Noisy-Pate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

10,687

Trades

86,141

lifetime

Volume

$657.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-19 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% -$18,376

Sports

0% 19% -$508

Other

0% 14% -$379

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:40 UTC	212	$1.7K	3,639	0	+3,639	Down	+$314	03-11 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:50 UTC	172	$1.6K	3,581	0	+3,581	Down	-$284	03-11 22:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	5	$1.3K	1,259	925	+334	Down	+$270	10-15 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:05 UTC	5	$1.3K	2,042	1,858	+184	Down	+$1,329	04-09 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:30 UTC	176	$1.2K	2,714	0	+2,714	Down	+$101	03-11 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:05 UTC	147	$1.2K	2,689	0	+2,689	Down	-$6	03-11 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:20 UTC	170	$1.2K	2,421	0	+2,421	Up	-$197	03-11 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:55 UTC	161	$1.1K	2,565	0	+2,565	Up	-$286	03-11 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$1.1K	735	718	+17	Up	+$149	04-24 21:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:35 UTC	6	$1.1K	718	695	+23	Up	+$305	04-16 18:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:40 UTC	6	$1.0K	765	734	+31	Up	+$389	04-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:25 UTC	146	$1.0K	2,081	0	+2,081	Up	-$71	03-11 23:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$993	671	651	+20	Down	+$193	04-27 21:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$968	587	574	+14	Up	+$182	04-27 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:35 UTC	124	$942	2,235	0	+2,235	Down	+$10	03-11 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:25 UTC	178	$929	1,966	0	+1,966	Down	+$107	03-11 22:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:30 UTC	5	$883	866	825	+41	Up	+$324	04-16 21:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:45 UTC	5	$880	566	554	+12	Up	+$92	04-24 17:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$853	639	639	+0	Down	+$413	10-09 16:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:50 UTC	4	$845	570	550	+19	Up	+$264	04-16 21:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:05 UTC	3	$833	591	570	+21	Up	+$254	04-16 21:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 22:05 UTC	4	$822	703	532	+171	Down	+$22	04-16 22:08
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$798	669	669	+0	Up	+$198	10-15 20:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:15 UTC	5	$773	521	505	+16	Up	+$188	04-16 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC	112	$767	1,638	0	+1,638	Down	-$59	03-11 23:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$762	600	433	+167	Up	-$38	10-17 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	9	$761	616	616	+0	Down	+$81	10-18 20:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 20:45 UTC	4	$760	649	624	+25	Up	+$185	04-16 20:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$756	583	433	+150	Up	+$106	04-27 20:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:30 UTC	4	$745	467	455	+12	Up	+$157	04-16 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 21:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x89564f…
10-18 21:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe0977e…
10-18 21:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xe5b2c6…
10-18 21:54:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x44e6f6…
10-18 21:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x7b84e6…
10-18 21:23:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xb0dcf8…
10-18 21:22:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe0321b…
10-18 21:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x6e8675…
10-18 21:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x943383…
10-18 20:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	379	53¢	$200	0xb504e4…
10-18 20:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x47dde4…
10-18 20:55:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x8569ad…
10-18 20:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x716ec5…
10-18 20:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	188	79¢	$149	0xf65a1f…
10-18 20:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x2ce076…
10-18 20:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc18cf0…
10-18 20:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0xb5f3ff…
10-18 20:42:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	88	85¢	$75	0x682fcd…
10-18 20:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x961dbc…
10-18 20:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	322	58¢	$185	0x2b62b0…
10-18 20:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x3f656f…
10-18 20:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xbff60f…
10-18 20:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	443	64¢	$284	0x030ec1…
10-18 20:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	411	24¢	$100	0xada6f0…
10-18 20:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x86c2eb…
10-18 20:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x890375…
10-18 20:29:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc5fc58…
10-18 20:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xdc9c4d…
10-18 20:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xf13332…
10-18 20:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x089527…
10-18 20:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	257	51¢	$130	0x527756…
10-18 20:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x82a073…
10-18 20:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xca7bb0…
10-18 20:16:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	319	62¢	$199	0xb6d23f…
10-18 20:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xd67e14…
10-18 20:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x610a62…
10-18 20:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	257	51¢	$130	0xaa5a7b…
10-18 20:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x949e2c…
10-18 20:12:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	128	85¢	$108	0xb88bdf…
10-18 20:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x542765…
10-18 20:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x1275bd…
10-18 20:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	458	62¢	$284	0x227c9a…
10-18 20:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xae61d9…
10-18 20:09:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x60f8ef…
10-18 20:08:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xd5d5aa…
10-18 20:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x5699d9…
10-18 20:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe95c0f…
10-18 20:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xaa568b…
10-18 20:04:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	423	89¢	$374	0x5758eb…
10-18 20:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x05ecc1…
10-18 19:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x2ddcd2…
10-18 19:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa3a31c…
10-18 19:52:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	67	76¢	$51	0x2baf16…
10-18 19:50:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xe36fdc…
10-18 19:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	216	57¢	$123	0xb67c9c…
10-18 19:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xb641c9…
10-18 19:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x0791de…
10-18 19:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x33857b…
10-18 19:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x3fa69d…
10-18 19:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	179	72¢	$129	0x18fdfe…
10-18 19:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe8709d…
10-18 19:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	54	55¢	$30	0x70b928…
10-18 19:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	129	46¢	$60	0x63ce7d…
10-18 19:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x069862…
10-18 19:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x8ac500…
10-18 19:42:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x24c640…
10-18 19:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x3054b1…
10-18 19:40:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	216	69¢	$149	0xc6a963…
10-18 19:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x464f55…
10-18 19:38:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa9fd9b…
10-18 19:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x52165f…
10-18 19:36:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	65	72¢	$46	0xff581f…
10-18 19:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x7e8d46…
10-18 19:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x2af8e7…
10-18 19:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5aad8d…
10-18 19:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x357d0f…
10-18 19:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	197	80¢	$159	0xcc80a8…
10-18 19:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0xf35138…
10-18 19:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x230c81…
10-18 19:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0xcf1829…
10-18 19:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x969645…
10-18 19:20:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x0d1e3c…
10-18 19:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	192	66¢	$127	0x917fb5…
10-18 19:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x6edcb8…
10-18 19:14:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x96f0f6…
10-18 19:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x56511b…
10-18 19:13:09	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9a98d8…
10-18 19:11:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x9c7fd4…
10-18 16:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xfbb0e2…
10-18 16:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0x3f3c2e…
10-18 16:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x73d2ad…
10-18 16:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xc5407a…
10-18 16:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x61e77b…
10-18 16:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x424021…
10-18 16:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3e3328…
10-18 16:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xdf3abe…
10-18 16:20:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x77a276…
10-18 16:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xf4cea8…
10-18 16:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	92	79¢	$73	0xb5da2e…
10-18 16:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x73be30…