Failing-Commitment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$385

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

486

lifetime

Volume

$5.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-08 11:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 30% +$385

Other

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776425700	7	$314	541	167	+374	open	—	04-17 11:39
btc updown 5m 1776414300	6	$269	205	201	+5	open	—	04-17 08:30
btc updown 5m 1776605700	11	$222	308	186	+122	open	—	04-19 13:40
btc updown 5m 1776435900	2	$217	136	134	+3	open	—	04-17 14:28
btc updown 5m 1776425400	3	$209	137	108	+28	open	—	04-17 11:34
btc updown 5m 1776435300	3	$198	170	98	+72	open	—	04-17 14:20
btc updown 5m 1776606000	7	$190	244	228	+16	open	—	04-19 13:44
btc updown 5m 1776426000	5	$163	271	258	+13	open	—	04-17 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	6	$161	146	146	+0	Up	+$69	05-05 15:04
btc updown 5m 1776434700	3	$160	105	102	+3	open	—	04-17 14:10
btc updown 5m 1776414000	9	$151	132	126	+6	open	—	04-17 08:25
btc updown 5m 1776413400	2	$138	78	77	+1	open	—	04-17 08:15
btc updown 5m 1776439800	7	$129	181	158	+23	open	—	04-17 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$125	253	153	+100	Down	+$16	05-05 15:00
btc updown 5m 1776606600	8	$123	188	121	+67	open	—	04-19 13:54
btc updown 5m 1776413700	6	$119	117	112	+5	open	—	04-17 08:19
btc updown 5m 1776439500	3	$118	86	58	+28	open	—	04-17 15:28
btc updown 5m 1776439200	5	$113	102	98	+4	open	—	04-17 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776605100	8	$113	94	79	+15	open	—	04-19 13:29
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	6	$104	127	125	+2	open	—	04-19 15:06
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 5pm et	2	$83	67	66	+2	open	—	04-15 21:02
btc updown 5m 1776447600	9	$83	106	45	+61	open	—	04-17 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$78	125	29	+96	Up	$-40	05-05 18:28
sol updown 5m 1776285600	6	$72	194	183	+11	open	—	04-15 20:44
btc updown 5m 1776412800	6	$71	76	70	+6	open	—	04-17 08:05
btc updown 5m 1776286500	2	$70	46	44	+1	open	—	04-15 21:00
btc updown 5m 1776287100	3	$67	106	29	+77	open	—	04-15 21:10
btc updown 5m 1776268800	49	$64	1,818	148	+1,670	open	—	04-15 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776283500	7	$59	1,088	30	+1,058	open	—	04-15 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$58	116	24	+92	open	—	05-03 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:28:24	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4a50e8…
06-08 11:27:49	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x00c1e6…
06-08 11:27:36	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb62f45…
06-08 11:25:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	Yes	SELL	842	2¢	$20	0xf43a9b…
06-06 17:42:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	Yes	BUY	842	2¢	$16	0xb315fe…
06-06 17:41:19	btc updown 5m 1780767600	Up	SELL	45	38¢	$17	0x0b0e02…
06-06 17:40:31	btc updown 5m 1780767600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf53bf1…
06-06 17:40:30	btc updown 5m 1780767600	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x400fe2…
06-06 17:40:22	btc updown 5m 1780767600	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcbc4b7…
06-06 17:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5e383b…
06-06 16:35:10	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x134bf1…
06-06 16:33:45	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf99d32…
06-06 16:33:24	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb89de4…
06-06 16:33:10	btc updown 5m 1780763400	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x51691b…
06-06 15:06:12	btc updown 5m 1780758300	Up	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0xc9a063…
06-06 15:04:12	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xa6dd1a…
06-06 15:03:40	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x150bfd…
06-06 15:03:39	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5db84d…
06-06 15:03:01	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9348ca…
06-06 15:02:40	btc updown 5m 1780758000	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x565c7c…
06-06 14:52:22	btc updown 5m 1780757400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcfe90b…
06-06 14:48:09	btc updown 5m 1780757100	Up	SELL	45	61¢	$28	0xeea821…
06-06 14:47:03	btc updown 5m 1780757100	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1586c6…
06-06 14:45:07	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3ae6ef…
06-06 14:44:34	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x93c347…
06-06 14:44:00	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc9ac2f…
06-06 14:39:57	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0583fd…
06-06 14:39:21	btc updown 5m 1780756500	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x2fedae…
06-06 14:23:12	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0c2956…
06-06 14:21:45	btc updown 5m 1780755600	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6ff29c…
05-21 19:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x728b86…
05-18 17:30:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf71051…
05-18 17:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf35885…
05-18 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x89bdbe…
05-18 17:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0xca9d39…
05-18 17:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x6ead1b…
05-18 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x01bf4a…
05-18 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc88fa8…
05-18 17:16:47	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x66f1ac…
05-09 14:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	336	3¢	$10	0xf9bb57…
05-09 14:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xc289fc…
05-09 14:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x74be4a…
05-09 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x29e14a…
05-09 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x0f79c7…
05-09 14:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa8b913…
05-09 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa73108…
05-09 14:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0xf61a7e…
05-09 14:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x289bbd…
05-09 14:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x47c53c…
05-09 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd3ab0d…
05-09 14:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf72047…
05-09 14:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9cc6d7…
05-09 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1d45ea…
05-09 13:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7b4af9…
05-09 13:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8fbc71…
05-09 13:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x6f651d…
05-09 13:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb5ea95…
05-09 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x19e0f5…
05-09 11:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x770b62…
05-06 19:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x9beb75…
05-06 19:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0xb54278…
05-06 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x476571…
05-06 19:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x634b92…
05-06 19:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x5953e9…
05-06 19:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd2fe47…
05-06 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x780dd3…
05-06 15:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xc55507…
05-05 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x8232b8…
05-05 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0xc8ee8d…
05-05 18:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x14e6be…
05-05 18:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2052b6…
05-05 18:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xc394c5…
05-05 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0xf2bda5…
05-05 18:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf7ffd8…
05-05 18:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8cd7c0…
05-05 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4f3713…
05-05 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	419	12¢	$50	0x859f90…
05-05 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xc2b21c…
05-05 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc63fb3…
05-05 15:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	132	79¢	$104	0xdd81b5…
05-05 15:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x3a2f55…
05-05 15:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa52155…
05-05 15:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	76¢	$10	0xe3a805…
05-05 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x01ce84…
05-05 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x48e325…
05-05 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f01a3…
05-05 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x119312…
05-05 14:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xb0e813…
05-05 14:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	85	41¢	$35	0xcfb243…
05-05 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	22¢	$19	0x96b9c5…
05-05 14:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0x33d2d1…
05-05 14:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x3efa37…
05-05 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb4f3dd…
05-05 14:49:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xafbbf9…
05-05 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	32¢	$10	0x84280f…
05-05 14:48:48	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcb2e29…
05-05 14:48:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x61a2ee…
05-05 14:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc302f2…
05-05 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x25c03a…
05-05 14:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xea7797…