Medium-Peacock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,054

lifetime

Volume

$5.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-20 07:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 75% $-21

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	69	$373	315	305	+10	open	—	05-15 06:51
cs2 pssnua faze 2026 03 31	80	$349	657	72	+585	open	—	03-31 14:38
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	33	$262	260	260	+0	open	—	07-13 06:25
cs2 mglz prv 2026 04 09	80	$176	340	50	+290	open	—	04-09 19:13
cs2 nip k271 2026 07 15	2	$126	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 07:20
will pistol be said 20 times during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	6	$110	101	21	+80	open	—	04-11 18:01
cs2 bcg voc 2026 04 06	30	$106	120	79	+41	open	—	04-06 17:38
cs2 bcg voc 2026 04 06 game1	19	$101	110	60	+50	open	—	04-06 17:38
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	44	$96	175	418	-243	open	—	05-15 07:14
cs2 g2 bb3 2026 04 02	25	$95	180	20	+160	open	—	04-02 17:26
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	29	$91	134	129	+6	open	—	05-14 19:17
cs2 gl1 9ine 2026 04 01	22	$89	173	0	+173	open	—	04-01 16:36
cs2 havu tl1 2026 03 31	24	$86	170	0	+170	open	—	03-31 16:36
cs2 eye omega1 2026 04 07	29	$71	195	65	+130	open	—	04-07 19:29
cs2 bcg mibr 2026 04 05	23	$65	75	60	+15	open	—	04-05 13:43
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	18	$61	123	163	-40	open	—	05-14 15:54
cs2 b8 3dmax 2026 04 02	24	$59	221	55	+166	open	—	04-02 16:28
cs2 100t mgc 2026 03 31	10	$58	100	10	+90	open	—	03-31 15:32
cs2 big5 bca 2026 04 04	14	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	04-04 20:32
cs2 g1 heroa 2026 04 10	25	$52	115	20	+95	open	—	04-10 13:22
cs2 fut b8 2026 04 09 game2	30	$52	111	45	+66	open	—	04-09 15:53
cs2 m80 all 2026 04 02	11	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	04-02 14:38
cs2 bb3 hero 2026 04 03	13	$51	65	22	+43	open	—	04-03 19:12
cs2 gl1 nip 2026 04 02	24	$50	88	53	+35	open	—	04-02 19:15
cs2 faze drama 2026 04 03 game1	7	$49	80	20	+60	open	—	04-03 10:56
cs2 m80 mnte 2026 04 01	13	$49	95	1	+94	open	—	04-01 17:41
will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 13	2	$48	100	0	+100	open	—	07-13 23:23
btc updown 15m 1776099600	25	$44	135	55	+80	open	—	04-13 17:14
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 15corhigher	19	$42	49	49	+0	open	—	04-11 15:20
cs2 faze big5 2026 04 05	13	$40	60	30	+30	open	—	04-05 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:23:46	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0698a8…
07-20 05:19:07	will trump say biden 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255808	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x8a6a38…
07-19 20:58:30	will natus vincere make a roster change before september 20260623155546119	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xfd75a6…
07-13 23:23:01	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 13	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x8cab9e…
07-13 19:30:34	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 13	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xd1140c…
07-13 19:30:29	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xba7a8a…
07-13 16:15:44	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x24887a…
07-13 15:41:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x53c02c…
07-13 15:35:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x6b3b91…
07-13 15:34:43	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x1e3012…
07-13 15:28:07	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xcded3b…
07-13 15:25:40	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb421ca…
07-13 15:25:35	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5dde21…
07-13 15:21:53	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa6017b…
07-13 15:18:02	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2a79e2…
07-13 15:18:01	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb7e1bb…
07-13 15:09:49	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd3b336…
07-13 15:09:47	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc3dce8…
07-13 15:07:58	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x81292b…
07-13 07:20:28	cs2 nip k271 2026 07 15	NIP	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x569b15…
07-13 06:25:04	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$23	0x99e582…
07-13 06:21:26	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x4c1234…
07-13 06:19:22	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xb3c5fd…
07-13 06:18:01	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0xc19243…
07-13 06:17:38	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa77729…
07-13 06:17:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x333985…
07-13 05:58:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x671cde…
07-13 05:33:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xc48325…
07-13 05:07:34	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0x4f447f…
07-13 04:57:19	cs2 nip k271 2026 07 15	NIP	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x4d3d2d…
07-12 19:47:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x06af48…
07-12 19:47:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x06af48…
07-12 19:20:20	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	23	46¢	$10	0x4223c8…
07-12 19:20:20	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0x4223c8…
07-12 19:14:19	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x4fb222…
07-12 19:14:19	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x0a3f29…
07-12 19:12:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x943b45…
07-12 19:12:37	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xededd2…
07-12 19:10:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x65b2a2…
07-12 19:06:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x6b2a21…
07-12 19:06:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7751ae…
07-12 19:05:41	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc561d9…
07-12 18:52:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xaadf7b…
07-12 18:41:58	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x386f43…
07-12 18:33:47	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0d019b…
07-12 18:27:13	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x0f996c…
07-12 18:24:35	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x628441…
07-12 18:23:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x7d745a…
07-12 18:21:59	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xd69f85…
07-12 18:21:59	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xd69f85…
07-12 18:09:50	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x292849…
07-12 18:07:11	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x48d247…
07-12 17:40:17	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf180a6…
07-10 09:12:35	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x9967c9…
07-10 05:59:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$7	0xbb204c…
07-10 02:23:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4b5815…
07-09 23:37:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	52	13¢	$7	0x9d970a…
07-09 23:20:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xed0e48…
07-09 23:04:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xfe9ee8…
07-09 22:44:43	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x302f5c…
07-09 22:34:47	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0x3458bb…
07-09 22:18:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x147124…
07-09 19:20:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x642bc9…
07-09 18:44:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xe94fb7…
05-15 18:16:16	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe64aeb…
05-15 18:16:12	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x7a3cf8…
05-15 15:58:11	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x4904e0…
05-15 15:57:24	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb9900e…
05-15 15:54:47	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb57384…
05-15 15:51:39	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x69ed62…
05-15 14:53:39	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xed4ae7…
05-15 07:36:05	Will the White House Press Secretary say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x3108ec…
05-15 07:14:14	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x0a6029…
05-15 07:14:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xc81c9c…
05-15 07:13:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xe069c9…
05-15 07:12:54	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x54b2c7…
05-15 07:11:46	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x4a10b2…
05-15 07:06:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	201	4¢	$9	0xc0da87…
05-15 07:06:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x73a896…
05-15 07:06:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x248256…
05-15 07:02:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x8fb8e8…
05-15 07:00:25	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0xde0fa1…
05-15 06:51:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x8a516e…
05-15 06:50:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2a4ce5…
05-15 05:02:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xc669ec…
05-15 04:59:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9c999f…
05-15 04:58:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x39f220…
05-15 04:57:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6a8bf5…
05-15 04:57:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x140707…
05-15 04:56:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x733c43…
05-15 04:56:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x61fe4f…
05-14 19:17:25	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x028fc5…
05-14 19:04:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x6cfc4c…
05-14 19:04:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d6799…
05-14 18:59:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x5fe620…
05-14 18:57:45	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x354a26…
05-14 18:57:00	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x8055e7…
05-14 18:55:39	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xbb79b1…
05-14 18:47:01	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x967e58…
05-14 18:44:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x05c9ac…