Hard-To-Find-Concern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

286

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:01
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-29 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:03
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 6c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:16
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:46
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:52
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe13ed0…
10-27 07:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32e66f…
10-26 05:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d57b9…
10-24 06:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x844514…
10-23 07:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90bb82…
10-21 08:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a0b51…
10-19 06:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcef824…
10-18 07:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe20317…
10-17 07:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ccc5…
10-16 05:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0732d5…
10-15 06:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa00d64…
10-14 07:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbaad52…
10-13 05:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b5379…
10-12 04:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56c959…
10-11 03:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb414d…
10-08 05:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x305195…
10-07 08:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb4991…
10-06 07:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x382d70…
10-04 08:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9492b…
10-03 04:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc71221…
10-02 07:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6a68f…
10-02 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadb9f2…
10-01 07:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a1c87…
09-30 09:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a720d…
09-29 08:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba7e2…
09-28 08:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ba8eb…
09-27 02:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x360104…
09-25 07:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x187499…
09-24 06:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb33d61…
09-23 05:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98490b…
09-22 06:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddad34…
09-21 08:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bfb72…
09-20 03:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47e885…
09-19 06:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabd0e0…
09-18 01:11:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a803…
09-17 03:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18587a…
09-16 08:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x074eea…
09-15 23:35:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21cf88…
09-15 02:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27775a…
09-14 02:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x287067…
09-13 12:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88557d…
09-12 08:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c987…
09-11 06:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24ae5d…
09-10 01:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0f8a5…
09-09 01:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97ed3b…
09-08 01:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc05d7f…
09-07 01:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18f7e8…
09-06 01:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x962e51…
09-05 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0eac9…
09-04 08:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0d7e6…
09-03 01:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b8e78…
09-01 01:25:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad407f…
08-30 00:15:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e04b7…
08-29 05:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d0775…
08-28 01:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d455c…
08-27 01:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7038c7…
08-26 02:03:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9f0f6…
08-25 06:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70fa97…
08-24 07:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1efb9…
08-23 07:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69f26b…
08-22 06:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x595844…
08-21 01:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe25a21…
08-20 05:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x377e80…
08-19 07:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3b7ec…
08-18 00:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b2028…
08-17 06:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedeb7d…
08-16 10:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ddfda…
08-15 02:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ad0fc…
08-14 06:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x512384…
08-13 00:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f5ad4…
08-12 06:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a4a5f…
08-11 00:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2040b5…
08-10 00:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c2b79…
08-09 07:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b0df3…
08-09 00:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x904fdb…
08-08 06:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54d2e5…
08-07 00:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1799f4…
08-06 00:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb12f6e…
08-05 00:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29ac27…
08-04 03:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22ab7f…
08-03 00:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bf8ec…
08-02 00:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5bd8e…
08-01 00:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x363075…
07-31 07:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x109c00…
07-30 00:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x186935…
07-29 01:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc559d6…
07-28 00:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d7c45…
07-27 06:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x429dff…
07-26 01:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc076ea…
07-25 00:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29f62d…
07-24 01:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb1258…
07-23 01:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0e72d…
07-22 01:33:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc45a37…
07-20 23:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6ab57…
07-19 22:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bed67…
07-18 22:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd672a…
07-17 23:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd2bda…
07-17 01:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0534b9…
07-16 08:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715ee3…
07-15 21:40:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3aec9…