Vital-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,470 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$162

$25.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-31 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 32% -$462

Other

19% 56% -$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 16?	18	$131	68	68	+0	No	+$2	09-16 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:30 UTC	2	$52	50	50	+0	Up	+$47	08-20 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	18	$50	80	0	+80	Down	-$35	09-12 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:20 UTC	2	$47	39	39	+0	Up	+$26	08-20 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16?	9	$45	31	22	+9	No	-$4	09-16 15:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16?	7	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	09-16 06:18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 10?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	09-11 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	18	$33	90	0	+90	Down	-$28	09-12 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 16?	4	$32	17	17	+0	No	$0	09-16 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 16?	5	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	09-16 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	2	$29	18	18	+0	No	+$5	09-20 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 01:05 UTC	2	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	03-22 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	2	$26	18	15	+3	No	+$2	09-10 22:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?	2	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-20 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$1	09-16 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	8	$24	40	0	+40	Up	+$6	09-12 23:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	09-16 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16?	4	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	09-16 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 16?	4	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	09-16 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 19?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$1	09-19 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	11	$22	55	0	+55	Up	-$7	09-12 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 06:00 UTC	3	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	03-22 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 16?	4	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?	3	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 10:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15?	3	$22	23	10	+13	No	-$2	09-15 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 16?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	$0	09-16 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:10 UTC	3	$21	33	0	+33	Up	+$12	08-09 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:05 UTC	1	$21	26	0	+26	Up	-$21	06-20 11:05
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	9	$20	45	0	+45	Up	-$5	09-12 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 16?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	09-16 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x044074…
10-31 18:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x658856…
10-31 14:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x184300…
10-31 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7d0d7e…
10-31 13:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1b1e06…
10-31 13:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x887409…
10-31 11:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x97f9f2…
10-31 11:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8df452…
10-31 11:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd081ac…
10-31 10:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x52e7a7…
10-31 10:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x49b9f8…
10-31 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbd729b…
10-31 09:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xcbd913…
10-31 08:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0434d5…
10-31 08:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa300e9…
10-31 08:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x3bcd7a…
10-31 07:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2aa1dc…
10-31 07:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd08071…
10-31 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x047c45…
10-31 06:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd52dfc…
10-31 06:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc73a3a…
10-31 05:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4f0b68…
10-31 05:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9e666b…
10-31 05:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3c6034…
10-31 04:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcf4bee…
10-31 03:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x96619f…
10-31 03:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x78d182…
10-31 02:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb09673…
10-31 02:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xe3e336…
10-31 01:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9dd681…
10-31 01:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x3536c5…
10-31 01:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x18631b…
10-31 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe2fcdd…
10-31 01:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0b6c1a…
10-31 01:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4b708d…
10-31 01:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb79c6e…
10-31 00:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x30b920…
10-31 00:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x19349d…
10-31 00:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x971d65…
10-31 00:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xed2dae…
10-31 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6ea38b…
10-31 00:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0babe1…
10-31 00:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x7f86f7…
10-30 23:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xde4e55…
10-30 23:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x327ea7…
10-30 23:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe29112…
10-30 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x204644…
10-30 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x52c0a5…
10-30 22:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x228d50…
10-30 21:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x49a523…
10-30 21:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x08f4f7…
10-30 20:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9f4a22…
10-30 19:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2d27dc…
10-30 19:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb071b9…
10-30 19:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe04a5c…
10-30 19:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa8c6b3…
10-30 19:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x30b144…
10-30 19:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xde3489…
10-30 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd5c7a5…
10-30 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x104400…
10-30 19:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8d445b…
10-30 19:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x27a650…
10-30 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xae2b31…
10-30 19:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd1e7f4…
10-30 19:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0be96e…
10-30 19:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2f98b5…
10-30 19:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb2727b…
10-30 18:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc92b36…
10-30 18:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0f082e…
10-30 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x16de83…
10-30 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x98286a…
10-30 18:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98e750…
10-30 18:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x21ccc7…
10-30 18:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa0fc97…
10-30 18:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x48e375…
10-30 18:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x173bbe…
10-30 18:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd22c4e…
10-30 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1bf054…
10-30 18:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9980a2…
10-30 17:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1ce3af…
10-30 17:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9093d7…
10-30 17:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0e1ad5…
10-30 17:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9b9ff1…
10-30 17:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdad237…
10-30 17:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbdbd9d…
10-30 17:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x974f39…
10-30 17:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x808ef6…
10-30 17:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x926834…
10-27 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd4e413…
10-27 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5b7517…
10-27 15:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdfe305…
10-27 15:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8e2d61…
10-21 09:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x4fc822…
10-21 08:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x306e66…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xead36b…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc0426e…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb87b15…
10-21 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f8f8a…
10-21 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x87bd85…
10-21 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x300a5d…