Scholarly-Fishery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$4.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-11 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 33% $-23

Sports

13% 43% $-17

Politics

7% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-510	$-32	5¢	$-26	+$6	05-29 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775712000	2	$285	194	187	+7	open	—	04-09 05:25
btc updown 5m 1775714700	2	$215	212	198	+14	open	—	04-09 06:10
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	2	$147	80	80	+0	open	—	03-31 17:44
btc updown 5m 1775746500	2	$142	113	107	+6	open	—	04-09 15:01
btc updown 5m 1775719200	2	$133	250	236	+14	open	—	04-09 07:23
btc updown 5m 1775712600	2	$132	94	91	+4	open	—	04-09 05:35
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	2	$123	73	73	+0	open	—	03-31 19:24
btc updown 5m 1775745900	2	$119	66	65	+1	open	—	04-09 14:48
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	4	$113	423	317	+106	open	—	04-19 20:00
btc updown 5m 1776635100	2	$109	92	87	+5	open	—	04-19 21:50
btc updown 5m 1775717100	2	$103	66	64	+2	open	—	04-09 06:50
btc updown 5m 1776635400	2	$101	77	74	+3	open	—	04-19 21:52
btc updown 5m 1775712900	2	$100	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	04-09 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$99	73	73	+0	Down	+$47	05-06 03:31
btc updown 5m 1775719500	2	$97	92	88	+4	open	—	04-09 07:27
btc updown 5m 1776636000	1	$87	440	0	+440	open	—	04-19 22:00
btc updown 5m 1775718000	2	$84	73	70	+3	open	—	04-09 07:03
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	3	$82	75	75	+0	open	—	04-04 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775744700	2	$81	56	54	+2	open	—	04-09 14:30
btc updown 5m 1775714100	1	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	04-09 05:55
btc updown 5m 1775714400	1	$80	342	0	+342	open	—	04-09 06:00
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	3	$70	52	52	+0	open	—	04-04 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775804400	3	$69	46	45	+2	open	—	04-10 07:05
btc updown 5m 1775744100	2	$67	59	56	+3	open	—	04-09 14:16
btc updown 5m 1775715000	2	$64	91	87	+4	open	—	04-09 06:14
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$55	66	66	+0	open	—	04-04 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$54	56	56	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 03:19
will bolivia qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$50	92	0	+92	open	—	03-27 14:13
btc updown 5m 1775721900	2	$48	30	30	+1	open	—	04-09 08:10
btc updown 5m 1775716500	2	$48	56	52	+3	open	—	04-09 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 11:25:40	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xda6d64…
06-11 11:24:58	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xd97dda…
06-11 11:24:21	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x414cba…
06-11 11:24:04	will norway reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134501	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x77ee59…
06-11 11:23:36	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x274fc9…
05-29 17:30:06	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	510	6¢	$32	0xed7cc3…
05-08 17:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xe13efd…
05-08 17:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x53e9b0…
05-08 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc23dbe…
05-08 17:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3ac10e…
05-08 17:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x46b6a1…
05-08 17:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf02c92…
05-08 13:23:09	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1bebe7…
05-08 13:22:39	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x103eaf…
05-08 13:22:01	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7f97e2…
05-08 13:21:29	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe4a4b0…
05-08 13:20:44	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x06c447…
05-08 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x512e3a…
05-08 05:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x73afbb…
05-08 05:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x27862d…
05-08 05:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x958a5d…
05-08 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x5a62b3…
05-08 05:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x872d99…
05-08 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0xa15fbd…
05-08 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd9ecbb…
05-08 05:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf93bcb…
05-08 05:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5638d8…
05-08 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6c41a6…
05-08 05:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x4c747e…
05-08 05:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x57a6ae…
05-08 05:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x235049…
05-08 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x65398a…
05-08 05:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9fe1e2…
05-08 05:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x3319e5…
05-08 05:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8401a0…
05-08 05:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd3d3dd…
05-08 05:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd296a1…
05-08 05:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4d6689…
05-06 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x8bf17d…
05-06 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x16c4a0…
05-06 03:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb98e3d…
05-06 03:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	73	99¢	$73	0xe78b28…
05-06 03:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x9c6f18…
05-06 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x05d8a6…
05-06 03:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x34543b…
05-06 03:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92380d…
05-06 03:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc3584b…
05-06 03:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	70¢	$39	0x72316f…
05-06 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa3995c…
05-06 03:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x792dc3…
05-06 03:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x7b2a79…
05-06 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfc8519…
05-06 03:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x697404…
05-06 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb4ba36…
05-06 03:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf037ba…
05-06 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x46f98b…
05-06 03:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbc2084…
05-06 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xfa29b6…
05-06 02:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd219e6…
05-06 02:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb0d9ec…
05-06 02:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x27a5e5…
05-06 02:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x133254…
05-06 02:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd4359e…
05-05 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0xdb7f84…
05-05 20:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xdcadb4…
05-05 20:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1de9ea…
05-05 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xb3322e…
05-05 20:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x74dc71…
05-05 20:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x59b481…
05-05 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe24161…
04-19 22:00:34	btc updown 5m 1776636000	Up	BUY	440	20¢	$87	0xe4d919…
04-19 21:55:42	btc updown 5m 1776635700	Down	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xa00861…
04-19 21:52:42	btc updown 5m 1776635400	Down	SELL	74	97¢	$71	0xaf73a3…
04-19 21:51:16	btc updown 5m 1776635400	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xd9b19b…
04-19 21:50:16	btc updown 5m 1776635100	Down	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xfa41ef…
04-19 21:46:20	btc updown 5m 1776635100	Down	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0x9c785e…
04-19 20:00:46	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	SELL	317	7¢	$23	0xc88256…
04-19 06:20:10	btc updown 5m 1776579600	Down	BUY	75	44¢	$33	0x451b4e…
04-19 06:09:38	btc updown 5m 1776578700	Up	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0x9a0774…
04-19 06:05:16	btc updown 5m 1776578700	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa4a32c…
04-19 05:58:56	btc updown 5m 1776578100	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x0b3296…
04-19 05:57:16	btc updown 5m 1776578100	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2ac24f…
04-19 05:53:30	btc updown 5m 1776577800	Up	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x1200a9…
04-19 05:47:20	btc updown 5m 1776577500	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf9c23d…
04-19 05:45:16	btc updown 5m 1776577500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9d7c62…
04-19 05:44:42	btc updown 5m 1776577200	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x18ce61…
04-19 05:40:16	btc updown 5m 1776577200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7490f3…
04-19 05:37:46	btc updown 5m 1776576900	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8034c2…
04-19 05:31:42	btc updown 5m 1776576600	Down	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x03f81b…
04-19 05:31:26	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	88	2¢	$2	0x205224…
04-19 05:26:22	btc updown 5m 1776576300	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x591221…
04-19 05:25:14	btc updown 5m 1776576300	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x17ac99…
04-19 05:20:44	btc updown 5m 1776576000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc79a19…
04-19 05:06:44	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	BUY	359	20¢	$72	0x3ee70e…
04-15 05:43:14	btc updown 5m 1776231600	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7c71bf…
04-15 05:43:00	btc updown 5m 1776231600	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x977d59…
04-15 05:41:42	btc updown 5m 1776231600	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x86992f…
04-15 05:39:46	btc updown 5m 1776231300	Up	BUY	3,767	0¢	$4	0x2bc610…
04-15 05:39:10	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$19	0x525c70…
04-15 05:35:26	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	BUY	37	15¢	$6	0x32df6e…