Impure-Aim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$157

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-31 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

61% 97% -$70

Other

29% 100% +$32

Tech

4% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No		+116	$112	96¢	$111	-$1	10-31 04:18
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes		+48	$46	96¢	$46	$0	10-31 03:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$302	153	153	+0	Yes	+$4	10-23 00:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	+$0	07-17 06:47
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$248	248	0	+248	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$234	234	0	+234	No	+$0	06-01 17:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$225	113	113	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 12:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$225	225	0	+225	No	+$0	05-23 02:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$220	225	0	+225	No	+$4	05-21 02:15
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$219	219	0	+219	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:31
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	1	$217	219	0	+219	No	+$2	04-30 03:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$217	217	0	+217	Yes	+$0	04-29 05:14
Will Trump dance today?	1	$216	217	0	+217	Yes	+$1	04-27 06:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	04-25 17:12
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$211	211	0	+211	No	+$0	04-21 02:10
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$209	211	0	+211	No	+$1	04-14 14:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$209	209	0	+209	Yes	+$0	04-09 15:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$208	209	0	+209	Yes	+$1	04-07 17:55
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$203	208	0	+208	No	+$5	03-24 14:06
mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	1	$201	203	0	+203	Team Liquid PH	+$2	03-20 11:08
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$201	201	0	+201	Yes	+$0	03-11 14:28
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	03-01 11:22
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$199	199	0	+199	Yes	+$0	01-30 15:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$148	149	0	+149	Yes	+$1	08-15 02:50
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$148	149	0	+149	Yes	+$0	08-21 01:47
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$147	148	0	+148	No	+$1	08-04 03:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	1	$147	147	0	+147	Yes	+$0	07-28 01:31
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	08-01 03:19
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$135	135	0	+135	Yes	+$1	07-20 01:53
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	07-11 02:21
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	3	$126	135	0	+135	Yes	+$8	07-17 06:48
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	1	$126	127	0	+127	No	+$0	07-09 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:18:51	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xcf76fb…
10-31 03:26:18	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x553b69…
10-31 03:12:55	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x797342…
10-24 03:17:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xbf4666…
10-24 03:17:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x86cccc…
10-23 00:32:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x132d1a…
08-27 06:51:01	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x36edcf…
08-21 01:47:55	Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x9aac61…
08-15 02:50:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x475fe2…
08-15 02:32:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xacb039…
08-04 03:00:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0xe637e5…
08-01 03:19:45	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xcdd9b3…
07-28 01:31:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xcdb32a…
07-24 03:04:06	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x61afb4…
07-24 03:03:52	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0x505ffb…
07-20 01:53:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	135	99¢	$135	0x7e6418…
07-17 06:48:58	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0xcdf227…
07-17 06:48:45	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa4d7de…
07-17 06:47:54	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xad3b26…
07-17 06:47:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x615db5…
07-13 12:55:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x6dd8e4…
07-11 02:21:20	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x8c5e9a…
07-09 12:15:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xf79241…
07-02 06:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x328a68…
06-19 11:10:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	126	98¢	$124	0x4c05dd…
06-19 11:10:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	141	88¢	$124	0xeadc3f…
06-08 08:39:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xc9b641…
06-04 11:17:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	126	93¢	$117	0x252e8b…
06-04 11:09:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	122	96¢	$117	0x665da3…
06-01 17:08:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0x05890c…
05-31 13:18:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$116	0xa53e58…
05-31 12:49:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x218fa2…
05-31 12:45:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x41556a…
05-31 03:05:00	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0x310b49…
05-25 04:18:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0xa50ff0…
05-25 04:13:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0x9c0235…
05-23 02:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xc47025…
05-21 02:15:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	225	98¢	$220	0xe7c332…
05-18 14:58:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x975360…
05-12 16:31:13	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x9d9434…
04-30 03:23:22	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	219	99¢	$217	0xcc9abc…
04-29 05:14:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xf92eca…
04-27 06:16:36	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0xa94507…
04-25 17:12:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x197c89…
04-23 07:48:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x39a74b…
04-23 07:44:50	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0xd3bc3c…
04-23 07:44:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0x59a248…
04-21 02:10:46	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xd2a85a…
04-14 14:27:23	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x378df4…
04-09 15:54:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0x508407…
04-07 17:55:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x2a89fa…
03-24 14:06:41	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0xdec968…
03-24 13:08:35	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38db58…
03-24 13:06:41	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x103e71…
03-24 13:04:47	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd1ea5b…
03-20 11:08:59	mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	Team Liquid PH	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x4919e2…
03-11 14:28:37	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x88a6a3…
03-01 11:22:13	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x8bef51…
01-30 15:58:22	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x252465…
01-02 07:27:31	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0xffd3b5…
01-02 07:27:17	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	105	89¢	$94	0x1bc617…