Violent-Tolerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$42.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 08-08 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 82% $-300

Other

1% 100% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1785729600	2	$1.8K	918	918	+0	open	—	08-03 04:05
btc updown 5m 1785697500	2	$1.6K	827	827	+0	open	—	08-02 19:10
btc updown 5m 1785731400	1	$1.2K	1,258	0	+1,258	open	—	08-03 04:33
btc updown 5m 1785730800	1	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	08-03 04:24
btc updown 5m 1785731100	1	$1.1K	1,131	0	+1,131	open	—	08-03 04:29
btc updown 5m 1785736800	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	08-03 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$1.0K	551	551	+0	Up	+$26	05-07 16:29
btc updown 5m 1785700200	2	$1.0K	529	529	+0	open	—	08-02 19:55
btc updown 5m 1785734400	1	$1000	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	08-03 05:24
btc updown 5m 1785735000	1	$1000	1,047	0	+1,047	open	—	08-03 05:34
btc updown 5m 1785736200	2	$1000	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	08-03 05:53
btc updown 5m 1785732300	1	$1000	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	08-03 04:49
btc updown 5m 1785738000	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	08-03 06:24
btc updown 5m 1785738600	1	$1000	1,028	0	+1,028	open	—	08-03 06:34
btc updown 5m 1785737400	1	$1000	1,026	0	+1,026	open	—	08-03 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$1000	505	505	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$809	426	426	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 04:49
btc updown 5m 1785699600	2	$804	406	406	+0	open	—	08-02 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$800	404	404	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$782	466	392	+74	Down	$-6	05-06 15:13
btc updown 5m 1785729300	2	$646	349	349	+0	open	—	08-03 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$628	328	328	+0	Up	+$28	05-07 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$626	329	329	+0	Down	+$26	05-09 07:40
btc updown 5m 1785702000	2	$611	314	314	+0	open	—	08-02 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$606	309	309	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$603	306	306	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$603	303	303	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$603	303	303	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 02:00
btc updown 5m 1785736500	1	$600	616	0	+616	open	—	08-03 05:59
btc updown 5m 1786125900	1	$500	699	0	+699	open	—	08-07 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 10:13:13	btc updown 5m 1786183800	Up	BUY	537	56¢	$300	0x39e2d0…
08-08 10:08:28	btc updown 5m 1786183500	Down	BUY	229	87¢	$200	0x6ed4ad…
08-08 10:04:28	btc updown 5m 1786183200	Up	BUY	535	93¢	$500	0x24052d…
08-08 09:56:39	btc updown 5m 1786182600	Down	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa2e9a3…
08-08 09:53:52	btc updown 5m 1786182600	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x631b29…
08-07 18:09:33	btc updown 5m 1786125900	Up	BUY	699	72¢	$500	0xefb62e…
08-07 17:38:25	btc updown 5m 1786124100	Up	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xd5a84b…
08-07 17:35:12	btc updown 5m 1786123800	Down	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x3814e3…
08-07 17:31:28	btc updown 5m 1786123800	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x781cb4…
08-07 17:31:10	btc updown 5m 1786123500	Down	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0x84fd87…
08-07 17:26:07	btc updown 5m 1786123500	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4adc87…
08-07 17:25:21	btc updown 5m 1786123500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb7e849…
08-03 06:34:51	btc updown 5m 1785738600	Down	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x7c7a1a…
08-03 06:24:30	btc updown 5m 1785738000	Down	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xdf2fd8…
08-03 06:14:45	btc updown 5m 1785737400	Down	BUY	1,026	97¢	$1,000	0xf4db1f…
08-03 06:04:50	btc updown 5m 1785736800	Up	BUY	1,077	99¢	$1,066	0x8856a5…
08-03 05:59:57	btc updown 5m 1785736500	Up	BUY	616	97¢	$600	0xe76aa1…
08-03 05:53:57	btc updown 5m 1785736200	Down	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0x8df90d…
08-03 05:53:56	btc updown 5m 1785736200	Down	BUY	870	85¢	$736	0x8a3e82…
08-03 05:34:50	btc updown 5m 1785735000	Down	BUY	1,047	95¢	$1,000	0x5d145f…
08-03 05:24:29	btc updown 5m 1785734400	Down	BUY	1,097	91¢	$1,000	0xefd808…
08-03 04:49:29	btc updown 5m 1785732300	Down	BUY	1,079	93¢	$1,000	0xa16e43…
08-03 04:33:57	btc updown 5m 1785731400	Up	BUY	1,258	95¢	$1,200	0x44e93e…
08-03 04:29:30	btc updown 5m 1785731100	Up	BUY	1,131	97¢	$1,100	0xe81e33…
08-03 04:24:44	btc updown 5m 1785730800	Up	BUY	1,111	99¢	$1,100	0x1afc84…
08-03 04:05:35	btc updown 5m 1785729600	Up	SELL	918	100¢	$917	0x6a2181…
08-03 04:04:29	btc updown 5m 1785729600	Up	BUY	918	98¢	$900	0x81dd5b…
08-03 04:00:20	btc updown 5m 1785729300	Down	SELL	349	99¢	$346	0x87d781…
08-03 03:58:29	btc updown 5m 1785729300	Down	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xe5e93f…
08-02 20:24:18	btc updown 5m 1785702000	Down	SELL	314	99¢	$311	0x11453a…
08-02 20:23:51	btc updown 5m 1785702000	Down	BUY	314	95¢	$300	0xd203c9…
08-02 20:19:59	btc updown 5m 1785701700	Up	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x5d03f0…
08-02 20:19:17	btc updown 5m 1785701700	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xa03bb2…
08-02 20:14:42	btc updown 5m 1785701400	Down	SELL	117	85¢	$99	0xe8dec7…
08-02 20:12:59	btc updown 5m 1785701400	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x36e739…
08-02 19:55:02	btc updown 5m 1785700200	Down	SELL	529	99¢	$524	0x990ec5…
08-02 19:54:39	btc updown 5m 1785700200	Down	BUY	529	94¢	$500	0x7cda96…
08-02 19:45:32	btc updown 5m 1785699600	Up	SELL	406	99¢	$402	0xf9d5c2…
08-02 19:44:41	btc updown 5m 1785699600	Up	BUY	406	99¢	$402	0x542d14…
08-02 19:10:15	btc updown 5m 1785697500	Up	SELL	827	99¢	$819	0x76d7ad…
08-02 19:08:53	btc updown 5m 1785697500	Up	BUY	827	97¢	$800	0x0301f4…
06-03 05:32:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,048	0¢	$16	0xfd7dee…
05-17 13:39:09	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	159	10¢	$16	0xceddfe…
05-17 13:34:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	220	10¢	$22	0x0f011b…
05-17 13:27:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x864cce…
05-17 13:25:23	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x308c94…
05-17 13:22:14	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	113	10¢	$11	0x958bd7…
05-17 13:21:06	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	206	10¢	$20	0x2336e8…
05-17 13:20:21	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	863	9¢	$80	0x57f0d6…
05-16 02:06:03	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd7712a…
05-15 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x85286e…
05-15 21:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4b8357…
05-09 14:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	529	93¢	$490	0x85f726…
05-09 12:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x7dc255…
05-09 12:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x1bd450…
05-09 12:11:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1e791f…
05-09 12:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0xebe35f…
05-09 12:08:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x462f0e…
05-09 12:05:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	309	99¢	$306	0x35f4a5…
05-09 12:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xc64fda…
05-09 11:59:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x37a6d1…
05-09 11:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x21a039…
05-09 11:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	211	99¢	$209	0xe469b4…
05-09 11:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc0cb43…
05-09 11:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xedc090…
05-09 11:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x39889d…
05-09 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1cd73b…
05-09 11:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x99311c…
05-09 11:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1c928c…
05-09 11:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd18075…
05-09 11:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3271b8…
05-09 11:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x25a936…
05-09 11:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x3690a3…
05-09 11:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x374902…
05-09 11:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	120	88¢	$105	0x3aab52…
05-09 11:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x246840…
05-09 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0xccaf00…
05-09 11:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xc42b66…
05-09 11:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	209	99¢	$207	0xe951c2…
05-09 11:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x7efeb9…
05-09 07:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x3c2bfa…
05-09 07:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x27bb9b…
05-09 07:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	404	99¢	$400	0x04559c…
05-09 07:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x3d4012…
05-09 07:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	127	83¢	$105	0xae265d…
05-09 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xefbca4…
05-09 07:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	329	99¢	$326	0x88f6c2…
05-09 07:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6f8116…
05-09 07:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x853fdd…
05-09 07:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xa751e9…
05-09 07:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	206	99¢	$204	0x034390…
05-09 07:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x9c4b2f…
05-09 04:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x4e9f19…
05-09 04:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xa11353…
05-09 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x4d5fc8…
05-09 04:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x870542…
05-09 04:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4d32e0…
05-09 02:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x514b88…
05-09 01:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x7cb76f…
05-08 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc765dd…