Demanding-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

Trades

444

lifetime

Volume

$21.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-09 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 29% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$799	1,179	613	+566	open	—	04-28 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$615	511	511	+0	open	—	05-01 18:13
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$575	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	03-19 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$539	467	417	+50	open	—	04-30 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	7	$484	426	426	+0	open	—	05-01 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	9	$481	434	413	+22	open	—	05-01 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$469	414	414	+0	open	—	04-29 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	7	$466	480	480	+0	open	—	04-29 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	6	$466	389	389	+0	open	—	04-29 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$465	470	470	+0	open	—	05-01 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$444	340	340	+0	open	—	04-30 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$436	363	363	+0	open	—	04-29 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$425	252	252	+0	open	—	05-01 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$410	418	402	+16	open	—	04-28 01:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$370	725	0	+725	open	—	03-19 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$362	354	354	+0	open	—	05-02 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$353	532	532	+0	open	—	05-01 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$310	214	214	+0	open	—	04-30 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$310	341	199	+143	open	—	04-28 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$306	374	361	+13	open	—	04-28 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	6	$303	413	413	+0	open	—	04-30 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	5	$298	285	251	+34	open	—	04-30 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$296	174	174	+0	open	—	05-02 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	9	$294	249	234	+15	Down	+$14	05-09 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$293	175	175	+0	open	—	05-02 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$293	225	225	+0	open	—	05-01 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	6	$280	218	218	+0	open	—	04-29 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$275	186	186	+0	open	—	05-04 10:32
btc updown 5m 1776987300	2	$271	179	173	+6	open	—	04-23 23:40
btc updown 5m 1776987900	2	$267	201	194	+7	open	—	04-23 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 23:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	34¢	$6	0xe77782…
05-09 23:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0dd6b9…
05-09 23:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	203	67¢	$136	0x38180c…
05-09 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x0ca2c8…
05-09 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x2a55b7…
05-09 23:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8cc3bf…
05-09 23:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0xa4eae8…
05-09 23:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x559688…
05-09 23:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc62066…
05-09 23:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb31f32…
05-09 23:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf816d9…
05-09 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	217	50¢	$108	0xbf52bd…
05-09 23:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x90edb0…
05-09 23:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xecbade…
05-09 23:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	208	67¢	$140	0xf5f542…
05-09 23:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xfd0b88…
05-09 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0xcfe9d7…
05-09 23:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf4cd1a…
05-09 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd984bd…
05-09 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	181	42¢	$76	0x252200…
05-09 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0xc1aa66…
05-09 23:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4b405c…
05-09 23:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	179	75¢	$133	0x42cd01…
05-09 23:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xf1d7ea…
05-09 23:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x00d834…
05-09 23:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x579c0c…
05-09 23:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7fd7f4…
05-09 23:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x5b46c3…
05-09 23:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x33c167…
05-09 23:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x392b5a…
05-09 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xf5bc06…
05-09 23:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xf735f2…
05-09 23:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbf77a0…
05-09 23:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5392bd…
05-09 13:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x6f0f57…
05-09 13:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x76f4a0…
05-09 13:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcafda7…
05-09 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x5bd4c1…
05-09 13:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7cd8d4…
05-09 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x9fa282…
05-09 13:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x74b2f8…
05-09 13:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x354f85…
05-09 13:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0xd3faf7…
05-09 13:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd7b4a3…
05-09 13:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x281909…
05-09 13:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9f0275…
05-09 13:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5bcae6…
05-05 02:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xbf5368…
05-05 02:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe6e393…
05-04 10:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	165	94¢	$155	0x8c475d…
05-04 10:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	165	61¢	$100	0xe7a046…
05-04 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xadb105…
05-04 10:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x3c5734…
05-04 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd341f8…
05-04 10:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x262317…
05-04 10:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x7e60e9…
05-04 10:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xda2d30…
05-04 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x842d57…
05-04 10:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x403395…
05-04 10:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x65a982…
05-04 10:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x600ec0…
05-04 10:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x96261d…
05-04 10:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x782eee…
05-04 10:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x2376d3…
05-04 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2a05fd…
05-04 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa5359a…
05-04 10:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x0aae2a…
05-04 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe27696…
05-04 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xe3e2e1…
05-03 00:44:10	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc6efcb…
05-03 00:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	156	64¢	$99	0x8c4c6e…
05-03 00:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x13e35b…
05-02 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x49157d…
05-02 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9551ac…
05-02 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xb64e6b…
05-02 22:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x07a7ca…
05-02 15:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0x9e1cd1…
05-02 15:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xeab24f…
05-02 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0xc5d651…
05-02 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xefcf48…
05-02 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x35258b…
05-02 15:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x272d6d…
05-02 15:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x94e8f4…
05-02 13:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x0c72b1…
05-02 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5caf1d…
05-02 13:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x44e1dd…
05-02 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8b87b6…
05-02 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	72	63¢	$46	0xbfadc6…
05-02 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0bc89b…
05-02 13:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6cd3bf…
05-02 13:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc45370…
05-02 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34b981…
05-02 13:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1a7693…
05-02 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xf1a13c…
05-02 12:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6bf4fc…
05-02 12:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x931a75…
05-02 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	58	71¢	$41	0xa69150…
05-02 12:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x559e2e…
05-02 12:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x6aaed1…
05-02 12:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5904f3…