Fickle-Atrium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

3,824

Trades

20,330

lifetime

Volume

$916.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

$83

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 302 days

Categories

Other

83% 55% -$12,557

Crypto

8% 57% -$2,153

Sports

8% 56% -$1,386

Politics

1% 52% -$501

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+114	$79	73¢	$83	+$4	10-28 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.8K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$20	09-07 17:38
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	28	$1.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$64	01-06 16:28
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	5	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	Spain	+$172	07-14 20:25
bkfibaqeu cze est 2026 07 06	27	$1.6K	1,307	1,307	+0	Czechia	+$211	07-06 17:38
euroleague bologna zvezda 2026 01 23	12	$1.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	KK Crvena Zvezda	+$115	01-23 20:56
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$1.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	No	+$100	07-07 18:13
will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	23	$1.4K	1,407	1,407	+0	No	-$394	01-25 12:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	5	$1.4K	1,240	1,240	+0	open	—	10-10 09:14
bitcoin above 68k on february 11	23	$1.3K	911	911	-0	No	-$31	02-11 14:16
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	11	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$3	01-14 11:30
lol dkc t1a 2026 06 21	12	$1.2K	908	908	+0	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$73	06-21 12:06
nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25 total 214pt5	8	$1.2K	961	961	+0	Over	+$107	03-26 05:05
IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5	10	$1.2K	870	870	+0	Under	+$261	08-23 14:39
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	27	$1.2K	1,075	1,075	+0	No	+$72	09-24 19:17
bun mai hei 2026 01 13 total 4pt5	2	$1.2K	649	649	+0	Under	+$13	01-13 19:42
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	16	$1.1K	1,152	1,152	+0	Yes	-$148	09-09 18:51
tur koc fen 2026 02 02 fen	13	$1.1K	750	750	+0	Yes	+$187	02-02 19:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	14	$1.1K	920	920	+0	open	—	10-03 09:50
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5	26	$1.1K	1,000	983	+17	Over	+$37	05-31 21:37
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$1.1K	999	999	+0	Yes	-$13	05-30 17:26
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Virtus Bologna	14	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Virtus Bologna	+$310	10-08 20:09
euroleague fenerbah valencia 2026 01 16	26	$1.1K	492	800	-308	Fenerbahce	+$22	01-16 21:09
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	11	$1.0K	1,070	780	+290	Egypt	+$157	07-03 20:35
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5	12	$1.0K	625	625	+0	Under	+$198	05-17 20:49
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	33	$1.0K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$139	08-02 00:57
uel thu vik 2026 08 06 total 3pt5	5	$1.0K	665	665	+0	Under	+$324	08-06 20:01
bra2 nov acg 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	16	$997	930	930	+0	Over	+$43	07-04 20:31
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	15	$997	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$49	06-20 18:35
wnba phx tor 2026 06 27 total 174pt5	16	$992	962	962	+0	Under	-$88	06-27 19:31
will ethereum reach 2050 on march 29	2	$992	670	670	+0	No	+$121	03-29 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:59:26	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56d547…
10-28 11:59:25	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	175	53¢	$93	0x8249b7…
10-28 11:56:56	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x82dc1e…
10-28 11:54:46	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x572b24…
10-28 11:54:46	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x4ce91b…
10-28 11:54:44	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xe9f1a0…
10-28 11:54:41	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x04aefb…
10-28 11:54:38	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xffd9cb…
10-28 11:54:31	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	24	39¢	$10	0xae797a…
10-28 11:54:22	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1e57c8…
10-28 11:54:20	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x32e361…
10-28 11:53:49	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xbe54a5…
10-28 11:53:47	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7c4a14…
10-28 11:53:46	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x09ecda…
10-28 11:53:44	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xaa7a25…
10-28 11:52:07	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x1b9c53…
10-28 11:51:28	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	76	50¢	$38	0x057249…
10-28 11:51:26	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0x8fbafa…
10-28 11:43:25	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	133	59¢	$79	0xa9f1da…
10-28 11:30:01	Kashima Antlers vs. FC Pohang Steelers: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	210	49¢	$103	0x1e612f…
10-28 11:28:23	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	149	61¢	$91	0x89ea02…
10-28 11:27:58	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0x573cf7…
10-28 11:24:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x185e7f…
10-28 11:23:43	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	64	36¢	$23	0xf993c2…
10-28 11:23:31	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x9905dd…
10-28 11:23:31	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x517b2f…
10-28 11:23:29	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd4682a…
10-28 11:23:28	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0xa81c61…
10-28 11:23:26	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc82d87…
10-28 11:23:23	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	SELL	120	36¢	$43	0x4bd750…
10-28 10:42:49	Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xf82d07…
10-28 10:39:02	Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xd11f65…
10-28 10:39:02	Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x3236d9…
10-28 10:39:02	Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	163	51¢	$83	0x098575…
10-28 10:27:59	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	179	60¢	$107	0x1e93bb…
10-28 10:27:58	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x019fc6…
10-28 10:27:56	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2e29e1…
10-28 10:26:04	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb24b90…
10-28 10:26:04	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9225d9…
10-28 10:26:02	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x95645c…
10-28 10:26:01	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Daegu Pegasus	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x9e2b88…
10-28 10:23:53	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy: O/U 174.5	Under	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xbdb09b…
10-28 10:15:59	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	130	30¢	$39	0x9ae151…
10-28 10:15:49	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x0e2827…
10-28 09:46:07	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb6e2e1…
10-28 09:45:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x4ff4ec…
10-28 09:44:34	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xe48947…
10-28 09:33:05	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	230	44¢	$101	0x74abe6…
10-28 09:31:43	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb73979…
10-28 09:28:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	54	49¢	$27	0x2b6ee1…
10-28 09:27:44	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x15f6f3…
10-28 07:43:59	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x7b6f50…
10-28 05:21:32	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xa2e47d…
10-28 05:17:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xaf9290…
10-28 05:11:34	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x57f3ab…
10-28 05:11:34	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	73	59¢	$43	0x17e386…
10-28 02:49:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x53e5df…
10-28 02:49:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x39a827…
10-28 02:06:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xc63f79…
10-27 23:11:08	Will Ceará SC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	210	60¢	$126	0x9aaca8…
10-27 21:33:00	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	SELL	189	100¢	$189	0x9bebb9…
10-27 21:32:42	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x2ce18c…
10-27 21:23:23	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x3fb1d2…
10-27 21:23:21	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe9120a…
10-27 21:23:21	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x22e657…
10-27 21:23:20	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfad935…
10-27 21:23:20	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x26ce5c…
10-27 21:23:18	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	52	57¢	$29	0x20269a…
10-27 21:23:17	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	107	57¢	$61	0x7c6254…
10-27 21:18:15	CB Murcia vs. Peristeri	Peristeri	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0x3c3ad6…
10-27 21:18:14	CB Murcia vs. Peristeri	Peristeri	SELL	61	58¢	$35	0xd6dc52…
10-27 21:15:53	CB Murcia vs. Peristeri	Peristeri	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x0e47ee…
10-27 21:11:23	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	73	76¢	$55	0x60f359…
10-27 21:11:03	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x626bbe…
10-27 21:11:02	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xddb65b…
10-27 21:10:42	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x458ac2…
10-27 21:10:27	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0xef5a99…
10-27 21:09:51	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	76	72¢	$55	0xf34c49…
10-27 21:09:50	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xaf663e…
10-27 21:09:50	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	43	72¢	$31	0x091787…
10-27 21:06:42	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x5b1e62…
10-27 21:06:11	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb07b82…
10-27 21:06:11	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x95a5c2…
10-27 21:06:08	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0xd92424…
10-27 21:06:08	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x49c535…
10-27 21:01:32	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	108	62¢	$67	0xb9b25d…
10-27 20:52:12	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x9d7f66…
10-27 20:52:03	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xb2a5bb…
10-27 20:52:03	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	BUY	76	63¢	$48	0x071e56…
10-27 20:28:33	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	FC Bayern Munchen	SELL	300	27¢	$81	0xa193ae…
10-27 19:42:17	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x3edd99…
10-27 19:41:14	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	SELL	85	40¢	$34	0xfbf45b…
10-27 19:40:51	Aquila Basket Trento vs. Buducnost Podgorica	Aquila Basket Trento	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0x28dbe0…
10-27 19:40:41	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0xd7abdd…
10-27 19:39:41	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc48ebc…
10-27 19:36:56	Oxford United FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	312	42¢	$131	0x16dc20…
10-27 19:33:14	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0x43acb0…
10-27 19:33:11	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf8f3d6…
10-27 19:33:11	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x657bb4…
10-27 19:33:08	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	FC Bayern Munchen	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f7f4e…