Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-01 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

73% 51% -$12

Politics

23% 56% -$2

Tech

4% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-10 00:08
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 15:25
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 19:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-08 00:36
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-20 22:44
wti up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	9	+9	Down	-$2	09-16 10:04
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-10 15:05
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-13 16:13
will nflx reach 80 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-17 02:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-09 04:07
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 07:43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-25 19:02
GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-25 08:37
will rklb dip to 62 by september 14 2026 from september 15	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-16 02:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-08 19:02
will pltr reach 183 by august 10 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-14 00:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-24 00:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-12 03:39
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-10 06:50
will googl dip to 335 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-11 19:33
spy up or down on august 12 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	+$1	08-12 11:39
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-09 14:04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 11:12
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-09 22:48
spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-17 11:22
Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-01 04:03
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 01:18
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-22 13:58
will pltr dip to 168 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-11 09:22
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-17 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 05:20:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6214ba…
10-22 20:30:57	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x553108…
10-22 12:12:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x313359…
10-18 12:00:38	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbad588…
10-18 00:04:54	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x470297…
10-17 15:52:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x289d68…
10-17 04:25:38	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9ccfb4…
10-16 08:15:00	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x67ae99…
10-15 23:54:07	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8be120…
10-15 03:09:56	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1bda6f…
10-14 07:08:59	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6a0501…
10-13 22:51:58	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xffc621…
10-11 08:33:24	Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xac8a66…
10-10 21:59:12	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.8B?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7a0f84…
10-07 00:38:53	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x30e74a…
09-24 19:28:33	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6a4df8…
09-20 22:44:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4d971a…
09-19 06:04:22	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1c3cc9…
09-17 06:06:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x8e2b56…
09-16 10:04:18	wti up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x7ec40e…
09-16 02:04:01	will rklb dip to 62 by september 14 2026 from september 15	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x90e783…
09-10 00:08:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa1c7c6…
09-08 15:25:15	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x16c50c…
09-08 00:36:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xf0f0ca…
09-07 11:12:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2bbc6e…
09-01 04:03:00	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2342e3…
08-25 19:02:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x49e24e…
08-25 08:37:36	GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x55ff8d…
08-24 00:22:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7885e9…
08-22 13:58:40	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x18c14e…
08-17 19:52:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xcf19cf…
08-17 11:22:54	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3611a1…
08-17 02:36:45	will nflx reach 80 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c1c54…
08-14 00:18:00	will pltr reach 183 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x5a788c…
08-13 16:13:48	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6d2466…
08-13 07:43:16	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1933bc…
08-12 11:39:36	spy up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xc8a994…
08-12 03:39:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xcc6513…
08-11 19:33:16	will googl dip to 335 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x2f95c8…
08-11 09:22:01	will pltr dip to 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x61c3ba…
08-11 01:18:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfa31d4…
08-10 15:05:28	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x0d3de0…
08-10 06:50:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x957cc3…
08-09 22:48:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4ba271…
08-09 14:04:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x697968…
08-09 04:07:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xdb6a2e…
08-08 19:02:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x58079a…