Confused-Squirrel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$804

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

1,171

Trades

70,974

lifetime

Volume

$1.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Other

98% 57% +$1,164

Politics

1% 74% -$241

Crypto

0% 40% -$118

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	—	+0	-$7	64¢	$0	+$7	10-28 06:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	763	$15.5K	17,308	20,008	-2,700	Yes	-$768	02-20 19:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	920	$13.2K	10,252	12,465	-2,213	Yes	-$33	03-20 15:00
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	484	$12.9K	17,028	20,200	-3,172	Yes	-$1,630	02-13 18:55
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	468	$12.8K	17,726	20,659	-2,933	Yes	-$2,611	03-03 18:06
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	365	$12.0K	12,997	15,666	-2,669	No	+$681	02-27 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	471	$11.7K	18,476	20,966	-2,490	No	+$796	02-10 12:34
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	332	$11.6K	11,568	12,716	-1,148	Yes	-$351	02-27 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	470	$11.5K	13,180	14,006	-826	No	-$36	02-20 11:51
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	436	$11.3K	12,346	14,627	-2,281	No	+$924	02-24 17:20
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	181	$11.1K	17,389	17,718	-328	No	-$266	01-06 12:33
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	424	$10.9K	13,210	14,984	-1,774	Yes	-$66	02-24 17:20
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	533	$10.9K	15,124	16,824	-1,700	No	+$383	02-13 15:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	371	$10.8K	18,725	20,220	-1,495	No	+$688	02-10 13:01
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	541	$10.8K	12,593	15,713	-3,120	No	+$1,048	02-17 19:21
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 115 139	491	$10.7K	13,422	16,641	-3,219	Yes	-$1,166	02-09 16:23
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	438	$10.4K	18,979	20,563	-1,584	No	+$576	02-20 06:33
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	379	$10.3K	20,625	20,618	+8	No	+$144	02-27 08:19
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	344	$10.3K	10,172	11,071	-900	No	+$239	03-06 15:12
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	374	$10.2K	21,648	21,294	+353	No	+$220	02-24 04:17
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	561	$10.1K	11,896	13,119	-1,224	Yes	-$64	02-17 19:21
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	596	$10.1K	13,236	16,316	-3,080	Yes	-$576	02-06 16:12
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	640	$10.1K	13,554	17,111	-3,556	No	+$748	01-30 15:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	304	$10.1K	18,383	22,114	-3,731	No	+$707	02-10 03:55
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	545	$10.0K	18,550	18,871	-321	Yes	-$373	02-28 15:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	497	$9.9K	18,002	19,162	-1,160	No	+$268	02-10 13:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	520	$9.8K	16,498	19,206	-2,709	No	+$533	02-06 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	675	$9.6K	7,756	8,962	-1,206	No	+$38	03-20 17:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	370	$9.6K	16,427	17,726	-1,299	No	+$68	03-03 18:06
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	140	$9.5K	8,043	9,576	-1,532	No	+$236	01-11 07:12
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	396	$9.5K	11,987	13,112	-1,125	No	+$425	02-09 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	77¢	$18	0xedd21e…
10-28 21:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0xc64068…
10-28 21:40:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x1f3d01…
10-28 10:57:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	134	72¢	$96	0xd85350…
10-28 06:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	137	78¢	$107	0x514e8d…
10-27 14:55:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xec384e…
10-27 14:50:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	42	78¢	$33	0xef6c21…
10-27 14:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0x39f856…
10-27 14:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xd1a3aa…
10-27 13:04:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0x50db79…
10-27 10:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	48	72¢	$34	0xd92e97…
10-27 09:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	49	76¢	$37	0x7cd80f…
10-27 09:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x5320b7…
10-27 07:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	55	72¢	$40	0xe3c40d…
10-27 06:19:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	55	67¢	$37	0x0972b0…
10-27 06:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	56	72¢	$41	0x8bf579…
10-27 06:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x84cc82…
10-27 04:24:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	41	67¢	$28	0xfc5020…
10-27 04:24:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x15e237…
10-27 04:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	65	66¢	$43	0x6d6ddb…
10-27 04:07:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	43	66¢	$28	0x687bd1…
10-26 22:46:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0x0ad613…
10-26 21:37:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x39743a…
10-26 21:37:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0xe14216…
10-26 20:50:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	71	64¢	$45	0x440af0…
10-26 19:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xd1b01e…
10-26 19:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	97	74¢	$72	0x275d58…
10-26 16:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	91	76¢	$69	0x759478…
10-26 16:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x270e6d…
10-26 16:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x375a9b…
10-26 16:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	88	49¢	$43	0x9c45f7…
10-26 16:49:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x1b06fd…
10-26 16:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x54d1ff…
10-26 16:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x16370e…
10-26 16:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	92	77¢	$71	0x06a32a…
10-26 16:23:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x2d8f5a…
10-26 16:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x9f400c…
10-26 16:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x91c01f…
10-26 16:02:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x8ac898…
10-26 14:07:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	116	74¢	$86	0xba8d8c…
10-26 13:24:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0x31d536…
10-26 12:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	118	66¢	$78	0x645ec5…
10-26 11:04:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	118	61¢	$72	0x18aeb8…
10-25 19:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x6a190c…
10-25 01:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	97	74¢	$72	0x57a5f5…
10-24 22:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x395ba0…
10-23 14:48:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0x2b6c1b…
10-23 14:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x978541…
10-23 13:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	55	70¢	$38	0x9c8ba2…
10-23 13:57:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	55	65¢	$35	0x80d474…
10-23 13:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	34	66¢	$22	0x70e2c7…
10-23 13:54:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x46db4a…
10-23 12:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	56	47¢	$26	0x022fce…
10-23 12:00:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	63	61¢	$38	0x8c1f0b…
10-23 05:50:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	59	81¢	$48	0x094671…
10-23 05:46:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	59	73¢	$43	0x827981…
10-23 05:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	76	78¢	$59	0x6c97a4…
10-22 20:37:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	74	73¢	$54	0xc3e260…
10-22 15:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x36acf5…
10-22 15:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe3b23e…
10-22 15:23:26	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x20c1a7…
10-22 15:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xdf59df…
10-22 15:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x505312…
10-22 15:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x4b22b5…
10-22 15:23:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x69d240…
10-22 14:50:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	62	70¢	$44	0x5dcd9c…
10-22 14:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0x840ae5…
10-22 13:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	42	63¢	$26	0xf238cd…
10-22 08:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	64	81¢	$52	0x9fd8f1…
10-22 07:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x2cf39c…
10-22 07:56:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	79	73¢	$58	0x75e203…
10-22 06:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	76	79¢	$60	0x56d49e…
10-21 19:22:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x3901d7…
10-21 18:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0xd8eb3f…
10-21 18:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$7	0x5ef165…
10-21 18:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xc3c83c…
10-21 18:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x6440e0…
10-21 18:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x277139…
10-21 17:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	64	72¢	$46	0x2767dd…
10-21 17:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x22ba07…
10-21 17:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0x4ce08c…
10-21 17:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x4784eb…
10-21 16:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	97	74¢	$72	0x19d4ff…
10-21 14:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	107	72¢	$77	0x4ef202…
10-21 10:12:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	107	67¢	$72	0x662517…
10-20 17:45:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xfc4806…
10-20 14:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0x6cdbac…
10-20 14:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	33	68¢	$23	0xf0e768…
10-20 14:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0x2157f0…
10-20 14:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0d7cad…
10-20 14:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xbe7a76…
10-20 12:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x1ccb44…
10-20 11:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0xf73657…
10-20 11:46:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x6ca7be…
10-20 05:14:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0xdd7cc9…
10-20 04:44:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0x8e4271…
10-20 02:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	73	65¢	$47	0xfda3cb…
10-20 01:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	77	65¢	$50	0x206595…
10-20 00:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	73	60¢	$44	0xaec2a9…
10-19 23:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	77	60¢	$46	0xd313ed…