Tempting-Chef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-12 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

48% 83% -$136

Politics

30% 100% +$33

Crypto

18% 100% +$12

Tech

4% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+115	$110	98¢	$112	+$2	10-12 06:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3300 on january 4	1	$510	512	0	+512	No	+$2	01-04 08:37
trump out as president by march 31	2	$481	280	211	+69	No	+$9	03-28 05:42
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	1	$400	403	0	+403	No	+$3	01-28 03:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$333	337	0	+337	No	+$4	04-21 06:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$300	308	0	+308	No	+$8	05-07 05:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$288	154	154	+0	Yes	+$8	03-02 13:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$286	177	120	+57	No	+$10	06-26 15:05
will solana dip to 50 february 2 8	1	$268	270	0	+270	No	+$2	02-04 08:51
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	03-28 05:43
lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12 game1	1	$180	182	0	+182	KT Rolster	+$2	04-12 10:30
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$171	172	0	+172	No	+$1	05-19 06:20
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	1	$170	172	0	+172	No	+$2	05-07 04:58
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	2	$168	125	125	+0	No	-$32	02-04 14:41
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	1	$160	165	0	+165	Down	+$5	04-12 10:29
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$160	162	0	+162	Yes	+$2	03-02 13:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	1	$160	166	0	+166	No	+$6	06-16 03:49
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	1	$150	154	0	+154	No	+$4	03-13 03:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$148	157	0	+157	Yes	+$9	06-16 03:50
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	1	$130	133	0	+133	No	+$3	07-07 11:27
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	2	$128	112	112	+0	KT Rolster	-$72	10-12 09:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$122	124	0	+124	No	+$2	04-12 10:29
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$120	122	0	+122	No	+$2	06-26 15:06
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	08-20 14:53
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$116	117	0	+117	No	+$1	09-11 07:28
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$115	116	0	+116	No	+$1	01-28 03:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	10-12 06:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	09-11 07:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$90	91	0	+91	Yes	+$1	08-20 14:54
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$80	88	0	+88	No	-$80	02-04 14:41
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	1	$70	73	0	+73	No	+$3	07-22 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 10:00:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0x629746…
10-12 09:59:16	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	SELL	112	25¢	$28	0x25e4a1…
10-12 06:01:12	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x434f57…
10-12 06:00:27	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x2b8ece…
09-11 07:29:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x16785c…
09-11 07:28:10	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x967d22…
08-20 14:54:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	98¢	$90	0x61fccc…
08-20 14:53:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x310286…
07-22 05:36:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	73	95¢	$70	0xb494ba…
07-07 11:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 8?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x34129b…
07-07 11:27:47	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x813037…
06-26 15:06:56	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x0ee278…
06-26 15:05:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x768a7f…
06-16 03:50:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0x72c3cc…
06-16 03:49:24	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	166	97¢	$160	0x88c1ab…
06-16 03:48:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	177	94¢	$166	0xdbc39f…
05-19 06:20:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x2e73ae…
05-07 05:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0x8f0a84…
05-07 04:58:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x672cd6…
04-21 06:01:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	337	99¢	$333	0xda571e…
04-12 10:30:51	lol bro2 kt 2026 04 12 game1	KT Rolster	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x649ff9…
04-12 10:29:47	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	BUY	165	97¢	$160	0x2b49f5…
04-12 10:29:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0x742d7a…
03-28 05:43:57	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2cd28f…
03-28 05:42:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x06db10…
03-13 03:20:23	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x299040…
03-02 13:11:01	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x3ede5c…
03-02 13:10:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	280	97¢	$270	0x8f2643…
03-02 13:10:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x326f00…
02-04 14:41:24	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xd5f1d6…
02-04 14:41:06	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	No	SELL	125	54¢	$68	0xb62c4e…
02-04 08:51:34	will solana dip to 50 february 2 8	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0x283613…
02-04 08:51:02	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	154	91¢	$140	0xeb24ef…
02-04 08:46:50	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5322b5…
01-28 03:38:11	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0xe00475…
01-28 03:36:21	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xd97593…
01-04 08:37:27	ethereum above 3300 on january 4	No	BUY	512	100¢	$510	0xdcc0e4…
01-04 08:13:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x6ffc67…