Failing-Heron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

271

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-31 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

99% 41% -$39

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seattle on march 22 2026 52 53f	3	$38	43	43	+0	Yes	-$4	03-22 19:45
highest temperature in seattle on march 20 2026 54 55f	10	$25	35	35	+0	No	-$2	03-20 19:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	7	$24	19	19	+0	No	+$1	04-28 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 21:15 UTC	3	$21	18	17	+0	Down	+$1	03-21 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$11	04-27 16:34
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	4	$19	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-23 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?	2	$17	13	13	+0	Yes	+$9	04-27 16:35
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 4c	4	$15	14	14	+0	No	+$4	03-21 20:55
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 15c	2	$14	13	13	+0	Yes	+$5	03-23 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	3	$14	18	0	+18	Yes	-$14	06-16 15:28
highest temperature in dallas on march 21 2026 92 93f	6	$14	13	13	+0	No	-$1	03-21 20:58
highest temperature in atlanta on march 21 2026 82 83f	3	$13	23	23	+0	Yes	-$3	03-21 19:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 10 2026 7c	7	$13	16	15	+1	Yes	+$3	04-10 10:46
highest temperature in miami on march 23 2026 82 83f	3	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$2	03-23 18:42
highest temperature in tokyo on march 25 2026 13c	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	03-25 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	2	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-03 08:29
highest temperature in los angeles on april 23 2026 72forhigher	2	$11	9	9	+0	No	+$3	04-23 20:35
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 17c	2	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$1	03-23 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	3	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?	2	$11	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	3	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$3	07-01 05:57
highest temperature in paris on march 22 2026 16c	3	$11	37	37	+0	No	+$1	03-22 14:22
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 10 2026 21c	2	$10	10	9	+0	Yes	+$7	04-10 16:35
highest temperature in seattle on march 21 2026 50 51f	5	$10	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	03-21 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 70°F or higher on May 1?	3	$10	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-01 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-24 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 4?	2	$10	9	9	+0	No	$0	05-04 03:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-30 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 2?	2	$10	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	05-02 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	05-03 04:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 01:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on August 1?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xff78fe…
07-31 01:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xccb831…
07-31 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa74f8d…
07-30 12:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xcdb52d…
07-30 07:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x11759b…
07-27 12:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?	No	SELL	7	38¢	$2	0x861fa1…
07-27 11:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x82e210…
07-16 02:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x468683…
07-16 02:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7b45d9…
07-14 01:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xbeb2d5…
07-13 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xdd916d…
07-13 11:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xcb9799…
07-13 09:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x31910f…
07-10 06:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xcddd17…
07-10 03:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x893309…
07-10 02:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x256dd0…
07-10 00:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xda0dba…
07-09 02:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xd1aac9…
07-09 02:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc9e0b6…
07-09 02:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3e1435…
07-09 01:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xaf919a…
07-08 01:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xc43645…
07-07 12:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 7?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x05229e…
07-07 10:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 7?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x35c854…
07-07 09:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd8c7eb…
07-05 05:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4a4942…
07-05 05:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x66105a…
07-05 03:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5374c8…
07-05 03:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x2c3ef6…
07-05 02:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x2ec933…
07-05 02:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x817381…
07-02 22:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x714f82…
07-02 17:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x33fcfd…
07-02 17:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x491807…
07-02 09:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf6c9e5…
07-02 08:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd44644…
07-01 05:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5e5ac0…
07-01 03:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0xbefbd8…
07-01 03:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x16c201…
07-01 01:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x14d2e5…
07-01 01:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1bd6e6…
07-01 01:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	No	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xe82a03…
07-01 00:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xd27cdf…
06-30 16:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xcac8e1…
06-30 16:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe1040f…
06-30 16:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5e88c8…
06-30 16:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x63084d…
06-28 11:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x17a728…
06-28 09:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1dbb97…
06-28 01:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x49511b…
06-27 23:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xf96940…
06-27 22:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xc03140…
06-27 19:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x25f9d8…
06-26 17:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xe22fbb…
06-26 15:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd85f00…
06-26 04:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x091233…
06-26 03:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x7f7afc…
06-26 03:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x08d57c…
06-26 01:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x07cdff…
06-26 01:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x295d7a…
06-26 01:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8de499…
06-26 01:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x220d06…
06-26 01:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x1ad767…
06-25 22:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5a065c…
06-25 22:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x5c2004…
06-25 22:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x10fb7d…
06-25 08:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x333cc9…
06-25 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa7832c…
06-24 15:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x31c374…
06-24 13:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa852e1…
06-24 11:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5ac0c2…
06-24 11:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3607c4…
06-24 11:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x915cd2…
06-24 11:19:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9331ec…
06-24 09:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 24?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xec3b36…
06-22 08:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	No	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x09403b…
06-22 06:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x363513…
06-22 05:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xb516a8…
06-22 03:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x220eb0…
06-21 20:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2633f4…
06-21 18:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x59ddd5…
06-21 14:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcdffea…
06-20 12:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x31c697…
06-20 12:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcf9e94…
06-20 11:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd96092…
06-20 11:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3da76d…
06-19 10:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$3	0xb3183a…
06-19 10:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd9886f…
06-17 02:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2f08e4…
06-16 15:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x991544…
06-16 10:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x9c575f…
06-16 10:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9efc91…
06-12 18:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0862b3…
06-12 18:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x412ced…
06-05 00:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x489f11…
06-03 10:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xeee545…
06-03 07:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x75b8b7…
06-03 07:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 3?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x9535db…
06-03 05:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xcd838b…
06-03 05:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x7c9741…