Notable-Die — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

4,974

Trades

7,114

lifetime

Volume

$31.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-25 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 55% -$53

Other

38% 76% -$143

Sports

0% 57% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?	11	$360	182	182	+0	Yes	+$3	05-22 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 22?	5	$347	176	176	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 4?	9	$221	113	113	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	6	$214	110	110	+0	Yes	+$7	06-09 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 29?	9	$207	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	05-29 07:11
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	5	$199	101	101	-0	Yes	+$3	05-27 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?	11	$194	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?	11	$187	96	96	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 6?	9	$173	90	90	+0	Yes	+$5	05-06 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 16?	2	$155	80	80	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	6	$129	67	67	+0	Yes	+$5	06-08 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:40 UTC	3	$128	256	0	+256	Up	+$128	03-23 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:00 UTC	1	$126	256	0	+256	Up	-$126	03-24 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 10?	4	$123	66	66	+0	Yes	+$8	05-10 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	6	$121	65	65	+0	Yes	+$8	05-13 06:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 05:35 UTC	4	$119	100	100	+0	Up	+$21	02-27 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7?	2	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$7	05-07 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?	5	$112	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	06-11 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 20?	5	$111	65	65	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 07:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:40 UTC	2	$107	60	59	+1	Up	+$11	04-22 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	6	$106	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-15 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	4	$103	55	55	+0	Yes	+$6	05-11 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10?	4	$102	52	52	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6?	5	$99	69	39	+30	Yes	+$9	05-06 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 05:40 UTC	8	$98	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	02-27 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 10?	6	$96	49	49	+0	Yes	+$1	06-10 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 11?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 9?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 20?	3	$93	48	48	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 19:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 12:26:28	ethereum up or down august 25 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5d88e3…
08-25 08:22:13	ethereum up or down august 25 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1f3214…
08-25 06:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe5c96a…
08-25 05:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x057ccf…
08-25 02:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x949c8d…
08-24 23:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfd8389…
08-24 18:27:27	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1edc75…
08-24 17:22:37	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd7720c…
08-24 16:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x11ee3a…
08-24 14:22:27	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9b8f1c…
08-24 13:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd5eb6b…
08-24 10:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd7407f…
08-24 09:32:46	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe54821…
08-24 08:31:57	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x60455c…
08-24 05:15:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc0238d…
08-24 04:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa72f5a…
08-24 03:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3c08c3…
08-24 02:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x96550c…
08-24 01:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x43bb2c…
08-24 00:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x904ee2…
08-23 23:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1861ae…
08-23 22:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x315433…
08-23 21:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb8bc17…
08-23 19:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xed2f0d…
08-23 18:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd86f89…
08-23 17:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x218e33…
08-23 16:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa9bd3e…
08-23 13:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe9ac80…
08-23 12:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc48cf5…
08-23 11:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x017d30…
08-23 10:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb4d998…
08-23 10:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9a850b…
08-23 09:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x84de64…
08-23 06:21:34	ethereum up or down august 23 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x991723…
08-23 05:17:03	ethereum up or down august 23 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x97492d…
08-23 04:34:16	ethereum up or down august 23 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf8b36e…
08-23 03:33:30	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9680db…
08-23 02:23:18	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1fcf1c…
08-23 01:33:58	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x986030…
08-23 00:38:27	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcefb6b…
08-22 23:39:34	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x187731…
08-22 22:23:13	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7ac704…
08-22 21:04:57	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe6c782…
08-22 18:26:27	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2f231e…
08-22 14:18:12	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbfed28…
08-22 12:25:34	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa343a1…
08-22 12:25:18	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x29b3de…
08-22 10:13:12	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb2638d…
08-22 08:30:42	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xed3d2a…
08-22 06:31:57	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe06889…
08-22 05:08:58	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1d4e00…
08-22 04:38:55	ethereum up or down august 22 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6baa8a…
08-22 02:28:33	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa4eca4…
08-22 00:07:22	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4875f6…
08-21 23:22:19	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc91866…
08-21 22:38:51	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x027862…
08-21 20:18:49	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2a834b…
08-21 17:31:07	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2fdfa4…
08-21 12:36:45	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x648007…
08-21 11:19:19	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe27bdb…
08-21 09:02:25	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe9ed7a…
08-21 08:14:09	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x15b50d…
08-21 07:15:27	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd534b8…
08-21 04:34:00	ethereum up or down august 21 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0ae078…
08-21 01:18:30	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x422a44…
08-21 00:18:43	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfaf7e3…
08-20 23:18:27	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa4b450…
08-20 19:27:25	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x18ad0a…
08-20 18:13:21	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x88d7cb…
08-20 15:04:25	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3acab2…
08-20 13:36:52	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x304917…
08-20 12:09:13	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x189b64…
08-20 10:15:39	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa57c5d…
08-20 08:09:24	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xceb349…
08-20 07:24:18	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xff0165…
08-20 06:35:43	ethereum up or down august 20 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x708bb4…
08-20 03:09:03	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7e5055…
08-20 02:32:12	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9cb331…
08-20 00:34:01	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x921dd1…
08-19 22:26:21	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x20e9ce…
08-19 21:06:22	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x356996…
08-19 20:07:25	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7860f9…
08-19 17:16:57	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbe395d…
08-19 16:28:37	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x831f0f…
08-19 15:05:15	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9da269…
08-19 14:37:42	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc929d3…
08-19 11:12:22	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x031670…
08-19 08:33:39	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x65335a…
08-19 07:36:09	ethereum up or down august 19 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2ee0fd…
08-19 02:21:22	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x97af3f…
08-19 00:16:36	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4d797a…
08-18 23:16:07	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x88a0ca…
08-18 22:30:57	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x813cc9…
08-18 18:20:43	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcd9daf…
08-18 17:39:15	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfd3402…
08-18 15:31:22	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc1797d…
08-18 14:23:06	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7ff02c…
08-18 13:36:12	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcb1bb9…
08-18 12:39:30	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x32990f…
08-18 09:22:48	ethereum up or down august 18 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5d4814…