Realized P&L
-$304
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
25.2%
Resolved
238
Trades
2,358
lifetime
Volume
$4.05K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 11-01 16:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
49% 35% -$112
Other
46% 53% -$82
Sports
5% 50% -$110
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -13 -$9 46¢ $-6 +$4 06-08 08:06
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +13 $5 32¢ $4 -$1 08-09 15:55
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -185 -$6 2¢ $-3 +$3 05-08 18:46
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No -3 $1 91¢ $-3 -$4 06-08 08:05
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -51 -$12 6¢ $-3 +$9 06-08 08:05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 08-15 07:59
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -45 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 08:05
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-15 03:46
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-30 17:29
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No -3 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-08 08:06