Shallow-Estimate-Vacation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 07-19 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

79% 56% -$47

Sports

14% 71% +$25

Politics

4% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	18	$92	132	132	+0	Knicks	+$6	06-04 02:53
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	9	$90	87	87	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$10	06-01 23:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	6	$73	52	52	+0	Yes	-$14	06-22 00:29
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$55	79	79	+0	No	-$43	06-15 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 17:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	2	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 13:36
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$47	24	24	+0	Nothing	+$1	06-01 19:56
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	6	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 03:32
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	4	$38	44	29	+14	Joao Fonseca	+$6	05-29 18:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	4	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 21:17
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	1	$32	49	0	+49	No	+$18	06-14 23:21
Nothing Ever Happens: March	3	$31	16	16	+0	Nothing	+$0	05-29 18:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 00:49
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	3	$29	63	63	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$3	06-06 13:56
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	3	$25	55	42	+14	Alexander Zverev	+$9	06-07 16:19
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-05 18:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 23:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-17 14:45
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	6	$17	21	12	+9	Knicks	-$3	06-06 03:07
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$14	32	0	+32	Knicks	+$18	06-09 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	06-16 11:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	1	$13	16	0	+16	Yes	+$3	06-19 14:25
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	1	$12	13	0	+13	Under	+$0	06-19 01:54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	1	$11	27	0	+27	No	-$11	07-19 02:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	06-18 11:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	06-17 14:46
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	07-18 21:40
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	1	$10	20	0	+20	cancelled	+$0	06-05 18:24
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-24 21:27
lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2	3	$9	27	0	+27	paiN Gaming	-$9	06-07 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:53:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x5b3165…
07-19 02:31:48	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xd43b90…
07-18 21:40:22	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xa320ec…
07-11 21:48:17	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x138a85…
06-25 03:51:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 25?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xfc81e2…
06-25 03:50:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8da389…
06-25 03:47:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4b8abb…
06-24 20:22:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8d0f79…
06-24 20:21:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd93a4…
06-24 19:36:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x391730…
06-23 23:40:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2f889f…
06-23 23:40:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe207e2…
06-23 23:34:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2477ed…
06-23 21:06:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5b62ee…
06-23 21:04:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0fc2bc…
06-23 04:07:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x75aa0a…
06-23 04:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb1b1c4…
06-22 21:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x445957…
06-22 21:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x3a410c…
06-22 14:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0x6397de…
06-22 13:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xd2caef…
06-22 04:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xb219b8…
06-22 00:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x564c4d…
06-22 00:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xcf3c96…
06-22 00:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x3d20ec…
06-22 00:29:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe89dd8…
06-21 22:18:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc53fdf…
06-21 22:17:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27cab0…
06-21 22:16:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa3641e…
06-21 21:17:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb04465…
06-21 21:16:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x34c6a2…
06-21 21:13:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x2b373b…
06-21 20:59:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0xcbf36b…
06-21 18:01:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21?	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x8b0a20…
06-21 17:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd17446…
06-21 14:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8ab398…
06-21 13:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8cb579…
06-21 04:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x18a0e0…
06-21 03:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa1c635…
06-21 03:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xea6f91…
06-21 01:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e4de9…
06-21 01:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3345de…
06-21 01:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x49cdf5…
06-20 21:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x366dd7…
06-20 21:17:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x57483f…
06-20 14:40:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8ed50c…
06-20 14:40:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x835353…
06-20 14:28:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x0fd789…
06-20 13:57:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x2edc95…
06-20 13:47:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x9b2281…
06-19 14:25:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x6e4c4a…
06-19 01:54:07	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xfb1fc0…
06-18 11:46:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x764d98…
06-17 14:46:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x885508…
06-17 14:45:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x98a1c7…
06-16 11:32:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xec0872…
06-16 11:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x055a2e…
06-15 22:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xac0d85…
06-15 20:53:21	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xf2f3d1…
06-15 10:30:22	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0x429130…
06-14 23:21:18	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$32	0xc60762…
06-14 23:05:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x1d0d45…
06-14 22:57:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0f2965…
06-09 03:39:58	itf wang panshin 2026 06 09	JiaYi Wang	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x60a3d6…
06-09 03:34:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xadb838…
06-08 20:42:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x95bb07…
06-08 17:32:58	wta golubic britton 2026 06 08	Daniella Britton	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x9b354d…
06-08 17:02:24	atp humbert ymer 2026 06 08	Elias Ymer	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xc6e1b6…
06-08 15:38:58	atp doubles griezan cashtra 2026 06 08	Griekspoor/Zandschulp	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf6274a…
06-08 14:05:12	atp doubles bergrin gallpee 2026 06 08	Bergs/Rinderknech	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x59bb15…
06-08 13:55:45	atp doubles bergrin gallpee 2026 06 08	Bergs/Rinderknech	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x872ac4…
06-08 13:45:21	atp humbert ymer 2026 06 08	Elias Ymer	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x182da2…
06-08 13:44:36	wta golubic britton 2026 06 08	Daniella Britton	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcbc73d…
06-08 00:11:09	atp humbert ymer 2026 06 08	Elias Ymer	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x54ca08…
06-08 00:10:54	wta golubic britton 2026 06 08	Daniella Britton	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf1179b…
06-08 00:10:10	wta alexand udvardy 2026 06 08	Panna Udvardy	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x143635…
06-08 00:09:30	atp doubles jecapav logrric 2026 06 08	Logrippo/Ricci	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2e91da…
06-08 00:04:01	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07	paiN Gaming	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0ce6e1…
06-08 00:01:46	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07	paiN Gaming	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xfb2b04…
06-07 23:52:12	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07	paiN Gaming	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x0a616c…
06-07 23:26:46	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07	paiN Gaming	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc8cf11…
06-07 23:03:40	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2	Fluxo W7M	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x7141ab…
06-07 22:55:04	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2	Fluxo W7M	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xe4f260…
06-07 22:55:04	lol fxw7 png1 2026 06 07 game2	Fluxo W7M	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x5583be…
06-07 16:19:52	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Alexander Zverev	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xca6f3b…
06-07 15:10:24	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0x49a98d…
06-07 13:44:49	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x688ae5…
06-06 13:56:24	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	63	25¢	$16	0xb4e665…
06-06 11:56:09	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x3c901c…
06-06 03:07:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x6b229e…
06-06 03:04:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xd5682d…
06-06 03:02:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xc26b34…
06-06 02:11:52	mlb cle tex 2026 06 05	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe55d0f…
06-06 02:07:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x6c9e94…
06-06 02:07:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x66ef22…
06-05 22:55:07	mlb cle tex 2026 06 05	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xc3091d…
06-05 19:39:43	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xfeae70…
06-05 18:34:30	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xff6a7e…
06-05 18:24:31	atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x795941…
06-05 18:14:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf3375d…