Dependent-Deduce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

8,779

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-21 16:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

77% — —

Other

14% 100% +$41

Sports

8% 33% $-24

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 3 6pm et	295	$1.0K	850	689	+161	open	—	02-04 00:38
bitcoin up or down february 3 1pm et	226	$912	592	566	+26	open	—	02-03 20:19
bitcoin up or down february 3 4pm et	257	$824	610	530	+80	open	—	02-03 22:17
bitcoin up or down february 4 3am et	316	$798	683	508	+175	open	—	02-04 09:00
bitcoin up or down february 3 5pm et	182	$632	484	409	+75	open	—	02-03 23:32
bitcoin up or down february 4 6am et	254	$600	356	353	+3	open	—	02-04 12:15
bitcoin up or down february 3 10pm et	123	$557	324	318	+7	open	—	02-04 04:02
bitcoin up or down february 3 2pm et	100	$544	364	318	+46	open	—	02-03 20:19
bitcoin up or down february 3 8am et	128	$505	846	387	+459	open	—	02-03 14:56
bitcoin up or down february 4 4am et	121	$472	308	275	+33	open	—	02-04 11:03
ethereum up or down february 3 9am et	93	$440	335	269	+66	open	—	02-03 15:40
bitcoin up or down february 3 7pm et	176	$400	293	258	+35	open	—	02-04 01:19
solana up or down february 3 7pm et	115	$374	279	209	+70	open	—	02-04 01:19
bitcoin up or down february 3 8pm et	73	$361	221	205	+16	open	—	02-04 02:45
xrp up or down february 3 10pm et	146	$344	205	198	+8	open	—	02-04 04:02
bitcoin up or down february 3 3pm et	152	$339	230	214	+16	open	—	02-03 21:08
bitcoin up or down february 4 12am et	137	$315	315	188	+126	open	—	02-04 05:51
bitcoin up or down february 3 12pm et	151	$309	200	199	+1	open	—	02-03 18:29
bitcoin up or down february 3 11am et	182	$308	197	191	+5	open	—	02-03 17:03
xrp up or down february 3 5pm et	126	$307	245	198	+47	open	—	02-04 00:01
ethereum up or down february 4 6am et	64	$306	237	196	+42	open	—	02-04 12:15
bitcoin up or down february 3 9pm et	62	$298	215	168	+48	open	—	02-04 03:09
solana up or down february 3 6pm et	133	$282	217	195	+22	open	—	02-04 00:01
ethereum up or down february 3 2pm et	34	$276	188	143	+45	open	—	02-03 20:19
ethereum up or down february 3 6pm et	121	$273	301	229	+71	open	—	02-04 00:38
solana up or down february 3 2pm et	78	$269	184	155	+29	open	—	02-03 20:19
ethereum up or down february 3 1pm et	55	$259	180	169	+11	open	—	02-03 20:19
ethereum up or down february 3 5pm et	49	$257	191	153	+38	open	—	02-04 00:01
bitcoin up or down february 4 5am et	163	$256	196	180	+16	open	—	02-04 11:03
ethereum up or down february 4 12am et	57	$254	259	111	+148	open	—	02-04 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:06:08	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	63	50¢	$31	0x3ce9ca…
05-20 23:28:15	Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xa9566b…
05-20 19:26:16	Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x8a9f1c…
05-20 18:21:43	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x453241…
05-20 14:50:52	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez	Arthur Fery	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x844d5b…
05-19 23:27:53	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3cf650…
05-19 23:24:46	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xac2323…
05-19 21:23:00	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xccff51…
05-19 20:09:21	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xdac501…
05-19 15:34:01	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x5b621c…
05-19 03:06:53	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x8f1cad…
05-19 01:41:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x472743…
05-18 22:54:29	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xcfc5e4…
05-18 22:21:52	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x62a97d…
05-18 20:58:39	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe4bdfe…
05-18 20:57:56	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xe17d60…
05-18 20:42:05	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x303572…
05-18 20:41:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	76	32¢	$24	0x78a18c…
05-18 19:23:41	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x49d775…
05-18 19:17:08	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb98659…
05-18 17:21:41	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x78c0dd…
05-18 16:41:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x41bafa…
05-17 21:58:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7a9e4b…
05-17 21:48:41	Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)	Natus Vincere	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xb7a9c1…
05-17 20:49:48	Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0x2920a6…
05-17 20:35:10	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x0b300a…
05-17 20:24:06	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x6cd0ca…
05-17 19:26:53	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xec63e4…
05-17 19:26:13	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	SELL	56	94¢	$52	0x0a632b…
05-17 17:50:22	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xffbcf4…
05-17 17:44:25	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x6ff0e7…
05-17 17:41:58	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x5200e6…
05-17 15:13:15	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xf3a5fe…
05-17 15:01:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xe40e10…
05-17 14:32:16	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xdc1d26…
05-17 14:32:13	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x7d20cc…
05-17 11:31:56	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	GamerLegion	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xbb8418…
05-17 11:21:00	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x9fb769…
05-17 11:20:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xd9b6ce…
05-16 23:35:27	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x1e281f…
05-16 23:20:00	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc3b9ac…
05-16 23:13:40	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x366bc2…
05-16 22:59:50	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x6db9a4…
05-16 22:59:42	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6726c7…
05-16 20:30:22	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe313f7…
05-16 20:26:45	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x9d0b60…
05-16 20:23:13	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x5fb103…
05-16 20:22:47	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5e2312…
05-16 19:28:40	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xdb50f2…
05-16 19:27:04	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x3b0a33…
05-16 19:26:31	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5	Over	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x85421e…
05-16 19:25:09	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Legacy	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x3d5f62…
05-15 18:57:41	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1e4d3d…
05-15 18:57:09	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xe0716b…
05-15 18:21:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x9d3363…
05-15 17:15:45	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x82046b…
05-15 16:57:41	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Galions	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xcde11a…
05-15 15:39:42	Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alex Molcan	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xd08b64…
05-15 15:30:52	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x00f132…
05-15 15:30:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	51	47¢	$24	0xc39a44…
05-15 10:58:28	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7cbb32…
05-15 10:58:16	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	magic	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xec3aa2…
05-14 23:36:26	Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xdf7117…
05-14 23:07:43	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6e4459…
05-14 23:04:14	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc24599…
05-14 23:03:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x53df2e…
05-14 21:32:48	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x1e6018…
05-14 21:17:21	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xef8eb1…
05-14 21:05:58	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0ce338…
05-14 20:53:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x01997c…
05-14 20:44:04	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xed8335…
05-14 20:31:30	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xad0a7e…
05-14 19:35:33	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x5b5e35…
05-14 18:14:09	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0bdc8b…
05-14 17:03:02	LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Solary	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0xcfb1d4…
05-14 15:59:52	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins	Miami Marlins	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x326c08…
05-14 15:10:15	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xb548fd…
05-14 15:03:50	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x059ebe…
05-14 15:03:08	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbf4ce8…
05-14 15:01:46	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x41dca2…
05-14 02:42:39	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Under	SELL	87	58¢	$51	0x30853f…
05-14 01:33:26	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x909177…
05-14 01:32:23	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xd44bd3…
05-14 01:12:25	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8192ee…
05-14 00:52:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Under	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0xc145d3…
02-09 03:20:39	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x206c50…
02-09 03:19:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x6951d2…
02-07 01:02:09	nba mem por 2026 02 07 total 233pt5	Under	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc502dd…
02-06 17:46:03	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x3f7150…
02-06 03:01:15	nhl ott phi 2026 02 05	Senators	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa1ac04…
02-06 03:01:11	nhl nsh wsh 2026 02 05	Capitals	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe56524…
02-06 02:47:29	nhl fla tb 2026 02 05	Lightning	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x3bd5ca…
02-06 02:47:25	nhl nyi nj 2026 02 05	Islanders	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5078b8…
02-06 02:47:21	nhl car nyr 2026 02 05	Hurricanes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd42ce8…
02-06 01:21:45	nhl ott phi 2026 02 05	Senators	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe4b6f5…
02-05 22:30:53	nhl lak las 2026 02 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x375848…
02-05 22:30:43	nhl lak las 2026 02 05	Kings	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xeea395…
02-05 22:30:27	nhl fla tb 2026 02 05	Lightning	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x5fbd87…
02-05 22:29:47	nhl car nyr 2026 02 05	Hurricanes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x37f880…
02-05 22:29:39	nhl nyi nj 2026 02 05	Islanders	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xee677f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	229	$2.72M	19,803	05-22 02:29
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	225	$1.53M	17,541	05-20 21:30
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	185	$61.5K	6,897	03-18 00:39
(anonymous) 0xafb8…505c	180	$5.66K	3,178	02-06 04:02
(anonymous) 0x7d7f…86d2	158	$18.6K	2,608	05-21 03:06
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	157	$1.15M	8,615	05-17 17:02
Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba	157	$4.35K	297	05-20 18:54
Vigilant-Environment 0xdbdd…a5de	150	$43.8K	420	05-22 00:14