Pleasant-Massage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

542

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-13 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-14

Other

25% 50% $-8

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$8

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	51	$1.3K	1,269	1,190	+79	open	—	06-15 15:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	38	$914	912	912	+0	open	—	06-19 21:12
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	25	$499	457	275	+183	open	—	07-01 02:16
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	17	$470	451	450	+0	open	—	06-18 20:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$385	309	309	+0	open	—	07-08 00:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	18	$324	306	306	+0	open	—	07-08 00:33
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	11	$305	259	259	+0	open	—	06-26 06:21
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	8	$266	174	174	+0	open	—	07-26 10:33
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	11	$262	182	182	+0	open	—	07-26 09:08
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	11	$258	183	183	+0	open	—	07-15 14:11
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	7	$231	145	145	+0	open	—	07-16 00:10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	8	$214	155	155	+0	open	—	07-20 16:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	9	$186	116	116	+0	open	—	07-30 11:38
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$172	146	146	+0	open	—	06-27 20:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	13	$154	188	219	-31	open	—	04-25 02:38
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	4	$139	80	80	+0	open	—	07-11 15:29
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	8	$138	87	87	+0	open	—	08-09 13:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	8	$125	82	82	+0	open	—	08-06 18:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	10	$125	147	113	+34	open	—	04-27 13:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$124	133	50	+82	open	—	07-23 06:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	9	$124	84	112	-28	open	—	04-25 23:18
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	6	$119	103	103	+0	open	—	07-13 14:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$119	75	78	-3	open	—	05-22 16:29
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$115	105	131	-26	open	—	04-27 05:25
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	8	$110	104	104	+0	open	—	07-27 16:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	4	$108	74	74	+0	open	—	07-21 02:50
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$94	53	53	+0	open	—	06-24 00:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$93	48	60	-12	open	—	04-26 22:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$86	73	73	+0	open	—	05-13 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$84	48	48	+0	open	—	06-22 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 18:54:28	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0x138bbe…
08-12 12:36:55	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x2476cb…
08-12 12:30:07	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x324d28…
08-12 06:31:13	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Up	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0xe80c2f…
08-11 23:51:43	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x11d423…
08-11 13:06:57	kbo kt nc 2026 08 11	NC Dinos	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x6130e6…
08-11 13:04:37	kbo kt nc 2026 08 11	NC Dinos	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcece44…
08-11 12:20:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x285341…
08-11 12:18:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x7a0abb…
08-11 06:41:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x29fceb…
08-11 06:39:06	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x86ba24…
08-10 16:15:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0f4f25…
08-10 12:54:42	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xba3944…
08-09 14:33:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb6dde2…
08-09 14:13:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0x80dfe4…
08-09 13:34:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x892579…
08-09 10:21:06	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x35aadd…
08-09 01:50:51	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x988a80…
08-09 01:32:39	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa412a5…
08-09 01:32:10	bra cor cha 2026 08 08 btts	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x433297…
08-09 01:30:04	bra cor cha 2026 08 08 btts	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x52b87d…
08-09 01:15:16	bra cor cha 2026 08 08 btts	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xae7a94…
08-09 01:06:19	bra cor cha 2026 08 08 btts	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x04947a…
08-09 00:35:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xcf0d3c…
08-08 17:12:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xbaaa9a…
08-08 17:06:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x4d3f92…
08-07 15:57:00	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf38b8c…
08-07 13:43:19	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x30bfd9…
08-07 09:17:13	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1bf674…
08-07 09:16:55	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x154f7c…
08-06 22:48:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x79c747…
08-06 18:33:35	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1251a3…
08-06 18:15:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x290d4e…
08-06 18:14:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb780ae…
08-06 10:46:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfd4a61…
08-06 10:16:02	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x705888…
08-06 05:25:02	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x07d68f…
08-06 04:37:35	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0x6a11ab…
08-06 04:17:54	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	29	60¢	$17	0xe9e236…
08-06 03:50:26	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x019dd8…
08-06 02:10:44	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8abfba…
08-06 02:06:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x5ae53b…
08-04 15:53:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4c0aac…
08-04 14:52:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf9af34…
08-04 13:48:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x35ce66…
08-04 13:34:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x08c31c…
08-04 13:30:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xd14ec2…
08-04 12:29:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x923556…
08-04 12:25:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0xe1beb7…
08-02 02:23:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x08650e…
08-02 02:18:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xeeb247…
08-02 02:18:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4bd124…
08-02 02:12:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x52f465…
08-02 02:11:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0xac4279…
08-02 00:56:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x141b1c…
08-01 23:56:53	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x56810e…
08-01 23:56:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	38	54¢	$20	0x10d730…
08-01 18:30:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0x200658…
08-01 18:30:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	48	58¢	$28	0x30c47a…
08-01 18:17:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xbab8e7…
08-01 18:17:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	26	60¢	$15	0xbe0d0b…
08-01 18:10:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	38	64¢	$24	0x5702e7…
08-01 07:45:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x0e63de…
07-31 21:48:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x1c3a21…
07-31 21:36:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0xa68049…
07-31 21:15:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x004694…
07-31 16:18:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xddfdd6…
07-31 14:52:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x77f0f3…
07-31 14:52:38	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd10931…
07-31 12:26:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x1b7558…
07-31 07:13:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0xdabe5a…
07-31 06:34:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x100a2a…
07-30 23:30:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x1e8a50…
07-30 23:02:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x688e1f…
07-30 22:52:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x3f79c8…
07-30 21:20:26	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x35a970…
07-30 14:58:06	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x7b0725…
07-30 11:38:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x56e72f…
07-30 09:14:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xf626ca…
07-30 08:24:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	35	73¢	$26	0xe7d281…
07-29 16:31:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xd1c8a7…
07-29 14:47:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x36c97e…
07-29 12:48:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x19702d…
07-29 11:47:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xf0c4b2…
07-28 22:40:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x92a00b…
07-28 22:35:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x50f7cc…
07-28 22:32:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xa96aca…
07-28 17:04:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x7dd805…
07-28 07:36:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x568804…
07-27 21:20:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x82611f…
07-27 21:20:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x830e8b…
07-27 21:18:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	53	44¢	$24	0x9d27ba…
07-27 19:59:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xb79d3e…
07-27 19:51:12	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5dc4f8…
07-27 19:02:16	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x39f9f8…
07-27 16:55:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0xa328a7…
07-27 16:30:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xe70581…
07-27 16:08:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x07db8d…
07-27 16:03:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9359bb…
07-27 15:45:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$12	0x150310…