Realized P&L
-$377
Unrealized P&L
-$58
Hit rate
12.9%
Resolved
127
Trades
4,653
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$170
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 11-11 17:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 21% -$406
Politics
9% 40% +$39
Other
3% 100% +$5
Tech
1% 0% -$15
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4542 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? Yes +181 $43 20¢ $37 -$7 11-11 06:43
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +50 $31 52¢ $26 -$5 11-11 00:52
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? No +46 $27 48¢ $22 -$5 11-11 10:58
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +40 $20 52¢ $21 +$1 11-11 06:30
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +53 $29 38¢ $20 -$9 11-11 14:09
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $21 24¢ $12 -$9 11-11 06:30
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +20 $10 52¢ $10 +$0 11-11 03:12
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? No +20 $11 50¢ $10 -$1 11-11 06:25
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +15 $8 52¢ $8 $0 11-11 10:37
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$2 11-11 02:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 13? Yes +20 $16 3¢ $1 -$15 11-11 14:29
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? No +1 $7 52¢ $1 -$6 11-11 07:03