Worst-Ceramic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

620

Trades

722

lifetime

Volume

$70.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 09-09 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Sports

42% 50% -$916

Other

37% 94% -$261

Politics

11% 67% -$1

Crypto

10% 99% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+20	$12	66¢	$13	+$1	05-18 18:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$5.2K	2,588	2,588	+0	No	-$3	04-04 23:53
mlb col mil 2026 07 26	2	$4.5K	2,582	2,582	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$675	07-26 22:12
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	15	$3.7K	1,878	1,878	+0	No	-$2	03-13 07:08
trump out as president by march 31	4	$3.0K	1,492	1,492	+0	No	+$2	03-26 03:17
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.6K	1,293	1,293	+0	No	-$1	03-27 05:05
wnba ind por 2026 07 31	2	$2.4K	1,354	1,354	+0	Indiana Fever	+$335	08-01 04:12
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	No	-$1	04-03 05:58
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$2.2K	3,189	0	+3,189	Seattle Mariners	-$2,169	07-29 01:37
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.7K	873	873	+0	No	-$1	03-18 03:54
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	-$2	03-15 00:21
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	757	757	+0	No	-$1	03-28 03:54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	753	753	+0	No	-$1	04-07 13:58
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	747	747	+0	No	-$1	03-25 04:08
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	743	743	+0	No	-$1	03-28 22:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.5K	761	761	+0	No	-$2	03-20 05:34
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	754	754	+0	No	-$3	03-29 15:28
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	741	741	+0	No	-$1	03-26 13:56
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	737	737	+0	No	+$0	04-02 06:15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	736	736	+0	No	-$1	03-31 22:01
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$1.5K	734	734	+0	No	+$0	03-24 19:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.3K	668	668	+0	No	+$0	03-23 13:56
UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)	1	$1.2K	1,498	0	+1,498	Kurtis Campbell	+$330	09-05 15:19
ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Mateusz Rebecki	+$60	08-01 15:13
mlb bos lad 2026 08 01 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.0K	605	605	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$169	08-02 03:26
ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	1	$972	1,262	0	+1,262	Michael Oliveira	+$290	08-01 15:29
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$936	213,431	182,929	+30,502	No	-$565	04-09 00:57
mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	1	$858	1,300	0	+1,300	Philadelphia Phillies	+$442	07-26 22:24
wnba tor gsv 2026 08 02	1	$780	896	0	+896	Golden State Valkyries	+$116	08-02 14:31
mlb bos oak 2026 07 30	1	$639	999	0	+999	Boston Red Sox	+$360	07-31 01:21
mlb oak bos 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	1	$615	769	0	+769	Athletics	-$615	08-08 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 18:56:12	Arizona State vs. Texas A&M	Texas A&M	BUY	456	85¢	$388	0x80e19e…
09-09 18:52:18	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	284	78¢	$222	0xf0b843…
09-09 18:48:42	Browns vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	320	79¢	$253	0xf57ae5…
09-09 18:45:49	Cardinals vs. Chargers	Chargers	BUY	366	81¢	$296	0x55adc6…
09-05 15:19:21	UFC Fight Night: Trevor Peek vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Prelims)	Kurtis Campbell	BUY	1,498	78¢	$1,168	0x07e884…
08-08 18:39:24	mlb oak bos 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	769	80¢	$615	0xca885a…
08-03 21:12:56	mlb wsh phi 2026 08 03 spread home 2pt5	Washington Nationals	BUY	532	69¢	$368	0x319b62…
08-02 14:31:42	wnba tor gsv 2026 08 02	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	896	87¢	$780	0x3324ef…
08-02 03:26:59	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	605	100¢	$604	0xf2cc02…
08-01 21:53:21	mlb bos lad 2026 08 01 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	605	72¢	$436	0x9b15e5…
08-01 15:29:36	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	1,262	77¢	$972	0x32e766…
08-01 15:13:14	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	SELL	600	99¢	$594	0x709fa9…
08-01 15:04:02	ufc kyl2 mat13 2026 08 01	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	600	89¢	$534	0xeedff2…
08-01 14:35:44	ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01	Jovan Leka	SELL	337	100¢	$337	0x6a3a95…
08-01 14:24:35	ufc ale19 jov 2026 08 01	Jovan Leka	BUY	337	75¢	$253	0xb106e3…
08-01 06:37:56	atp norrie shapova 2026 08 01	Cameron Norrie	BUY	73	65¢	$47	0xeb1503…
08-01 06:37:26	atp norrie shapova 2026 08 01	Cameron Norrie	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0xb4df1d…
08-01 06:37:26	atp norrie shapova 2026 08 01	Cameron Norrie	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x6721f9…
08-01 06:37:11	atp norrie shapova 2026 08 01	Cameron Norrie	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5529ea…
08-01 06:36:57	atp norrie shapova 2026 08 01	Cameron Norrie	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa9e50f…
08-01 06:28:47	npb nip chi 2026 08 01	Nippon Ham Fighters	BUY	248	78¢	$194	0x0f4d6a…
08-01 04:12:26	wnba ind por 2026 07 31	Indiana Fever	SELL	1,354	100¢	$1,353	0xe9f141…
07-31 05:44:02	wnba ind por 2026 07 31	Indiana Fever	BUY	1,354	75¢	$1,018	0x3b5893…
07-31 01:21:06	mlb bos oak 2026 07 30	Boston Red Sox	BUY	999	64¢	$639	0xc4b87a…
07-29 01:37:42	Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3,189	68¢	$2,169	0xe886ae…
07-26 22:24:49	mlb nyy phi 2026 07 26	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	1,300	66¢	$858	0x5df219…
07-26 22:12:10	mlb col mil 2026 07 26	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	2,582	100¢	$2,579	0x364591…
07-26 03:05:39	mlb col mil 2026 07 26	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,582	74¢	$1,905	0xac599c…
07-26 01:59:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8a042…
07-15 04:38:52	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6e27fc…
07-15 04:38:13	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53dfb1…
07-11 15:29:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 11	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf376a2…
07-11 15:29:13	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 11	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72f7cc…
07-11 15:28:58	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 11	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef950f…
06-23 04:54:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fd77c…
06-23 04:53:52	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x489204…
06-19 04:57:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x621673…
06-16 04:56:13	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdaab3a…
06-16 04:55:40	ethereum above 1600 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c9ace…
06-16 04:55:25	nvda close above 195 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd9d0a1…
06-16 04:55:07	googl close above 350 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x033a5c…
06-11 23:20:45	ethereum above 1900 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x931151…
06-11 23:20:33	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xec7fa2…
06-11 23:19:57	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4d816…
06-11 23:19:10	tsla close above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca12d9…
06-05 14:24:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee56a8…
06-05 14:24:21	tsla close above 440 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x48595e…
06-05 14:23:12	spy closes above 725 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd829f5…
06-05 14:20:25	ethereum above 1500 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x55f2d1…
06-04 03:44:04	nvda close above 230 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1181b4…
06-04 03:41:52	ethereum above 1600 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdf3355…
06-04 03:41:37	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34d9f1…
06-01 05:18:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0520f4…
06-01 05:17:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on June 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed6e94…
06-01 05:17:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x529017…
05-29 04:14:33	open above 4 on may 29 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf1eba1…
05-29 04:14:00	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 25 above $6.50?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba8b55…
05-29 04:13:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc69484…
05-29 04:13:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x37f684…
05-28 04:06:47	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8bf93a…
05-28 04:06:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7db552…
05-28 04:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf38fb…
05-28 04:05:32	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda8b35…
05-27 04:53:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x97009a…
05-27 04:52:26	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x55f125…
05-27 04:51:48	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad3183…
05-27 04:51:36	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 27?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xfe5cb1…
05-26 05:57:13	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 25 above $120?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xd3f1d1…
05-26 05:56:52	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 25 above $130?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f3bc7…
05-26 05:53:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x821d04…
05-26 05:52:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x45f7e0…
05-26 05:51:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x011b44…
05-25 01:36:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1def3…
05-25 01:35:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0889b3…
05-24 05:07:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x316820…
05-24 05:07:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x64b93f…
05-24 05:06:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826d01…
05-24 05:02:39	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0d5de4…
05-24 05:02:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e2aac…
05-21 12:57:27	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xabd690…
05-21 03:43:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44f348…
05-18 18:52:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x21d69e…
05-18 18:51:50	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x53d847…
05-18 18:50:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53d329…
05-18 18:49:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb85522…
05-18 18:49:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x517a48…
05-18 18:49:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa584bf…
05-18 18:48:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b1a82…
05-16 05:31:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb44206…
05-16 05:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x65a0ce…
05-15 02:06:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2aded8…
05-15 02:06:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $296 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa96f59…
05-15 02:05:10	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $5.50?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x77a23f…
05-15 02:04:59	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $6.00?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a266a…
05-15 02:04:40	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above $3.50?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcea87d…
05-15 02:04:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8fc6c6…
05-15 02:03:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd898c…
05-15 02:03:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3f523…
05-15 02:03:07	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8de581…
05-15 02:02:57	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfc507c…