Realized P&L
+$9.32K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.18K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
63
Trades
723
lifetime
Volume
$137.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$190
Open exposure
$2.18K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Politics
44%
44%
+$6,291
Crypto
38%
44%
+$4,012
Sports
9%
17%
-$3,078
Other
7%
50%
+$4,684
Tech
3%
20%
-$2,588
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -1,303 | -$505 | 89¢ | $-1160 | -$655 | 06-08 23:53 | |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -1,000 | -$710 | 94¢ | $-940 | -$230 | 06-08 23:53 | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | -4,340 | -$2,146 | 2¢ | $-82 | +$2,064 | 06-08 23:54 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 150 | $39.5K | 64,001 | 64,480 | -479 | Yes | +$6,318 | 02-09 17:45 |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 12 | $8.9K | 7,221 | 7,043 | +177 | No | +$5,000 | 03-06 11:01 |
| bitcoin above 78k on february 1 | 12 | $6.0K | 4,000 | 3,999 | +1 | No | -$482 | 02-01 12:25 |
| nba cle det 2026 02 27 | 36 | $5.9K | 13,844 | 11,845 | +1,999 | Pistons | -$2,987 | 02-28 03:30 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 12 | $4.4K | 6,538 | 6,538 | +0 | No | +$1,014 | 01-28 14:09 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 12 | $3.6K | 8,537 | 2,000 | +6,537 | Yes | +$4,285 | 02-26 12:05 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 7 | $3.6K | 7,817 | 0 | +7,817 | Yes | -$3,591 | 03-07 05:39 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 3 | $3.4K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | +$576 | 02-02 07:19 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 8 | $3.2K | 9,645 | 9,645 | +0 | No | +$63 | 01-23 05:31 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 3 | $3.0K | 2,089 | 2,089 | +0 | Yes | +$1,091 | 02-28 23:14 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 2 | $2.6K | 7,456 | 0 | +7,456 | Yes | -$2,618 | 04-20 20:29 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1 | 3 | $2.6K | 4,170 | 0 | +4,170 | Yes | +$1,584 | 01-31 15:54 |
| lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332 | 1 | $2.5K | 0 | 2,500 | -2,500 | Yes | -$2 | 01-02 12:57 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 1 | 26 | $2.5K | 13,290 | 13,290 | +0 | No | -$1,018 | 02-01 14:07 |
| Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 9 | $2.4K | 1,432 | 2,932 | -1,500 | No | +$582 | 02-13 17:35 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 9 | $2.4K | 2,900 | 0 | +2,900 | No | +$504 | 03-09 09:59 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 36 | $2.4K | 131,316 | 66,316 | +65,000 | Yes | -$142 | 02-28 07:52 |
| nba tor was 2026 02 28 | 14 | $2.2K | 11,000 | 5,500 | +5,500 | Raptors | -$2,005 | 03-01 02:14 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 3 | $2.1K | 0 | 4,340 | -4,340 | open | — | 06-08 23:54 |
| nba lal phx 2026 02 26 | 5 | $2.1K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | Suns | +$3,932 | 02-27 04:03 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 3 | $2.0K | 9,000 | 6,500 | +2,500 | No | -$980 | 03-29 20:20 |
| Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 2 | $2.0K | 1,127 | 1,127 | +0 | No | -$11 | 01-05 11:13 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 7 | $2.0K | 11,500 | 1,500 | +10,000 | Yes | +$907 | 02-28 23:19 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:30 UTC | 33 | $1.9K | 1,500 | 1,200 | +300 | Down | +$670 | 03-11 12:33 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | 1 | $1.6K | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | Yes | -$1,650 | 06-08 23:55 |
| microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026 | 7 | $1.5K | 13,307 | 18,279 | -4,972 | No | +$197 | 01-05 13:04 |
| microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025 | 104 | $1.5K | 675,314 | 358,015 | +317,299 | No | -$779 | 01-02 07:07 |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 4 | $1.5K | 2,000 | 500 | +1,500 | No | +$662 | 02-10 19:35 |
| bitcoin up or down february 10 2am et | 8 | $1.4K | 1,104 | 1,104 | +0 | Down | +$762 | 02-10 08:03 |
| nba phi bos 2026 03 01 | 15 | $1.4K | 5,500 | 0 | +5,500 | Celtics | -$1,395 | 03-02 03:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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