3ce476…
05-23 20:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x26c508…
05-23 20:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x7ff4f5…
05-22 09:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf82bd6…
05-22 09:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xa9a7a9…
05-22 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x94f989…
05-22 09:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xf2b584…
05-22 09:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbb5918…
05-22 08:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xfa3145…
05-22 08:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0ccdaa…
05-22 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf5f3dc…
05-22 08:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0x94d600…
05-22 08:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x998f33…
05-22 08:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0x865a97…
05-15 18:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb05a78…
05-15 15:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xc4ac01…
05-15 15:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x50da16…
05-15 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb55d90…
05-15 15:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x821f00…
05-15 15:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x21b1aa…
05-15 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x30246e…
05-15 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x526779…
05-15 15:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0xdc63b9…
05-15 15:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9c378b…
05-15 15:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xbfb5cf…
05-12 06:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xdc3253…
05-12 06:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7d227a…
05-12 06:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5a1db8…
05-12 06:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xef59e0…
05-12 06:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x59d81c…
05-12 06:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x1e784d…
05-12 06:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xa89f01…
05-12 06:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x49716f…
05-05 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	283	28¢	$80	0x841261…
05-05 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x1fd5ba…
05-05 15:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	175	65¢	$114	0x53a21b…
05-05 15:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc3db76…
05-05 15:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	143	99¢	$141	0x1aba5d…
05-05 15:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	53	64¢	$34	0xd49b57…
05-05 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x08f0df…
05-05 15:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xcda16b…
05-05 15:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	132	57¢	$75	0x15a809…
05-05 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x7f79c0…
05-05 15:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x098995…
05-05 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	173	15¢	$26	0x559ee6…
05-05 15:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	777	13¢	$100	0x2fca2a…
05-05 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4cb366…
05-05 15:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	270	58¢	$157	0x5016b3…
05-05 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x698f10…
05-05 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x6bd38b…
05-05 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8a867b…
05-05 15:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	256	71¢	$182	0x98f794…
05-05 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xb622a7…
04-29 09:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9481d7…
04-29 09:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7a1a57…
04-28 09:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	600	22¢	$132	0xb9c8f6…
04-28 09:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x62c4bd…
04-28 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6ce8bc…
04-28 09:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc05244…
04-28 09:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x9c0129…
04-28 09:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x617c6f…
04-27 20:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	570	21¢	$119	0xd63fea…
04-27 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0xf8af63…
04-27 14:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x00afb6…
04-27 14:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0xa261d9…
04-27 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	202	74¢	$150	0xe6631d…
04-27 14:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0xd8806c…
04-27 14:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0xf6550b…
04-27 14:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x644ee1…
04-27 14:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	189	65¢	$123	0xa34530…
04-27 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x037963…
04-27 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x96260d…
04-27 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	189	58¢	$109	0x45cf93…
04-27 13:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc79b16…
04-27 12:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	222	37¢	$82	0x6037df…
04-27 12:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	106	79¢	$83	0xfd0d3f…
04-27 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	110	46¢	$50	0xffdc5a…
04-27 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	216	71¢	$154	0xb1c9f4…
04-27 12:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	226	40¢	$90	0x231d23…
04-27 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x4b6ac4…
04-27 12:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	34¢	$24	0xcff0ba…
04-27 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x88473a…