Grounded-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$61

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-15 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$6

Politics

25% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	-30	$-18	84¢	$-25	$-7	05-15 11:55
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?	Yes	-20	$-8	94¢	$-19	$-11	05-11 14:09
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?	Yes	-20	$-9	16¢	$-3	+$6	05-14 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	-11	$-5	22¢	$-3	+$3	05-09 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 22:45:51	Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x4c251a…
05-15 11:55:37	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x2a7460…
05-14 15:24:03	Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xd97c2f…
05-11 14:09:08	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x5f0c64…
05-10 02:23:41	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0xaac4c5…
05-10 01:45:02	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0x8338d3…
05-10 01:25:51	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4224cd…
05-10 00:31:01	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x2627dd…
05-09 13:53:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x8b2648…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	5	$963	33	05-15 19:25
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	3	$1.40K	28	05-14 22:49
Rude-Vessel 0x33f8…c5e4	3	$1.39K	6	05-15 14:49
Drafty-Afterlife 0xb028…8686	3	$1.30K	9	05-15 21:45
Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8	3	$512	13	05-11 18:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	1	$18	30	-30	open	—	05-15 11:55
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$9	14	-14	No	$-5	05-10 01:45
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?	1	$9	20	-20	open	—	05-14 15:24
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?	1	$8	20	-20	open	—	05-11 14:09
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	1	$7	20	-20	open	—	05-15 22:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	11	-11	open	—	05-09 13:53
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	1	$4	39	-39	No	+$4	05-10 02:23
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	1	$2	5	-5	Yes	+$2	05-10 01:25