Worst-Ceramic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.0%

Resolved

Trades

658

lifetime

Volume

$46.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-23 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

45% 58% $-2

Sports

27% — —

Crypto

15% 100% +$0

Politics

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$5.2K	2,588	2,588	+0	open	—	04-04 23:53
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	15	$3.7K	1,878	1,878	+0	open	—	03-13 07:08
trump out as president by march 31	4	$3.0K	1,492	1,492	+0	open	—	03-26 03:17
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,293	1,293	+0	open	—	03-27 05:05
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	$-1	04-03 05:58
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	No	$-1	03-18 03:54
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	open	—	03-15 00:21
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	757	757	+0	open	—	03-28 03:54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	753	753	+0	open	—	04-07 13:58
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	747	747	+0	open	—	03-25 04:08
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	743	743	+0	open	—	03-28 22:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.5K	761	761	+0	open	—	03-20 05:34
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	open	—	03-29 15:28
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	741	741	+0	open	—	03-26 13:56
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	737	737	+0	open	—	04-02 06:15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	736	736	+0	open	—	03-31 22:01
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$1.5K	734	734	+0	open	—	03-24 19:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.3K	668	668	+0	open	—	03-23 13:56
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$936	213,431	182,929	+30,502	open	—	04-09 00:57
will msft close between 390 and 400 week march 13 2026	1	$566	571	0	+571	open	—	03-13 19:52
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$428	216	216	+0	open	—	04-13 01:58
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$389	195	195	+0	No	$-0	04-14 02:46
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$383	192	192	+0	open	—	04-19 06:51
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$382	192	192	+0	open	—	04-20 02:45
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$381	191	191	+0	No	$-0	04-15 02:43
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$376	189	189	+0	open	—	03-28 00:26
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$357	179	179	+0	No	$-0	04-17 02:41
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	178	178	+0	open	—	04-22 03:19
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	02-20 23:40
will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	2	$190	246	0	+246	open	—	03-28 00:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 04:54:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fd77c…
06-23 04:53:52	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x489204…
06-19 04:57:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x621673…
06-16 04:56:13	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdaab3a…
06-16 04:55:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c9ace…
06-16 04:55:25	nvda close above 195 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd9d0a1…
06-16 04:55:07	googl close above 350 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x033a5c…
06-11 23:20:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x931151…
06-11 23:20:33	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec7fa2…
06-11 23:19:57	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4d816…
06-11 23:19:10	tsla close above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca12d9…
06-05 14:24:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee56a8…
06-05 14:24:21	tsla close above 440 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x48595e…
06-05 14:23:12	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd829f5…
06-05 14:20:25	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55f2d1…
06-04 03:44:04	nvda close above 230 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1181b4…
06-04 03:41:52	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf3355…
06-04 03:41:37	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34d9f1…
05-29 04:14:33	open above 4 on may 29 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf1eba1…
05-29 04:14:00	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $6.50?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba8b55…
05-29 04:13:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc69484…
05-29 04:13:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37f684…
05-28 04:06:47	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8bf93a…
05-28 04:06:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7db552…
05-28 04:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf38fb…
05-28 04:05:32	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda8b35…
05-27 04:53:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x97009a…
05-27 04:52:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55f125…
05-27 04:51:48	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad3183…
05-27 04:51:36	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfe5cb1…
05-26 05:57:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 25 above $120?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd3f1d1…
05-26 05:56:52	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 25 above $130?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f3bc7…
05-26 05:53:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x821d04…
05-26 05:52:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x45f7e0…
05-26 05:51:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x011b44…
05-25 01:36:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1def3…
05-25 01:35:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0889b3…
05-24 05:07:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x316820…
05-24 05:07:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x64b93f…
05-24 05:06:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826d01…
05-24 05:02:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0d5de4…
05-24 05:02:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e2aac…
05-21 12:57:27	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xabd690…
05-21 03:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44f348…
05-18 18:52:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x21d69e…
05-18 18:50:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53d329…
05-18 18:49:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb85522…
05-18 18:49:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x517a48…
05-18 18:49:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa584bf…
05-18 18:48:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b1a82…
05-16 05:31:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb44206…
05-16 05:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x65a0ce…
05-15 02:06:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2aded8…
05-15 02:06:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa96f59…
05-15 02:05:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.50?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x77a23f…
05-15 02:04:59	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $6.00?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a266a…
05-15 02:04:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $3.50?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcea87d…
05-15 02:04:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8fc6c6…
05-15 02:03:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd898c…
05-15 02:03:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3f523…
05-15 02:03:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8de581…
05-15 02:02:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc507c…
05-15 02:01:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9af67e…
05-14 03:14:32	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $375 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe74785…
05-14 03:13:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9eaf37…
05-14 03:13:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5abbb2…
05-14 03:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37e82c…
05-12 23:57:45	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $280 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b93be…
05-12 23:57:28	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f530b…
05-12 23:57:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x966a31…
05-12 23:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0e705f…
05-12 02:44:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x063060…
05-12 02:44:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2c1640…
05-12 02:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf37ca0…
05-12 02:44:01	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5b6350…
05-11 02:04:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf3998b…
05-11 02:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x967c10…
05-11 02:03:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfbdad4…
05-11 02:03:43	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdd9f11…
05-09 16:10:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa23575…
05-09 16:09:40	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3894bd…
05-09 03:33:40	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x969c5c…
05-09 03:33:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x70e797…
05-09 03:32:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc6c8d8…
05-08 03:23:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b938e…
05-08 03:23:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7d115a…
05-08 03:22:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf311cf…
05-07 03:41:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8b7906…
05-07 03:41:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca0ac1…
05-05 02:30:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0cc12b…
05-05 02:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6fe526…
05-04 03:34:36	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca150a…
05-04 03:34:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa27f29…
05-04 03:31:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2929f9…
05-04 03:31:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6c6a4…
05-03 03:42:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6069e4…
05-03 03:42:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x256ae7…
05-02 03:46:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb7fa75…
05-02 03:45:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xabd968…
05-02 03:45:20	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x92b764…