Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.02K

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

212

Trades

1,170

lifetime

Volume

$371.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

$3.86K

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-20

last 10-20 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Sports

97% 48% +$13,585

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% 40% +$2,242

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+163,000	$2,347	1¢	$1.7K	-$635	10-15 07:57
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+66,205	$1,942	2¢	$1.2K	-$784	09-23 04:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+1,000	$480	70¢	$705	+$225	08-21 16:11
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$161	15¢	$152	-$10	08-30 15:08
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+10,000	$950	1¢	$130	-$820	10-20 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb chc pit 2026 07 25	47	$16.3K	27,123	7,000	+20,123	Chicago Cubs	+$700	07-25 18:52
mlb ari wsh 2026 07 25	83	$14.8K	21,101	11,754	+9,347	Washington Nationals	+$568	07-25 19:59
mlb min cle 2026 07 23	2	$9.5K	19,485	0	+19,485	Minnesota Twins	+$1,214	07-23 17:12
mlb wsh atl 2026 08 02	4	$8.5K	11,839	4,154	+7,685	Atlanta Braves	+$1,843	08-02 17:26
mlb nyy phi 2026 07 24	4	$7.8K	13,357	4,700	+8,657	New York Yankees	+$4,851	07-24 20:41
mlb wsh atl 2026 07 31	13	$5.6K	10,690	0	+10,690	Atlanta Braves	+$5,074	07-31 14:01
mlb cle tb 2026 07 26	4	$5.5K	8,294	2,156	+6,137	Tampa Bay Rays	+$2,534	07-26 16:17
mlb det chc 2026 07 21	1	$5.4K	10,291	0	+10,291	Chicago Cubs	+$4,940	07-21 10:25
mlb nyy phi 2026 07 25	3	$5.1K	7,100	3,550	+3,550	New York Yankees	-$1,860	07-25 18:03
mlb laa sf 2026 07 26	5	$4.7K	4,500	4,500	+0	Los Angeles Angels	-$134	07-26 06:08
mlb hou cws 2026 07 25	2	$4.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	Houston Astros	+$5,400	07-25 22:31
mlb cws tor 2026 07 18	4	$4.6K	10,001	0	+10,001	Toronto Blue Jays	+$3,421	07-18 21:24
mlb nyy cws 2026 07 30	5	$4.6K	9,500	0	+9,500	Chicago White Sox	-$4,560	07-30 18:07
mlb bos nyy 2026 09 30	3	$4.3K	8,628	0	+8,628	New York Yankees	-$884	09-30 08:13
mlb mia nym 2026 07 31	21	$4.2K	7,700	0	+7,700	Miami Marlins	-$4,158	07-31 18:08
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	12	$4.1K	6,397	0	+6,397	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2,268	10-04 00:23
mlb kc col 2026 08 01	7	$3.5K	7,300	0	+7,300	Colorado Rockies	-$3,504	08-01 14:03
mlb bal tex 2026 08 07	45	$3.5K	8,333	0	+8,333	Texas Rangers	-$3,500	08-08 00:14
mlb ari wsh 2026 07 25 spread home 1pt5	2	$3.2K	3,095	2,259	+836	Washington Nationals	-$466	07-25 18:03
mlb oak ari 2026 07 22	1	$3.2K	5,790	0	+5,790	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$2,605	07-22 17:00
mlb lad phi 2026 07 20	3	$3.1K	5,209	1,800	+3,409	Philadelphia Phillies	-$1,562	07-20 14:10
mlb kc col 2026 08 02	1	$3.0K	6,174	0	+6,174	Colorado Rockies	-$3,025	08-02 07:50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers	3	$3.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Toronto Blue Jays	-$3,025	09-20 17:31
Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	3	$3.0K	4,754	980	+3,774	Over	-$1,990	10-18 06:29
Bears vs. Falcons	1	$3.0K	6,522	0	+6,522	Bears	-$3,000	10-18 17:04
mlb wsh atl 2026 07 30	9	$2.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Atlanta Braves	+$2,150	07-30 14:13
mlb tex hou 2026 07 31	1	$2.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Houston Astros	+$2,350	07-31 18:20
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies	6	$2.6K	6,500	0	+6,500	Philadelphia Phillies	-$2,620	09-07 14:34
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	3	$2.6K	4,065	0	+4,065	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1,458	09-18 09:44
mlb bal det 2026 07 27	7	$2.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Baltimore Orioles	-$2,600	07-27 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 17:26:17	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,942	10¢	$374	0x147de3…
10-20 16:11:42	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	491	10¢	$47	0x9fdf01…
10-20 12:05:05	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,547	9¢	$527	0x07222a…
10-20 09:38:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x0db11d…
10-19 16:47:48	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1,979	42¢	$831	0xd2e304…
10-19 16:32:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0475d4…
10-19 16:32:21	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x01dd59…
10-18 17:09:14	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	1,542	53¢	$817	0x4d3f2c…
10-18 17:05:57	Chargers vs. Chiefs	Chargers	BUY	3,636	22¢	$800	0xa7a965…
10-18 17:05:24	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)	Chargers	BUY	2,830	53¢	$1,500	0x511646…
10-18 17:04:41	Spread: Bears (-1.5)	Falcons	BUY	1,961	51¢	$1,000	0xb3d958…
10-18 17:04:30	Bears vs. Falcons	Falcons	BUY	6,522	46¢	$3,000	0x2d8999…
10-18 06:29:50	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	3,774	53¢	$2,000	0x20fb10…
10-18 06:27:50	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	SELL	980	52¢	$510	0xebc8df…
10-18 00:08:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	796	50¢	$398	0x3c93db…
10-17 23:31:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	195	50¢	$98	0x72edf0…
10-17 23:15:11	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x585aa5…
10-17 23:07:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	810	51¢	$413	0xaf8b58…
10-17 23:05:09	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xcf8ed3…
10-17 23:01:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcb1948…
10-17 16:10:29	Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	1,816	54¢	$980	0x9aebf6…
10-17 16:08:48	Texans vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xe5c409…
10-17 15:40:00	mlb tb cle 2026 10 17 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x06e93d…
10-17 09:09:29	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2,700	45¢	$1,223	0xfee65c…
10-17 09:09:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xd40ce8…
10-16 23:28:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2,700	46¢	$1,242	0x8510da…
10-16 13:39:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x30a82b…
10-16 13:33:40	Spread: Buffalo (-6.5)	Buffalo	BUY	3,655	55¢	$2,000	0xa0fd4e…
10-16 13:30:42	Spread: Northwestern (-7.5)	Michigan State	BUY	2,700	55¢	$1,485	0x18d958…
10-15 07:57:49	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,719	1¢	$35	0xf2b48b…
10-15 06:28:43	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1,363	56¢	$764	0xbcbb6f…
10-15 02:54:22	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb66915…
10-14 21:14:57	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,700	38¢	$1,406	0xf7dd01…
10-14 21:14:01	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	463	39¢	$181	0x6ef4e8…
10-14 21:13:42	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x276142…
10-14 21:13:39	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xee2fc5…
10-14 21:13:39	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xdd17c1…
10-14 21:13:39	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,429	39¢	$947	0x11e8f9…
10-14 13:07:44	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x665825…
10-14 11:24:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x830776…
10-14 10:59:52	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4c7b5d…
10-13 23:50:09	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	1,946	44¢	$856	0xf16a92…
10-13 23:50:01	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x718e47…
10-13 23:47:43	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	179	44¢	$79	0x7037b0…
10-13 23:47:01	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa85b42…
10-13 23:40:13	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	97	44¢	$43	0xae2629…
10-13 23:40:00	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	166	44¢	$73	0xc4814d…
10-13 23:37:52	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	607	44¢	$267	0x263880…
10-13 23:36:46	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc05a38…
10-13 23:35:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xaaf648…
10-13 23:32:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	221	44¢	$97	0x159d85…
10-13 15:37:19	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2,300	45¢	$1,035	0x4de325…
10-12 11:49:32	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xab384e…
10-12 11:18:48	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xef42af…
10-11 08:44:12	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf1753c…
10-11 07:11:35	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea324a…
10-11 00:21:12	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$2	0x46450b…
10-11 00:19:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$2	0xa79d2b…
10-11 00:18:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$2	0x0d8975…
10-11 00:17:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$2	0x4cb87c…
10-11 00:16:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x8273fc…
10-11 00:15:10	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x42db7d…
10-11 00:14:12	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	606	1¢	$8	0x0a17f2…
10-10 19:27:27	Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)	Eagles	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x788f9a…
10-10 14:43:06	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Chicago White Sox	BUY	3,000	44¢	$1,320	0x4f8a17…
10-10 13:05:18	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x6b8d91…
10-09 10:40:42	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x843454…
10-09 10:32:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x4b071a…
10-08 19:42:21	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd1a2a2…
10-08 16:24:39	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2f699a…
10-08 12:02:05	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7a4d18…
10-08 11:43:53	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd7eab3…
10-08 05:14:47	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x9d98b5…
10-06 05:52:36	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe666e9…
10-06 02:54:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,998	49¢	$979	0x984629…
10-06 02:37:55	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9d3a70…
10-06 01:07:11	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa30904…
10-05 18:50:23	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$2	0x0ae04b…
10-05 18:49:43	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x393895…
10-05 11:40:46	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,307	1¢	$30	0xa01cf3…
10-05 08:39:07	mlb cws cle 2026 10 05	Chicago White Sox	BUY	2,000	42¢	$840	0xbc1772…
10-04 05:34:43	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcd24c5…
10-04 05:04:23	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	6,537	1¢	$85	0x60bc2b…
10-04 01:25:34	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe82036…
10-04 00:23:07	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	95	64¢	$61	0x9370dc…
10-04 00:21:47	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xfb04c7…
10-04 00:20:11	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	416	64¢	$266	0x2dee58…
10-04 00:19:25	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x9dd545…
10-04 00:09:10	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	67	64¢	$43	0x5a07e5…
10-04 00:01:46	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x01143e…
10-03 23:55:34	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xa53c7c…
10-03 23:52:37	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xf115cd…
10-03 23:47:25	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	502	64¢	$321	0x170865…
10-03 23:45:17	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	968	64¢	$620	0xa4c195…
10-03 13:18:27	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca6180…
10-03 06:35:30	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff2349…
10-02 19:36:21	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0xaeec82…
10-02 19:34:27	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,500	65¢	$2,275	0x0cb57e…
10-02 19:30:44	Spread: Bengals (-2.5)	Bengals	BUY	2,500	53¢	$1,325	0xdc35bc…
10-02 19:24:12	Spread: Cardinals (-2.5)	Cardinals	BUY	2,500	52¢	$1,300	0xb48d99…