Gargantuan-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

4,038

Trades

7,740

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-16 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$81

Other

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	21	$366	280	260	+20	Down	+$12	10-15 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC	20	$270	220	180	+40	Down	+$34	10-15 05:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	15	$238	200	140	+60	Up	+$4	10-15 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	24	$232	420	0	+420	Up	+$48	10-16 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	19	$226	180	160	+20	Up	-$1	10-15 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	17	$194	340	0	+340	Up	+$106	10-15 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$174	120	100	+20	Up	+$14	10-15 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	10	$172	120	100	+20	Up	+$14	10-15 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	15	$166	120	100	+20	Up	+$13	10-15 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	12	$162	120	120	+0	Up	+$13	10-15 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:45 UTC	18	$160	180	160	+20	Down	+$21	10-14 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	14	$159	240	0	+240	Down	+$61	10-16 01:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	11	$149	140	71	+69	Up	-$16	10-15 02:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	9	$122	100	80	+20	Up	+$14	10-15 04:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:15 UTC	10	$120	100	80	+20	Down	+$14	10-14 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	18	$111	120	80	+40	Down	+$8	10-15 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	11	$111	80	60	+20	Down	+$11	10-15 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	10	$110	95	75	+20	Down	+$13	10-15 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	9	$108	100	80	+20	Up	+$14	10-15 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	7	$105	80	80	-0	Down	+$8	10-15 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	7	$103	100	60	+40	Down	-$1	10-15 09:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	8	$98	100	80	+20	Up	+$17	10-15 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	6	$94	80	60	+20	Up	+$13	10-14 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	7	$93	80	60	+20	Up	+$13	10-15 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	10	$79	100	80	+20	Up	+$17	10-14 23:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	7	$76	80	40	+40	Up	+$1	10-15 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	8	$75	80	16	+64	Up	+$16	09-07 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	7	$73	56	55	+1	Down	+$12	09-07 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	7	$72	64	32	+32	Up	+$5	09-07 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	15	$69	120	60	+60	Down	+$22	10-15 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 02:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2631ea…
10-16 01:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1f4523…
10-16 01:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xbc25ba…
10-16 01:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x621ead…
10-16 01:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0xefca5b…
10-16 01:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x444ce9…
10-16 01:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3fc0ce…
10-16 01:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc5632e…
10-16 01:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf1eeaa…
10-16 01:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xa278c5…
10-16 01:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x369b9a…
10-16 01:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x1d50a3…
10-16 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x41b48f…
10-16 01:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa6a390…
10-16 01:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xaec9f7…
10-16 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd4992b…
10-16 01:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x0de898…
10-16 01:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x78ff70…
10-16 01:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x3a56de…
10-16 01:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xde6dff…
10-16 00:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x851bbb…
10-16 00:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0xcb2e4a…
10-16 00:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x56991c…
10-16 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2d01b3…
10-16 00:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd8eb74…
10-16 00:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc1e81a…
10-16 00:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7bdb83…
10-16 00:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa155c1…
10-16 00:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd119e0…
10-16 00:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbaae49…
10-16 00:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x2ce4f2…
10-16 00:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x18681f…
10-16 00:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa49829…
10-16 00:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xff24aa…
10-16 00:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0bc8a5…
10-16 00:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x85da5e…
10-16 00:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xac6889…
10-16 00:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1b78f0…
10-16 00:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6d12c3…
10-16 00:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x453dbe…
10-16 00:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6c8e83…
10-16 00:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xfceade…
10-16 00:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x3e02a6…
10-16 00:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa529aa…
10-16 00:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb7e98b…
10-16 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x418119…
10-16 00:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3354c6…
10-16 00:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8e8962…
10-16 00:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1dac19…
10-16 00:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x8b0a50…
10-16 00:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3d88c9…
10-16 00:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x150b64…
10-15 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x12061d…
10-15 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x07485d…
10-15 23:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x398021…
10-15 23:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf338f0…
10-15 23:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd35f11…
10-15 23:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x24e85b…
10-15 23:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb38abb…
10-15 23:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc4e2e9…
10-15 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x5e27bf…
10-15 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe08e3f…
10-15 22:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd2337a…
10-15 22:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xcabfc0…
10-15 22:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4c6dac…
10-15 22:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe621e5…
10-15 22:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x89a417…
10-15 22:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x082cb7…
10-15 22:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x85ecac…
10-15 22:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x9c5def…
10-15 22:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x19fc3d…
10-15 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x370037…
10-15 22:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x624e08…
10-15 22:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd8f73f…
10-15 22:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x189b49…
10-15 22:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x124b0f…
10-15 22:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x445f27…
10-15 22:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xff595b…
10-15 22:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$13	0x7a6ff5…
10-15 21:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xb0a8dd…
10-15 21:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x774a02…
10-15 21:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x1924af…
10-15 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9e0b24…
10-15 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xca8e9f…
10-15 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1491e5…
10-15 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x949037…
10-15 20:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x0c19ae…
10-15 20:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xe9819e…
10-15 20:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0xd045eb…
10-15 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xfbe822…
10-15 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd377ca…
10-15 20:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x65373f…
10-15 20:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf3f45a…
10-15 20:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x147412…
10-15 20:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x64e108…
10-15 20:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x131932…
10-15 20:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd5b94c…
10-15 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x350afb…
10-15 20:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x71ac68…
10-15 20:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7b9098…