Rectangular-Lashes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

290

Trades

434

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-26

last 08-04 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 58% -$78

Other

8% 12% -$41

Politics

4% 50% -$9

Tech

1% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes		+0	$4	16¢	$0	-$4	08-04 06:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$70	48	48	+0	Down	+$20	05-27 07:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$68	127	69	+58	Up	-$32	05-27 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$60	47	47	+0	Down	+$10	05-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$60	64	64	+0	Down	+$10	05-27 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$59	66	66	+0	Down	+$9	05-27 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$55	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	05-27 08:47
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	4	$55	100	100	+0	No	-$4	08-02 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$54	33	33	+0	Down	+$4	05-27 03:22
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	8	$54	52	52	+0	open	—	08-04 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$37	58	58	+0	Up	-$13	05-27 07:52
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	5	$30	40	40	+0	No	-$1	08-04 14:13
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	3	$27	40	40	+0	No	-$3	08-03 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 1?	1	$25	629	0	+629	No	-$25	05-31 10:37
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$23	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	05-31 10:27
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	2	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	08-04 11:33
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	3	$21	27	27	+0	No	-$5	08-04 11:04
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	3	$19	37	37	+0	No	-$6	08-04 13:12
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	3	$17	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 12:15 UTC	1	$16	25	0	+25	Down	-$16	06-25 12:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:45 UTC	1	$16	25	0	+25	Up	-$16	06-27 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 05:30 UTC	1	$16	26	0	+26	Down	+$10	06-26 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	1	$16	26	0	+26	Up	-$16	06-26 23:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	1	$16	27	0	+27	Down	+$11	06-27 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	1	$16	33	0	+33	Down	+$17	06-26 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 13:00 UTC	1	$16	28	0	+28	Up	-$16	06-25 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 16:15 UTC	1	$16	26	0	+26	Down	+$10	06-25 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:45 UTC	1	$16	28	0	+28	Down	+$12	06-26 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC	1	$16	25	0	+25	Up	-$16	06-26 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	Down	+$13	05-26 15:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 19:00 UTC	1	$15	23	0	+23	Down	+$8	06-18 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 14:13:00	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x2915bd…
08-04 14:12:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x97a185…
08-04 14:10:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0d412c…
08-04 13:12:24	Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x905ac2…
08-04 12:54:02	Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xd3cbb7…
08-04 12:51:12	Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0x1a9170…
08-04 11:33:36	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0x09e767…
08-04 11:31:02	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	BUY	42	30¢	$13	0xe15e5a…
08-04 11:04:15	Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xc0edad…
08-04 07:18:30	Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5b0e5d…
08-04 06:35:15	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8a3790…
08-04 06:35:12	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xfee49e…
08-04 06:14:27	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x972808…
08-04 06:13:45	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xf2dcbf…
08-04 06:13:29	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	36	50¢	$18	0x0209c8…
08-04 06:08:06	Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x2ad071…
08-03 21:16:09	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x36b72c…
08-03 20:46:44	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x84eb73…
08-03 20:02:06	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe3cd58…
08-03 20:02:06	Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0x8189d1…
08-03 16:43:36	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xccae49…
08-03 16:40:00	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x465413…
08-03 14:50:20	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0xda0d6e…
08-03 14:47:18	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xabfb69…
08-03 14:20:53	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x5aec34…
08-03 14:12:32	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbb948f…
08-03 14:12:08	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	24¢	$8	0x3587d8…
08-03 14:08:32	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xcddea7…
08-03 14:06:41	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x844472…
08-03 13:46:18	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6e5fc5…
08-03 13:46:18	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x13d58a…
08-03 13:32:12	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0xe256bd…
08-03 13:11:51	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xafea18…
08-03 12:17:09	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x2a3a4d…
08-03 08:00:41	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x593628…
08-03 06:22:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x10568b…
08-03 06:22:15	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x6b469a…
08-03 03:45:27	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xa0080e…
08-03 03:42:26	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x85c99a…
08-02 22:52:08	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x773605…
08-02 19:28:33	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	29¢	$10	0x18b846…
08-02 19:25:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2f0bd9…
08-02 19:25:39	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa050ff…
07-28 06:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2fe1d2…
07-28 06:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x224e6e…
07-26 19:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe62d71…
07-26 19:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7db95c…
07-26 19:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x373727…
07-23 16:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xa5cfd1…
07-23 16:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x0b403e…
07-23 16:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x198ed1…
07-23 16:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfb8cce…
07-23 15:58:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc0cfff…
07-23 15:57:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6ac3c8…
07-23 14:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xc5b7f3…
07-23 14:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xba8810…
07-23 14:49:27	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6cfcd8…
07-23 14:48:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x82b196…
07-22 14:14:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x810bb0…
07-22 14:13:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x285fa3…
07-22 12:31:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xcca50a…
07-22 12:30:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa729ba…
07-22 12:23:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x87857d…
07-22 12:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x93b09b…
07-22 12:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4b474c…
07-22 12:21:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe9934f…
07-22 12:17:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe793d4…
07-22 11:54:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x3aa7a0…
07-22 11:50:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2f9ae6…
07-22 11:39:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbc9e54…
06-30 09:10:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc9e638…
06-30 03:27:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x287e70…
06-29 23:55:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfa057a…
06-29 21:09:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x87f9d2…
06-29 18:41:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x30e314…
06-29 16:54:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xc77433…
06-29 15:24:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x06b794…
06-29 13:55:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x4f0c0e…
06-29 10:54:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x59d3ab…
06-29 10:24:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x7f2255…
06-29 09:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe188a7…
06-29 07:24:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe07592…
06-29 04:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x47a8f6…
06-29 02:55:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-29 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe261ae…
06-28 20:54:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xfa37b2…
06-28 19:24:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x448282…
06-28 18:41:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x7126c9…
06-28 17:26:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x38a106…
06-28 16:25:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-28 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdf845b…
06-27 15:55:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xace0c2…
06-27 15:42:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x8577e8…
06-27 14:54:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xae1e2b…
06-26 23:54:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xff62a0…
06-26 19:40:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x5fdc1b…
06-26 18:39:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf7980e…
06-26 16:57:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x811e42…
06-26 16:10:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x45436e…
06-26 14:54:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x828aa1…
06-26 12:10:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x789b38…
06-26 11:27:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6238e5…