Grubby-Timeout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

727

Trades

2,877

lifetime

Volume

$1.12M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$389

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

91% 57% -$1,626

Sports

6% 46% -$14,281

Crypto

2% 48% -$3,368

Politics

1% 75% +$814

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	12	$38.4K	24,548	24,238	+310	Yes	+$10,318	04-09 06:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	2	$29.5K	15,856	15,856	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$2,204	05-17 18:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	47	$22.7K	13,563	13,563	+0	Yes	+$3,386	09-20 20:41
fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 asm	14	$21.2K	15,733	15,733	+0	Yes	+$7,208	04-05 20:37
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?	20	$20.1K	19,750	11,596	+8,154	Yes	+$7,273	09-17 20:24
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin	21	$16.5K	14,707	14,707	+0	Casper Ruud	-$6,720	05-25 18:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	7	$15.4K	8,501	8,501	+0	Yes	+$986	04-12 18:41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$14.0K	35,925	0	+35,925	No	-$14,047	07-12 06:34
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	70	$12.5K	13,705	0	+13,705	Ngannou	+$1,228	05-16 14:55
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set totals 3pt5	2	$12.3K	7,833	7,833	+0	Over 3.5	+$3,212	07-12 17:41
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$11.8K	24,078	24,078	+0	No	+$1,153	10-21 18:31
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	43	$10.8K	13,684	5,084	+8,600	Yes	+$3,663	05-29 21:07
Will France win on 2026-09-25?	10	$9.9K	6,027	6,027	+0	Yes	+$1,760	09-25 20:44
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?	1	$9.7K	11,500	0	+11,500	Yes	-$9,660	05-17 18:32
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5	2	$9.3K	5,138	5,138	+0	Over	+$920	09-12 18:23
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	21	$9.1K	11,655	0	+11,655	Yes	+$2,583	05-06 12:05
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$9.0K	16,583	0	+16,583	Argentina	-$8,955	07-14 22:48
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	39	$8.5K	9,700	8,486	+1,215	Moise Kouame	+$3,657	05-28 13:22
ufc rao rau2 2026 09 26	3	$8.1K	4,902	4,902	+0	Raul Rosas Jr.	+$1,711	09-27 02:49
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	6	$7.9K	10,071	0	+10,071	No	+$2,216	04-19 15:18
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier	7	$7.4K	7,292	7,292	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$3,646	05-26 20:22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	2	$7.4K	4,313	4,313	+0	No	+$1,242	10-11 17:05
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	32	$7.3K	10,020	0	+10,020	Yes	+$2,684	04-27 06:53
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5	3	$7.3K	11,998	0	+11,998	Under	-$7,285	06-02 15:20
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	4	$7.3K	6,206	6,205	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	-$746	06-03 20:34
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	5	$7.1K	9,394	0	+9,394	Yes	+$2,293	10-22 18:40
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$7.1K	19,380	19,380	+0	Yes	+$896	05-14 04:27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	3	$7.0K	3,921	3,921	+0	Yes	+$813	10-20 20:20
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	3	$6.8K	4,007	4,007	+0	Yes	+$1,201	10-17 17:02
Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	2	$6.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	Over	+$1,276	09-29 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 19:08:57	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,350	7¢	$490	0x3df4c5…
11-05 19:08:48	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	1,100	69¢	$759	0x3b47f6…
11-05 17:15:48	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	1,100	74¢	$814	0x8ead17…
11-05 15:57:25	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0xd38aac…
11-04 08:21:15	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	2,000	68¢	$1,360	0xef8f4a…
11-03 11:38:34	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$14	0xd384a9…
11-03 11:37:54	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,185	8¢	$186	0x74a2f7…
11-03 11:33:34	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	353	8¢	$30	0x8a47a8…
11-03 10:56:03	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	9¢	$172	0x407684…
11-03 10:52:28	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x527499…
11-03 10:52:25	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	977	9¢	$85	0x0f5713…
11-03 10:52:21	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,048	8¢	$87	0x532a51…
11-03 10:52:16	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	614	8¢	$48	0xf3d1e4…
11-02 20:39:27	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5,500	66¢	$3,630	0xb1692f…
11-02 13:06:55	Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	3,226	62¢	$2,000	0x6df963…
11-02 07:43:25	Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	2,750	73¢	$2,000	0x19f7a7…
11-01 20:51:24	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	745	60¢	$447	0x5d6e0c…
11-01 07:41:27	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	2,976	81¢	$2,411	0xa537ca…
10-31 21:42:40	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	BUY	1,400	54¢	$756	0xc0e34d…
10-31 20:47:42	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x94d330…
10-31 20:14:27	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,620	100¢	$1,619	0x327377…
10-31 20:14:13	AC Milan to score first vs. FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0x0e3306…
10-31 19:55:15	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	800	55¢	$440	0x34c3e0…
10-31 19:38:57	AC Milan to score first vs. FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	265	40¢	$106	0xd24b8a…
10-31 16:03:04	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x332b29…
10-31 16:02:49	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	638	21¢	$136	0xb68508…
10-31 15:13:00	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1,700	65¢	$1,105	0xa3adfc…
10-30 19:33:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x89c536…
10-30 18:20:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x18b21c…
10-29 19:15:24	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,299	0x445636…
10-29 07:31:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	800	67¢	$536	0x1741eb…
10-28 21:28:31	Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	1,300	81¢	$1,053	0x4a92f7…
10-28 21:02:47	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	606	63¢	$382	0x8d2062…
10-28 21:02:38	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,014	62¢	$632	0x8d7e85…
10-28 20:59:13	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,100	57¢	$627	0xead673…
10-28 20:55:58	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x2d4687…
10-27 22:03:14	AC Monza vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,500	58¢	$870	0xacd37d…
10-27 21:49:00	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5a9a5d…
10-27 21:48:27	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	700	21¢	$147	0x8ae369…
10-27 21:37:26	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	700	99¢	$693	0x48c7c0…
10-27 21:02:24	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	113	64¢	$72	0x17a398…
10-27 21:02:23	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe5ad65…
10-27 21:02:23	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe1acda…
10-27 21:02:23	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	64¢	$27	0xdb292a…
10-27 21:02:23	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0x7ac5f3…
10-27 21:02:23	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x4562ae…
10-27 21:02:21	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xc9e7f2…
10-27 21:02:21	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	198	64¢	$127	0x68a551…
10-27 21:02:20	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xdc6443…
10-27 21:02:20	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	64	64¢	$41	0xb61764…
10-27 20:42:05	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	700	57¢	$399	0xd20434…
10-27 20:37:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0xd25159…
10-27 20:37:35	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	662	63¢	$417	0x35dfde…
10-27 19:55:24	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xb83087…
10-27 19:55:21	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x9e6152…
10-27 19:55:21	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x98ed64…
10-27 19:55:18	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xb1056c…
10-27 19:55:17	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5dd22b…
10-27 19:55:15	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xd0caa5…
10-27 19:55:15	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa4b70c…
10-27 19:55:15	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0x30ff51…
10-27 19:55:12	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd283c8…
10-27 19:55:12	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xb701ec…
10-27 19:30:59	SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	638	69¢	$440	0xb4b73a…
10-27 19:25:42	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x3d79f2…
10-27 19:20:15	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,100	58¢	$638	0x7ca80a…
10-27 19:17:54	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	687	64¢	$440	0xa313b5…
10-27 19:17:41	Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	898	64¢	$577	0x2c5199…
10-26 20:17:24	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1,373	86¢	$1,180	0x9e2bc9…
10-26 17:12:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	202	67¢	$136	0xfc19c3…
10-26 17:12:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	456	67¢	$306	0xd3a21a…
10-26 17:12:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb57595…
10-26 07:27:20	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,373	51¢	$700	0x8c0716…
10-25 15:44:32	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	900	95¢	$856	0x21fd5c…
10-25 15:07:20	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	900	50¢	$450	0x9e70cf…
10-25 13:52:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,033	18¢	$541	0xcf9f39…
10-25 13:50:39	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	567	68¢	$385	0x819df5…
10-25 13:42:20	AJ Auxerre vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	700	61¢	$427	0x00a341…
10-25 08:27:27	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Tallon Griekspoor	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0xce13cf…
10-25 08:24:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	3,033	17¢	$504	0x4c4210…
10-24 12:10:02	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1,800	64¢	$1,152	0xd83b4b…
10-22 18:40:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,881	76¢	$2,950	0x608a22…
10-22 17:50:03	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	515	41¢	$211	0xc15e25…
10-22 17:49:27	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	226	41¢	$93	0x9f0cac…
10-22 17:49:27	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9e84cb…
10-22 17:49:24	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	453	41¢	$186	0xd00223…
10-22 16:32:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,155	5¢	$60	0xe7f2de…
10-22 16:31:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	986	5¢	$51	0x935f19…
10-22 16:31:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,064	5¢	$55	0x1b97c4…
10-22 16:31:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	483	5¢	$24	0xb1bebb…
10-22 16:30:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,377	5¢	$117	0x5e22f7…
10-21 20:33:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	2,318	96¢	$2,225	0x41a74a…
10-21 20:33:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x031b83…
10-21 20:09:05	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	578	90¢	$520	0x23658c…
10-21 20:09:03	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	213	90¢	$192	0x349695…
10-21 19:50:27	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	900	76¢	$684	0x37420d…
10-21 19:37:53	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2,978	100¢	$2,975	0x021649…
10-21 19:29:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	900	43¢	$387	0x3e2a0e…
10-21 18:42:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1,500	67¢	$1,005	0x209e00…
10-21 18:41:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	SELL	5,063	27¢	$1,389	0x52cccd…