Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$236

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-17 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 40% -$10

Politics

30% 91% +$27

Other

23% 73% -$6

Sports

4% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$27	02-28 08:44
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	5	$8	55	55	+0	No	-$3	02-13 16:54
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:35
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 05:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-19 05:49
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-24 05:06
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-01 22:17
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 10:09
Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	09-07 07:19
Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	08-19 00:15
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	08-05 04:00
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-14 17:57
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	08-05 04:00
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	08-19 00:15
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-17 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:25 UTC	4	$4	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	02-14 00:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 10:15 UTC	4	$4	37	0	+37	Down	-$3	02-13 10:29
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 03:24
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-08 21:40
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-12 20:01
nba hou okc 2026 02 07	2	$3	2	2	+0	Rockets	+$1	02-07 23:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 20:51
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:35 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	02-14 00:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	02-14 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	02-14 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:20 UTC	3	$3	36	0	+36	Down	$0	02-14 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$0	02-14 00:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	3	$3	9	0	+9	Up	-$2	02-14 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$0	02-14 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 10:09:03	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x60999f…
09-17 10:09:00	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0fe80d…
09-14 17:57:48	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xac7914…
09-13 20:57:33	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbb7f2d…
09-13 20:54:10	Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7649ff…
09-13 20:46:40	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdb9a35…
09-07 07:19:12	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x672dbc…
09-06 18:32:03	Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf18baf…
08-19 00:15:54	Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf4fed8…
08-19 00:15:48	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x53e2de…
08-18 21:50:49	Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x23acd6…
08-18 20:13:34	Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3df09c…
08-05 04:00:41	Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb9cefc…
08-05 04:00:36	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x454803…
08-04 19:54:44	Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x01526b…
08-03 03:32:33	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x901999…
07-30 20:52:00	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd65d2a…
07-30 20:51:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4126ff…
07-30 08:30:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x220a67…
07-30 08:10:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x5139d0…
07-14 05:01:20	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe6882…
07-13 19:21:52	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5a7fd1…
07-01 00:01:14	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x84aad6…
06-24 05:06:07	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2c0a92…
06-23 04:37:59	Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1a0849…
06-19 05:49:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c2485…
06-17 21:20:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0111ca…
06-13 17:50:40	will trump announce location or date of us and iran deal signing by june 13 2026 20260611220122298	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x77f173…
06-01 22:17:02	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8f8f0e…
05-31 19:40:54	Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x65993e…
05-31 10:05:52	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0d71c3…
05-19 18:08:12	Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2fde04…
05-15 20:38:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9e84c2…
05-15 00:19:00	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xda5763…
05-09 10:35:18	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12c591…
05-08 17:56:17	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf5c0a7…
02-28 08:44:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb0f79e…
02-20 19:37:12	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba9226…
02-14 01:31:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x777466…
02-14 01:31:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2d48eb…
02-14 01:31:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc5c639…
02-14 01:30:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4487a2…
02-14 01:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd29353…
02-14 01:18:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfa7a8a…
02-14 01:17:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9e8dc7…
02-14 01:16:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdbfdc0…
02-14 01:15:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbe6b47…
02-14 01:15:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef72f5…
02-14 01:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x954dae…
02-14 01:15:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2b5ad5…
02-14 01:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6955d1…
02-14 01:15:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x14e555…
02-14 01:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x843a78…
02-14 01:13:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9e03fe…
02-14 01:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x35a24b…
02-14 01:05:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe8b3af…
02-14 01:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x692217…
02-14 01:05:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xedea87…
02-14 01:04:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x95663a…
02-14 01:04:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6655b1…
02-14 01:03:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf1f85c…
02-14 01:00:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x86652a…
02-14 01:00:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x84ce8a…
02-14 01:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xee7834…
02-14 01:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf4bb3f…
02-14 01:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xed27c5…
02-14 01:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x21567f…
02-14 00:57:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x16f444…
02-14 00:57:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xdff629…
02-14 00:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x79b303…
02-14 00:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9da23e…
02-14 00:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x65e534…
02-14 00:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xed74e0…
02-14 00:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x18110b…
02-14 00:49:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xabe39a…
02-14 00:49:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9691c6…
02-14 00:48:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb150b8…
02-14 00:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x45efbb…
02-14 00:45:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5b2440…
02-14 00:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfa5961…
02-14 00:45:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7a1208…
02-14 00:45:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40fd17…
02-14 00:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1131ea…
02-14 00:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3960b8…
02-14 00:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x17995f…
02-14 00:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf877f4…
02-14 00:37:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x26f0fb…
02-14 00:37:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc24693…
02-14 00:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x617a3f…
02-14 00:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1d4a84…
02-14 00:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0d847a…
02-14 00:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xade41d…
02-14 00:32:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x788515…
02-14 00:32:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x775cb3…
02-14 00:32:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3aaae9…
02-14 00:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1fb639…
02-14 00:32:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x179463…
02-14 00:27:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x65a0fc…
02-14 00:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5cd8c2…
02-14 00:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x55803f…