Somber-Usher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,488

lifetime

Volume

$6.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-12 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

95% — —

Sports

3% 50% $-4

Other

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	988	$4.9K	125,138	424,992	-299,854	open	—	03-04 18:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	184	$1.0K	61,664	8,599	+53,065	open	—	03-04 19:11
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	84	$113	12,198	12,572	-374	open	—	03-02 00:28
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	8	$73	221	0	+221	open	—	07-12 03:23
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	50	$69	18,446	20,300	-1,854	open	—	03-04 16:10
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	22	$41	780	327	+453	open	—	05-31 04:22
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	3	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	02-09 02:58
World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	8	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	05-20 16:27
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	19	$32	156	156	+0	open	—	07-08 06:10
will judy shelton attend the 2026 state of the union address	4	$29	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 22:16
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	40	$27	2,218	2,470	-252	open	—	02-08 14:26
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	13	$24	9,500	1,500	+8,000	open	—	02-28 07:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	7	$22	8,340	8,340	+0	open	—	03-04 16:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$12	2,275	0	+2,275	open	—	01-28 14:57
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	4	$12	1,400	400	+1,000	open	—	01-30 21:14
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	7	$10	60	60	+0	open	—	02-09 02:58
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	6	$10	100	100	+0	open	—	02-01 03:32
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	2	$8	5	5	+0	76ers	+$0	05-07 01:04
ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	07-12 02:43
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$6	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-05 09:28
btc updown 5m 1775286000	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-04 07:01
btc updown 5m 1771451400	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 21:51
76ers vs. Knicks	5	$5	16	22	-6	Knicks	$-4	05-07 01:49
btc updown 5m 1771446300	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 20:28
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3	600	150	+450	open	—	03-17 17:50
btc updown 5m 1775285400	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-04 06:52
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	7	$2	100	100	-0	open	—	05-14 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775285700	2	$1	5	4	+0	open	—	04-04 06:59
btc updown 5m 1771450800	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	02-18 21:45
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	01-23 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 03:23:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x35c142…
07-12 03:22:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa133d4…
07-12 02:46:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x902ab1…
07-12 02:43:17	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x0833e3…
07-12 02:40:01	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcabd15…
07-12 02:35:59	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x296438…
07-12 02:08:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf7fea0…
07-09 19:44:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x34ad26…
07-08 06:10:47	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x678e6d…
07-07 15:59:13	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x52178e…
07-07 14:05:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0x9fe28a…
07-07 10:16:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe2e077…
07-07 10:16:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x815ea2…
07-07 10:16:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x0f9659…
07-07 08:41:19	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x69dfe1…
07-07 08:16:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc3c1fa…
07-07 05:17:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xba88e4…
07-06 19:10:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x420d58…
07-06 19:10:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc6f9d3…
07-06 19:10:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x6fcb3f…
07-06 19:10:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3c40af…
07-06 19:10:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0bd5da…
07-06 16:38:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x29f178…
07-06 13:12:34	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0xe7067a…
07-06 07:05:28	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	SELL	41	14¢	$6	0xc952fa…
07-06 05:15:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x24604c…
07-06 04:57:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x16a37c…
07-06 00:27:17	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xa16e33…
07-05 08:35:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	143	34¢	$49	0x200497…
07-05 08:34:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x14298d…
05-31 04:22:21	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x661dc5…
05-31 04:22:19	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x6ea948…
05-31 04:22:17	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x47bbd7…
05-31 04:22:17	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x259f24…
05-31 04:22:16	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xffd142…
05-26 19:41:05	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xc54b12…
05-23 15:16:00	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x6e192d…
05-23 11:20:57	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0x5cb263…
05-23 11:13:31	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$0	0x600eae…
05-23 09:00:03	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x869c44…
05-20 16:27:16	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0xe3b7f9…
05-20 16:11:55	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x63a63f…
05-20 16:10:35	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x48603a…
05-20 16:08:41	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x89dcbf…
05-20 15:57:10	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x254e71…
05-20 15:52:09	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x207911…
05-20 15:49:56	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xca22a4…
05-20 15:49:16	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd2edd5…
05-19 15:10:22	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x25cbb2…
05-19 15:04:00	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xef0258…
05-19 12:18:26	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xfd482b…
05-15 23:31:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x02bf61…
05-14 23:22:16	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x5cdcd9…
05-14 18:52:53	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	64	18¢	$12	0x193ecf…
05-14 15:43:23	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x51b2b2…
05-14 08:10:31	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xb51ef7…
05-14 06:28:21	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x398067…
05-12 15:55:41	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x861412…
05-12 14:51:56	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x055fb0…
05-12 14:40:35	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x155b37…
05-12 14:36:07	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x5402bc…
05-12 14:35:29	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xcf3f0f…
05-12 14:20:17	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x92f698…
05-12 14:10:34	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x14e8a7…
05-11 05:24:44	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0xc77c0e…
05-11 05:21:44	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0xf83aa5…
05-10 20:40:11	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x912da1…
05-07 01:49:58	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xedae76…
05-07 01:04:59	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x399281…
05-07 00:57:26	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9af7a8…
05-07 00:43:42	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc8b3c5…
05-07 00:43:40	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ea115…
05-07 00:13:34	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf43cd7…
05-06 23:56:53	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5c8ea7…
04-04 07:01:07	btc updown 5m 1775286000	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x21d9e1…
04-04 06:59:29	btc updown 5m 1775285700	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x54a289…
04-04 06:56:37	btc updown 5m 1775285700	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7a380…
04-04 06:52:21	btc updown 5m 1775285400	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x832bd6…
03-17 17:50:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x88d709…
03-12 23:21:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x39f0ac…
03-05 09:28:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x7e696e…
03-05 08:33:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xce17ac…
03-05 08:19:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x01b07e…
03-05 08:05:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9708c1…
03-04 19:11:55	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x6c5ea8…
03-04 18:39:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,200	0¢	$2	0x00a912…
03-04 18:39:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,200	0¢	$2	0xd7e20f…
03-04 18:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc41eae…
03-04 18:30:43	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,591	0¢	$3	0x5c8c72…
03-04 18:30:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	609	0¢	$1	0x4a57d3…
03-04 18:27:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10,632	0¢	$11	0x64ca5e…
03-04 18:26:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	368	0¢	$0	0x26ac07…
03-04 18:26:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20,410	0¢	$20	0x6c3d8f…
03-04 18:26:03	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0xfb32af…
03-04 18:16:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xc674db…
03-04 18:15:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x504582…
03-04 18:13:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	510	0¢	$1	0x1e78d5…
03-04 17:13:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbd502a…
03-04 17:06:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x42af88…
03-04 17:05:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,200	0¢	$4	0xd3bff4…